BearGrizzzy

@BearGrizzzy

#3,025,69949

0xff2066038b5047e9b78e36d11434a44b3b21cf47

~456d· 2364 markets · 5905 tradesVol: $144,119 @BearGrizzzy2026-10-07 00:29:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

49
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (1327/2331)13.5/20
1.10x (win $3,006 / loss $2,738)3.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4338.1/15
Sortino 1.05410/10
$+0.0217 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 1011 (2331 markets)7.4/10
207/416 profitable days (50%)4.9/10
Max DD 199% of peak ($610 / $306)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,667,103$-938Vol: $78,776
⚽ SPORTS#1,378,757$-11Vol: $27,647
🏛️ POLITICS#1,144,739$-5Vol: $9,333
🎭 CULTURE#721,107$-16Vol: $9,181
📢 MENTIONS#130,936$-9Vol: $8,799
💰 FINANCE#582,654$-10Vol: $4,146
🌤️ WEATHER#230,048$-5Vol: $4,097
📈 ECONOMICS#571,217$-5Vol: $1,456
💻 TECH#189,925$-1Vol: $141

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,025
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$144,119
Total Redeem
$1,544
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2364
total markets
Trades
4366B / 1539S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~456d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $57
Week
$-1
Vol: $135
Month
$1
Vol: $733
All Time
$-1,025
Vol: $144,119

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
1327W / 1004L events
Realized PnL
$-792
Win Rate
57%
1327W / 1004L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $461 (0.5827374485180787% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$200
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$163
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$99
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$77
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET$55
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET$53
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET$52
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET$43
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$42
Will Paris Saint Germain win on 2025-05-07?$41

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET$-64
Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?$-58
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET$-50
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-50
Ethereum Up or Down - February 8, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET$-45
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$-40
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$-40
Ethereum Up or Down - February 21, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET$-36
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET$-32

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.023
Sortino
0.041
HHI
26
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
11.8%
Half-Kelly
5.9%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
5.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.32
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
26.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 1.32 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal3.4 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.52
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.4%
Mid (20-55c)27.4%
High (>55c)62.3%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 12:43:08 PM63 trades$9,48111 min
3/11/2026, 3:05:13 PM49 trades$55340 min
5/24/2026, 3:23:19 PM109 trades$4663 min
5/28/2026, 5:28:32 AM2 trades$3790 min
5/6/2026, 10:59:08 AM35 trades$3758 min
3/26/2026, 5:30:19 PM79 trades$35261 min
5/11/2026, 6:13:20 AM13 trades$3432 min
5/10/2026, 10:32:12 AM69 trades$24020 min
5/12/2026, 9:00:41 AM19 trades$2335 min
3/12/2026, 7:50:13 AM41 trades$22839 min
5/9/2026, 2:17:35 PM98 trades$22823 min
2/27/2026, 2:28:45 PM44 trades$21531 min
5/4/2026, 5:14:38 PM9 trades$2152 min
3/12/2026, 6:31:29 AM23 trades$18612 min
5/16/2026, 1:49:00 PM10 trades$1801 min
3/12/2026, 6:52:35 AM23 trades$17812 min
5/16/2026, 7:43:03 AM13 trades$1762 min
3/11/2026, 10:35:29 AM34 trades$17329 min
2/27/2026, 3:55:23 PM9 trades$1739 min
5/7/2026, 10:15:13 AM25 trades$1648 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-04
05-17
08-28
11-26
02-17
05-07
08-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
26.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.52/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.4 / M27.4 / H62.3