@Bewater

#68,18460

0x9c07965de4dfe748058a42dbb86404185935570d

~228d· 423 markets · 2721 tradesVol: $359,6182026-08-04 19:53:17
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

60
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

51% (216/420)10.7/20
1.10x (win $10,765 / loss $9,767)3.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.90715/15
Sortino 1.18710/10
$+0.0059 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 93 (420 markets)10/10
128/177 profitable days (72%)10/10
Max DD 108% of peak ($1,660 / $1,535)0/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+1,354
Lottery Player
55% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 6.6 entries/market
Whale
$170,064 invested
Consistent
128/177 profitable days
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
CRYPTO#30,432$1,001Vol: $207,472
🎭 CULTURE#799,679$-284Vol: $114,958
💰 FINANCE#5,678$644Vol: $28,892
🏛️ POLITICS#1,484,442$-63Vol: $4,710
🌤️ WEATHER#225,961$-5Vol: $240
📈 ECONOMICS#40,083$11Vol: $192
SPORTS#1,601,019$-53Vol: $150
💻 TECH#223,053$-8Vol: $100

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,361
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$359,618
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
423
total markets
Trades
1548B / 1173S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~228d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $1,559
Week
$5
Vol: $2,559
Month
$5
Vol: $2,559
All Time
$1,361
Vol: $359,618

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
51%
216W / 204L events
Realized PnL
$1,354
Win Rate
51%
216W / 204L
Profit Factor
1.1x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-49

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,125 (1.5697800695916846% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?$730
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?$704
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?$691
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$688
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?$523
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?$516
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?$352
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?$336
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$312
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 16 to December 23, 2025?$280

Top Losers

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2400 on June 6?$-465
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-442
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 21?$-361
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 6?$-298
Bitcoin above $84,000 on April 11?$-219
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $106K on June 24?$-166
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$-160
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3600 and $3700 on August 1?$-160
Bitcoin above $84,000 on March 7?$-159
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?$-151

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.047
Sortino
0.042
HHI
81
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
9.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
56%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — normal for humanCV 2.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)56% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal60% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.63
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)55%
Mid (20-55c)13.1%
High (>55c)31.8%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2025, 3:58:04 PM1 trades$2,4260 min
2/24/2025, 2:56:42 PM2 trades$2,3371 min
7/30/2026, 3:11:11 PM2 trades$2,3330 min
5/25/2025, 2:24:45 PM3 trades$2,0863 min
7/9/2025, 11:36:00 AM1 trades$1,9450 min
5/19/2025, 2:12:09 PM1 trades$1,9230 min
5/25/2026, 12:41:34 AM8 trades$1,9161 min
7/30/2025, 6:42:43 AM1 trades$1,8510 min
5/30/2025, 10:14:33 PM1 trades$1,8410 min
5/30/2025, 4:46:21 PM2 trades$1,8070 min
7/28/2025, 3:44:45 PM2 trades$1,6633 min
6/20/2025, 9:22:10 AM15 trades$1,6609 min
3/28/2025, 7:27:48 AM5 trades$1,5528 min
7/28/2025, 11:52:57 AM1 trades$1,5290 min
6/4/2025, 1:40:10 AM1 trades$1,4570 min
5/30/2025, 12:56:03 AM1 trades$1,4140 min
7/21/2026, 6:50:52 AM2 trades$1,3860 min
5/1/2025, 12:23:17 PM1 trades$1,3830 min
4/7/2025, 6:20:05 AM1 trades$1,3790 min
4/4/2025, 7:25:27 AM3 trades$1,3796 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
06-02
09-30
11-03
12-24
02-09
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 363 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.63/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L55 / M13.1 / H31.8