@Bikesarethebest

#57071

0x0a6d26d31b28fd5a84c301f8b27296612f3b1d0a

~334d· 3172 markets · 204249 tradesVol: $21,232,8302026-08-02 07:19:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (1392/2829)9.6/20
1.45x (win $113,155 / loss $77,845)8.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.86115/15
Sortino 4.77810/10
$+0.0433 per $1 invested2.2/10
HHI 46 (2829 markets)10/10
171/307 profitable days (56%)6.4/10
Max DD 21% of peak ($7,437 / $35,510)9.8/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+362,446
Diamond Hands
3% sells
DCA Master
Avg 6.0 entries/market
Whale
$815,805 invested
High Roller
$2,378/day
Cool Head
Max DD 21%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#215$227,581Vol: $10,288,241
🎭 CULTURE#181$40,778Vol: $4,041,243
SPORTS#1,930$32,411Vol: $2,579,969
CRYPTO#1,719$25,059Vol: $1,603,803
💰 FINANCE#162$25,376Vol: $1,239,294
📈 ECONOMICS#11,161$121Vol: $725,835
💻 TECH#640$2,709Vol: $220,152
🌤️ WEATHER#2,217$616Vol: $143,885
📢 MENTIONS#1,870$618Vol: $4,898

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$362,453
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$21,232,830
Total Redeem
$79,827
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3172
total markets
Trades
14953B / 5561S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~334d

Periods

#2
Today
$-126
Vol: $2,070
Week
$-9,415
Vol: $2,070
Month
$56
Vol: $14,706
All Time
$362,453
Vol: $21,232,830

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
2963W / 2198L events
Realized PnL
$362,446
Win Rate
57%
2963W / 2198L
Profit Factor
1.45x
Avg Win
$81
Avg Loss
$-54

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,577 (0.02366337077566674% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?$3,332
US strikes Iraq by February 28?$2,923
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?$2,323
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$2,308
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian nuclear facility?$2,186
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$1,930
Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?$1,871
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$1,804
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$1,698
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,667

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?$-4,667
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-1,739
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-1,666
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$-1,198
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-1,131
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?$-1,106
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-1,074
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo not be traded?$-1,018
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?$-893
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$-823

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.149
Sortino
0.178
HHI
35
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.051
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
8.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
595.5
Very active
Markets / Day
9.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.5m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.54
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 568s — normal for humanCV 2.54 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock595 trades/day — automation9.2 markets/day — normal9% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.04
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.1%
Mid (20-55c)17.6%
High (>55c)54.3%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:32:41 PM70 trades$12,41649 min
6/17/2026, 12:11:50 PM34 trades$5,1942 min
4/24/2026, 11:08:38 AM5 trades$5,1113 min
7/2/2026, 1:15:41 AM4 trades$4,8640 min
4/14/2026, 5:15:23 AM3 trades$4,4560 min
7/7/2026, 5:22:49 PM13 trades$4,11710 min
7/14/2026, 7:26:31 PM14 trades$3,75413 min
4/16/2026, 4:51:36 PM5 trades$3,5501 min
3/3/2026, 2:09:35 PM21 trades$3,06420 min
7/29/2026, 3:07:36 PM2 trades$2,8190 min
5/16/2026, 10:03:14 PM78 trades$2,65556 min
4/7/2026, 8:48:29 PM12 trades$2,53411 min
6/30/2026, 6:49:40 AM3 trades$2,4880 min
6/15/2026, 2:56:25 AM3 trades$2,4810 min
3/5/2026, 7:13:31 PM4 trades$2,4440 min
2/28/2026, 6:41:25 AM7 trades$2,3856 min
6/23/2026, 10:01:28 PM10 trades$2,3558 min
4/21/2026, 11:13:04 AM4 trades$2,3391 min
3/29/2026, 7:38:42 PM13 trades$2,33619 min
4/22/2026, 9:11:46 PM2 trades$2,3150 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
08-24
11-02
12-25
02-15
04-07
05-28
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 2 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.04/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.1 / M17.6 / H54.3