@Arman2

#3,024,86627

0x9453a389c73df7991249d9f2c6e2c854157b1a48

~186d· 469 markets · 10137 tradesVol: $2,459,6382026-08-02 01:31:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (240/452)11.5/20
0.52x (win $84,144 / loss $160,541)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.7900/15
Sortino -4.0650/10
$-0.1158 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 212 (452 markets)10/10
77/153 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 1435% of peak ($89,405 / $6,228)0/10

Badges

5
DCA Master
Avg 21.6 entries/market
Whale
$659,875 invested
High Roller
$3,251/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,633,335$-5,443Vol: $2,129,535
📈 ECONOMICS#680,736$-3,348Vol: $118,851
🎭 CULTURE#2,266$3,089Vol: $80,415
📢 MENTIONS#2,133$520Vol: $34,818
💰 FINANCE#8,472$369Vol: $30,451
🌤️ WEATHER#605$3,316Vol: $24,348
CRYPTO#100,489$92Vol: $21,085
SPORTS#1,855,224$-2,046Vol: $11,248
💻 TECH#3,405$256Vol: $7,489

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,385
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,459,638
Total Redeem
$18,881
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
469
total markets
Trades
4014B / 6123S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~186d

Periods

#2
Today
$156
Vol: $5,980
Week
$1,384
Vol: $5,980
Month
$1,123
Vol: $24,325
All Time
$-3,385
Vol: $2,459,638

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
240W / 212L events
Realized PnL
$-4,220
Win Rate
53%
240W / 212L
Profit Factor
0.52x
Avg Win
$351
Avg Loss
$-764

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,698 (3.4832398792285417% of PnL)

Top Winners

Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?$6,437
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$5,169
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$3,092
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$2,928
Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?$2,655
Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 23?$2,299
Will Iran strike Bahrain by April 30, 2026?$2,239
Iran full airspace closure by July 31?$2,156
Will 4–5 ships be successfully targeted by Iran by April 30?$2,085
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 6, 2026?$2,063

Top Losers

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-14,540
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?$-11,985
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-10,869
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-8,407
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-6,291
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-5,876
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16? $-5,845
Ruben Rocha out as Governor of Sinaloa by May 31?$-5,582
Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?$-4,118
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?$-3,859

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.198
Sortino
-0.176
HHI
103
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.122
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
15.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.19
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
22.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 245s — normal for humanCV 2.19 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
21.64
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.8%
Mid (20-55c)20.4%
High (>55c)52.7%

Sessions

#12
6/5/2026, 6:12:36 AM32 trades$30,1261 min
6/5/2026, 6:03:03 AM30 trades$26,4730 min
5/1/2026, 6:39:04 PM23 trades$17,67410 min
5/15/2026, 5:32:20 PM8 trades$16,9591 min
5/9/2026, 5:05:19 AM14 trades$16,2801 min
4/11/2026, 6:48:37 AM9 trades$14,5052 min
5/1/2026, 6:56:56 PM32 trades$13,7098 min
6/24/2026, 12:35:14 AM15 trades$12,7671 min
4/28/2026, 12:33:04 PM6 trades$12,7440 min
6/10/2026, 2:23:22 AM10 trades$12,5904 min
5/26/2026, 6:24:49 PM41 trades$11,6536 min
6/17/2026, 5:12:47 PM81 trades$11,26510 min
5/16/2026, 1:17:14 AM6 trades$11,1824 min
6/16/2026, 1:36:37 PM29 trades$11,17111 min
6/17/2026, 4:40:23 AM69 trades$11,0679 min
5/16/2026, 2:12:26 AM3 trades$10,0020 min
5/16/2026, 4:28:58 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/28/2026, 2:27:29 PM29 trades$9,2931 min
5/18/2026, 5:13:22 AM7 trades$9,2740 min
4/28/2026, 8:16:50 AM26 trades$8,8352 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-11
02-22
03-21
04-19
05-19
06-20
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 69 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 21.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.8 / M20.4 / H52.7