@ArthurGreen
#3,092,845160xd5db05423b6718497684ae1bbe1557746d2c3c45
~517d· 768 markets · 8422 tradesVol: $1,956,4882026-08-25 17:09:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
16
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
37% (268/718)3.7/20
0.96x (win $59,883 / loss $62,638)2/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.1690/15
Sortino -0.2140/10
$-0.0106 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 948 (718 markets)7.8/10
130/311 profitable days (42%)3/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($18,226 / $0)0/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
Whale
$260,792 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#1,646,949$-8,694Vol: $1,504,880
🎭 CULTURE#19,982$110Vol: $205,728
⚽ SPORTS#97,829$161Vol: $104,634
₿ CRYPTO#1,617,350$-522Vol: $48,321
📈 ECONOMICS#678,546$-308Vol: $45,094
💰 FINANCE#12,691$197Vol: $30,318
📢 MENTIONS#170,395$-161Vol: $10,074
💻 TECH#3,396$268Vol: $5,778
🌤️ WEATHER#259,093$-16Vol: $979
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-8,958
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,956,488
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
768
total markets
Trades
4167B / 4255S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~517d
Periods
#2Today
$-125
Vol: $9,920
Week
$-152
Vol: $29,229
Month
$-581
Vol: $110,903
All Time
$-8,958
Vol: $1,956,488
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
37%
268W / 450L events
Realized PnL
$-8,849
Win Rate
37%
268W / 450L
Profit Factor
0.96x
Avg Win
$223
Avg Loss
$-140
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $15,367 (1.73650933918843% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$7,132
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$5,226
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$3,008
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$2,811
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?$2,806
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$2,509
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$2,259
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?$1,964
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$1,864
Will J.D. Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?$1,545
Top Losers
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$-5,862
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-5,482
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-4,741
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-2,311
Will a Republican win Michigan Presidential Election?$-2,045
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-2,039
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-1,997
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?$-1,803
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-1,563
Which party wins 2024 US Presidential Election?$-1,494
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.009
Sortino
-0.009
HHI
139
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.011
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
18.6%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
12.8
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
6%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.0
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 534s — normal for humanCV 1.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)6% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock13 trades/day — very active1.2 markets/day — normal37% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 14:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
11.45
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)33.6%
Mid (20-55c)34.6%
High (>55c)31.8%
Sessions
#124/22/2026, 9:32:50 AM31 trades$131,4511 min
5/8/2026, 12:44:23 PM6 trades$27,4670 min
5/6/2026, 10:09:34 AM49 trades$16,4090 min
5/27/2026, 11:31:42 AM13 trades$10,8454 min
5/11/2026, 10:12:39 AM9 trades$10,6001 min
4/17/2026, 1:00:46 PM42 trades$7,26912 min
5/27/2026, 5:22:15 PM25 trades$7,0952 min
4/28/2026, 3:23:00 PM15 trades$6,26711 min
6/14/2026, 2:14:55 PM39 trades$5,0284 min
5/14/2026, 2:07:29 PM4 trades$4,8340 min
4/24/2026, 3:38:44 PM13 trades$4,7201 min
4/28/2026, 9:55:24 PM4 trades$4,5001 min
4/18/2026, 9:46:32 AM35 trades$4,4364 min
4/24/2026, 4:37:48 PM7 trades$4,3443 min
8/2/2026, 6:46:54 PM15 trades$4,2632 min
4/17/2026, 1:59:38 PM16 trades$4,1915 min
11/4/2024, 7:06:21 AM2 trades$3,9941 min
4/26/2026, 6:42:34 PM88 trades$3,7458 min
4/15/2026, 10:50:22 AM26 trades$3,6354 min
5/14/2026, 9:19:58 PM7 trades$3,3910 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
04-03
07-03
09-25
12-19
03-31
07-27
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.45/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.6 / M34.6 / H31.8