ArthurSpooner

@ArthurSpooner

#3,145,50922

0x70447eabbe8c23839b9c8f8dbf32185f5be85104

~107d· 6823 markets · 86263 tradesVol: $1,673,3762026-09-23 03:18:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (3475/6820)10.5/20
0.92x (win $82,988 / loss $90,671)1.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.1650/15
Sortino -4.0370/10
$-0.0231 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4 (6820 markets)10/10
28/104 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($10,748 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Contrarian
66% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 12.6 entries/market
Whale
$332,806 invested
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#1,720,063$-13,550Vol: $923,723
SPORTS#141,581$69Vol: $671,440
🏛️ POLITICS#1,166,108$-6Vol: $1,637
🎭 CULTURE#29,498$53Vol: $137
💰 FINANCE#219,640$0Vol: $17
💻 TECH#162,381$-0Vol: $10
📈 ECONOMICS#204,607$0Vol: $4
🌤️ WEATHER#127,117$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,981
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,673,376
Total Redeem
$10,813
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
6823
total markets
Trades
46552B / 39711S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~107d

Periods

#2
Today
$2,209
Vol: $15,910
Week
$5,349
Vol: $534,752
Month
$6,725
Vol: $728,139
All Time
$-11,981
Vol: $1,673,376

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
3475W / 3345L events
Realized PnL
$-12,529
Win Rate
51%
3475W / 3345L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$24
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,499 (0.5187433854621437% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET$5,513
XRP Up or Down - November 26, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$550
XRP Up or Down - November 28, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$436
Tunis: Dalibor Svrcina vs Tristan Boyer$403
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$381
Ethereum Up or Down - November 27, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET$353
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET$322
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$289
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$284
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$281

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - December 2, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET$-660
XRP Up or Down - November 26, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET$-558
Ethereum Up or Down - November 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-525
Ethereum Up or Down - November 30, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET$-492
Solana Up or Down - November 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET$-453
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 30, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-419
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET$-408
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 27, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$-391
Ethereum Up or Down - November 26, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$-359
XRP Up or Down - November 26, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET$-343

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.113
Sortino
-0.216
HHI
4
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.023
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
0.3%
Top-5 markets
1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
115.2
Very active
Markets / Day
9.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
4s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.75
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
74 min
Avg Trades / Session
721.0

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
48% gaps < 3s — suspicious speedCV 1.75 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock115 trades/day — automation9.1 markets/day — normal36% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.65
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.5%
Mid (20-55c)56.1%
High (>55c)34.5%

Sessions

#12
3/2/2026, 10:07:29 PM2341 trades$7,212234 min
3/25/2026, 9:20:09 PM4032 trades$5,762198 min
3/23/2026, 6:25:15 PM3877 trades$5,387317 min
3/25/2026, 12:15:09 AM2399 trades$4,702162 min
3/2/2026, 6:25:05 PM1229 trades$4,047140 min
2/26/2026, 6:13:28 PM1074 trades$3,858101 min
11/26/2025, 12:45:11 AM119 trades$3,78039 min
11/27/2025, 4:24:13 AM147 trades$3,39745 min
3/24/2026, 6:25:13 PM2031 trades$3,048193 min
3/1/2026, 11:40:09 PM1144 trades$3,002159 min
11/29/2025, 4:05:21 AM120 trades$2,90320 min
3/26/2026, 12:55:09 AM2051 trades$2,81292 min
11/25/2025, 10:15:13 PM73 trades$2,6389 min
3/12/2026, 1:51:03 PM115 trades$2,57586 min
11/27/2025, 3:23:43 AM88 trades$2,50339 min
2/24/2026, 6:10:08 PM334 trades$2,38560 min
3/2/2026, 3:15:07 PM675 trades$2,365104 min
2/28/2026, 1:10:09 PM996 trades$2,326163 min
3/26/2026, 4:40:11 PM1324 trades$2,27953 min
3/25/2026, 2:50:09 PM1813 trades$2,259100 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-20
11-29
12-24
02-12
03-04
03-22
09-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.65/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L9.5 / M56.1 / H34.5