Barboncino

@Barboncino

#53,54887

0x50396e4d9d11d38b0dcfd75280101a315f50946d

~160d· 410 markets · 3208 tradesVol: $1,130,1282026-08-02 17:18:25
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (206/391)11.3/20
2.76x (win $132,389 / loss $47,913)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.08315/15
Sortino 13.02110/10
$+0.2968 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 351 (391 markets)10/10
70/130 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($8,640 / $84,476)10/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+1,946
Contrarian
56% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$284,600 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#16,523$1,137Vol: $548,945
📢 MENTIONS#396$4,330Vol: $146,144
CRYPTO#8,226$5,901Vol: $117,807
📈 ECONOMICS#1,251$3,949Vol: $116,999
SPORTS#1,874,882$-8,374Vol: $92,587
🎭 CULTURE#4,668$1,118Vol: $60,321
💰 FINANCE#656,656$-4,603Vol: $22,542
💻 TECH#255,986$-690Vol: $15,970
🌤️ WEATHER#294,599$-295Vol: $2,181

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,931
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,130,128
Total Redeem
$38,172
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
410
total markets
Trades
2102B / 1106S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~160d

Periods

#2
Today
$212
Vol: $1,671
Week
$-866
Vol: $1,671
Month
$1,719
Vol: $2,921
All Time
$1,931
Vol: $1,130,128

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
206W / 185L events
Realized PnL
$1,946
Win Rate
53%
206W / 185L
Profit Factor
2.76x
Avg Win
$643
Avg Loss
$-265

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $83,390 (42.851375100203484% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$36,831
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$27,324
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$19,235
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$3,334
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$3,252
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$2,722
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$2,543
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?$2,479
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$2,362
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$1,716

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-10,037
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$-3,512
Will England vs. Costa Rica end in a draw?$-3,191
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?$-2,116
Will "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" be said on ICEMAN?$-2,101
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?$-1,333
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-1,200
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-1,048
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-947
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-945

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.497
HHI
420
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.313
Kelly %
2.3%
Half-Kelly
1.1%
Top-1 market
17.8%
Top-5 markets
32.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.3h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
16.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 250s — normal for humanCV 4.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal1.2 markets/day — normal61% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.77
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)26.9%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)44.4%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 10:35:38 PM26 trades$25,1821 min
6/15/2026, 1:36:45 PM2 trades$24,0940 min
5/28/2026, 4:25:10 PM10 trades$17,0923 min
6/3/2026, 9:46:33 PM2 trades$14,6000 min
6/11/2026, 5:32:39 PM15 trades$12,1256 min
6/10/2026, 7:12:34 PM25 trades$11,4292 min
7/12/2026, 8:02:32 PM38 trades$10,6591 min
6/11/2026, 8:07:18 PM12 trades$10,2641 min
4/15/2026, 9:31:46 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
5/23/2026, 10:25:04 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/11/2026, 8:02:15 PM6 trades$6,1660 min
7/28/2026, 11:19:55 PM20 trades$5,8522 min
5/6/2026, 1:40:02 PM283 trades$5,72717 min
2/28/2026, 7:55:47 PM7 trades$5,0371 min
7/12/2026, 12:22:44 PM2 trades$5,0000 min
3/1/2026, 8:22:59 AM1 trades$4,4180 min
3/1/2026, 12:48:41 AM3 trades$4,2850 min
7/7/2026, 6:16:25 PM20 trades$4,2476 min
6/7/2026, 11:52:58 PM122 trades$3,98031 min
2/28/2026, 9:10:43 PM1 trades$3,9520 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-02
12-02
01-22
03-24
04-21
05-15
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.77/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L26.9 / M28.6 / H44.4