Polydata
ArmageddonRewardsBilly

@ArmageddonRewardsBilly

#3,067,54578

0xc8ab97a9089a9ff7e6ef0688e6e591a066946418

~549d· 9890 markets · 1235146 tradesVol: $503,110,458 @Eltonma2026-07-31 11:50:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

78
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (21802/35527)15.7/20
1.43x (win $12,138,065 / loss $8,459,376)7.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.98715/15
Sortino 1.84410/10
$+0.7414 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 23 (35527 markets)10/10
250/500 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 50% of peak ($1,626,605 / $3,283,260)4.1/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Diamond Hands
1% sells
DCA Master
Avg 31.4 entries/market
Whale
$4,961,742 invested
High Roller
$9,038/day
Win Streak
19 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,217$40,313Vol: $263,703,382
📈 ECONOMICS#8$347,422Vol: $67,694,795
💰 FINANCE#656,863$-412,397Vol: $61,016,373
CRYPTO#261$123,241Vol: $35,556,710
SPORTS#1,880,907$-101,407Vol: $32,431,876
🎭 CULTURE#816,064$-25,863Vol: $22,207,004
💻 TECH#257,921$-35,383Vol: $6,823,174
🌤️ WEATHER#298,407$-46,148Vol: $5,830,975
📢 MENTIONS#176,364$-26,471Vol: $4,850,736

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-134,340
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$503,110,458
Total Redeem
$15,033,241
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
9890
total markets
Trades
16387B / 8670S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~549d

Periods

#2
Today
$-619
Vol: $132,977
Week
$28,260
Vol: $3,779,589
Month
$-79,578
Vol: $21,435,606
All Time
$-134,340
Vol: $503,110,458

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
61%
21799W / 13726L events
Realized PnL
$-134,204
Win Rate
61%
21799W / 13726L
Profit Factor
1.43x
Avg Win
$557
Avg Loss
$-645

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,559,964 (19.075161900875855% of PnL)

Top Winners

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1,143,234
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$942,680
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$474,050
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$263,249
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$250,317
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$250,115
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$219,626
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$212,114
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$173,947
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$133,836

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,306,422
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-197,291
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?$-187,284
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?$-164,756
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$-154,801
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-151,873
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-150,059
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-142,587
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$-138,547
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?$-126,435

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.052
Sortino
0.069
HHI
56836
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.016
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
89.4%
Top-5 markets
375.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2249.8
Very active
Markets / Day
18.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 1001s — normal for humanCV 6.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)0% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2250 trades/day — automation18 markets/day — mass coverage2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
31.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.3%
Mid (20-55c)12.4%
High (>55c)64.3%

Sessions

#12
6/10/2026, 8:26:24 AM4 trades$146,2315 min
6/3/2026, 9:20:13 AM1 trades$99,8000 min
5/21/2026, 3:48:07 PM1 trades$97,4030 min
3/4/2026, 10:08:17 PM5 trades$84,3802 min
2/2/2026, 9:45:26 PM2 trades$80,8282 min
5/26/2026, 4:49:33 AM3 trades$80,0944 min
2/28/2026, 7:52:15 AM5 trades$54,4213 min
5/30/2026, 12:10:25 AM1 trades$49,8000 min
6/17/2026, 1:47:10 PM1 trades$48,7730 min
7/22/2026, 3:50:00 PM1 trades$45,7600 min
2/28/2026, 7:07:27 AM9 trades$41,92612 min
6/10/2026, 6:41:43 AM8 trades$40,5520 min
4/30/2026, 7:52:36 PM4 trades$39,9027 min
2/7/2026, 6:27:41 PM5 trades$38,38310 min
1/18/2026, 4:46:00 AM1 trades$31,6220 min
4/2/2026, 12:22:45 AM4 trades$30,7615 min
4/14/2026, 1:01:27 AM7 trades$30,0393 min
4/8/2026, 12:10:43 AM2 trades$29,9214 min
5/7/2026, 2:06:01 PM16 trades$29,3220 min
6/14/2026, 9:17:04 PM29 trades$28,7876 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
2025-09-17 12:00:00
2026-02-03 00:00:00
2026-03-23 20:00:00
2026-05-04 00:00:00
2026-06-08 20:00:00
2026-06-26 06:00:00
2027-06-30 00:00:00

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 31.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.3 / M12.4 / H64.3