@BerkshireHahaway

#27,65756

0x7f2928f6f7626b13fbac2d566b834e4764fc0760

~316d· 1344 markets · 14807 tradesVol: $2,339,9932026-08-02 09:54:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

83% (987/1185)20/20
1.08x (win $114,269 / loss $105,573)3.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4177.8/15
Sortino 0.4764.8/10
$+0.0063 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 31 (1185 markets)10/10
207/280 profitable days (74%)10/10
Max DD 148% of peak ($26,968 / $18,164)0/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 83%
Profitable
PnL $+4,722
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Whale
$1,386,284 invested
Consistent
207/280 profitable days
High Roller
$4,201/day
Win Streak
27 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
99% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,636,134$-9,041Vol: $1,670,606
🎭 CULTURE#1,803$4,232Vol: $191,841
CRYPTO#14,192$3,196Vol: $142,537
📈 ECONOMICS#2,157$1,745Vol: $111,861
SPORTS#18,422$2,353Vol: $84,521
💰 FINANCE#640,706$-198Vol: $66,248
💻 TECH#1,105$1,384Vol: $55,042
🌤️ WEATHER#6,431$119Vol: $5,100
📢 MENTIONS#3,908$207Vol: $3,800

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4,488
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,339,993
Total Redeem
$16,547
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1344
total markets
Trades
11700B / 3107S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~316d

Periods

#2
Today
$-49
Vol: $5,250
Week
$1,346
Vol: $5,250
Month
$-358
Vol: $10,366
All Time
$4,488
Vol: $2,339,993

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
83%
987W / 198L events
Realized PnL
$4,722
Win Rate
83%
987W / 198L
Profit Factor
1.08x
Avg Win
$116
Avg Loss
$-539

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $14,152 (2.997312351745171% of PnL)

Top Winners

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$7,907
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$4,561
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?$1,684
Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?$1,495
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$1,445
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$1,413
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?$1,412
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?$1,162
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1,148
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?$1,038

Top Losers

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-5,900
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-5,472
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-4,960
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$-4,433
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-4,395
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?$-3,827
Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$-3,626
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?$-3,428
US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?$-3,030
Maduro out by January 31, 2026?$-2,823

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.014
HHI
19
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.008
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1%
Top-5 markets
4.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
44.9
Active
Markets / Day
4.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.9m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 540s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock45 trades/day — high frequency4.1 markets/day — normal99% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.64
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.2%
Mid (20-55c)10.5%
High (>55c)87.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 2:29:03 PM30 trades$10,09114 min
2/28/2026, 6:19:19 AM45 trades$6,37823 min
2/3/2026, 5:13:14 PM16 trades$5,42111 min
2/14/2026, 12:52:51 AM5 trades$3,7477 min
2/14/2026, 7:59:23 AM3 trades$3,6353 min
1/7/2026, 3:48:01 PM14 trades$3,52414 min
2/14/2026, 2:46:49 AM3 trades$3,4742 min
6/25/2026, 10:38:47 PM1 trades$3,3900 min
2/4/2026, 5:28:07 PM9 trades$3,3403 min
4/11/2026, 10:34:11 AM2 trades$3,0210 min
2/6/2026, 1:38:49 PM13 trades$2,96618 min
2/15/2026, 4:15:47 PM2 trades$2,4930 min
4/2/2026, 1:28:25 AM2 trades$2,4853 min
3/4/2026, 4:07:01 PM4 trades$2,4444 min
12/28/2025, 3:33:39 PM14 trades$2,43218 min
2/11/2026, 2:33:51 AM2 trades$2,4282 min
1/3/2026, 5:56:27 AM14 trades$2,34716 min
1/6/2026, 9:27:05 AM7 trades$2,3389 min
1/27/2026, 2:43:13 PM6 trades$2,2983 min
2/14/2026, 4:33:19 PM1 trades$2,2970 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-07
11-22
01-08
02-25
04-17
06-06
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 72 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.2 / M10.5 / H87.3