Beardsley

@Beardsley

#16,77334

0x76697d10520591cc163e194d533a5cd4a960f58c

~112d· 1051 markets · 1937 tradesVol: $1,454,0672026-09-22 15:09:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

34
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (633/1051)15.1/20
0.94x (win $177,615 / loss $188,475)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4710/15
Sortino -0.5720/10
$-0.0306 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 88 (1051 markets)10/10
66/112 profitable days (59%)7.2/10
Max DD 142% of peak ($46,790 / $32,890)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Profitable
PnL $+17,628
Contrarian
58% entries < $0.55
Whale
$354,360 invested
High Roller
$1,412/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#6,229$8,438Vol: $1,453,917

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,429
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,454,067
Total Redeem
$55,110
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1051
total markets
Trades
1546B / 391S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~112d

Periods

#2
Today
$1,400
Vol: $3,000
Week
$-628
Vol: $28,472
Month
$-4,219
Vol: $66,049
All Time
$8,429
Vol: $1,454,067

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
633W / 418L events
Realized PnL
$17,628
Win Rate
60%
633W / 418L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$281
Avg Loss
$-464

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $26,086 (1.4798025152473184% of PnL)

Top Winners

Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 7.5$12,600
Spread: Southeastern Louisiana Lions (-2.5)$6,945
Pistons vs. Bulls: O/U 229.5$6,540
Nets vs. 76ers: O/U 217.5$4,809
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 228.5$4,700
Raptors vs. Pacers: O/U 224.5$4,561
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tide: O/U 164.5$4,152
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 212.5$3,692
Utah vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5$3,500
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 245.5$3,353

Top Losers

76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5$-14,549
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Alcorn State Braves$-13,409
Knicks vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5$-10,000
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Tampa Bay Rays$-9,999
Spurs vs. Timberwolves: O/U 216.5$-7,009
Pistons vs. Magic: O/U 215.5$-5,400
Jazz vs. Hawks: O/U 244.5$-4,800
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)$-4,400
Spread: Hawks (-10.5)$-4,000
Spread: 76ers (-13.5)$-4,000

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.025
Sortino
-0.022
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
11.1%
Half-Kelly
5.5%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
10.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
7.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
61%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.49
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 448s — normal for humanCV 2.49 — diverse sizes (human-like)61% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity8 trades/day — normal4.2 markets/day — normal14% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.84
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)43.9%
High (>55c)42.2%

Sessions

#12
1/17/2026, 11:44:06 PM56 trades$13,40911 min
5/5/2026, 12:17:54 AM11 trades$11,9369 min
5/10/2026, 7:42:34 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
3/14/2026, 8:39:37 PM1 trades$9,8900 min
5/5/2026, 11:40:06 PM7 trades$9,2580 min
2/6/2026, 12:43:27 AM6 trades$8,7407 min
4/28/2026, 12:55:56 AM2 trades$8,7090 min
1/30/2026, 2:40:10 AM1 trades$6,5000 min
2/26/2026, 12:44:08 AM4 trades$6,1880 min
5/9/2026, 1:59:21 AM2 trades$5,5630 min
4/25/2026, 10:57:24 PM9 trades$5,3381 min
2/11/2026, 3:42:01 AM2 trades$5,3211 min
5/2/2026, 11:46:14 PM28 trades$5,3183 min
3/14/2026, 5:12:41 PM3 trades$5,2242 min
1/15/2026, 2:12:00 AM2 trades$4,5710 min
3/23/2026, 2:09:47 AM2 trades$4,1520 min
2/27/2026, 12:37:26 AM5 trades$4,07613 min
1/8/2026, 12:42:55 AM4 trades$4,0661 min
1/13/2026, 3:43:49 PM4 trades$4,0003 min
4/29/2026, 12:20:50 AM8 trades$3,9440 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
01-16
02-04
02-24
03-18
04-27
06-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.84/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.9 / M43.9 / H42.2