@Bilberry
#37,438880xbf13934a1fec7d3211fc15c138d84ac2a691b91a
~88d· 488 markets · 1667 tradesVol: $176,1652026-08-23 15:18:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
90% (421/467)20/20
1.93x (win $2,304 / loss $1,191)14.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.00315/15
Sortino 5.64110/10
$+0.0315 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 54 (467 markets)10/10
63/74 profitable days (85%)10/10
Max DD 32% of peak ($351 / $1,113)7.7/10
Badges
5Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+1,634
Consistent
63/74 profitable days
Win Streak
43 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8🌤️ WEATHER#864$2,367Vol: $126,821
📢 MENTIONS#1,637$736Vol: $37,189
🏛️ POLITICS#41,664$229Vol: $6,805
💰 FINANCE#652,300$-329Vol: $3,636
💻 TECH#9,245$45Vol: $1,000
⚽ SPORTS#143,515$71Vol: $300
₿ CRYPTO#780,058$-0Vol: $280
🎭 CULTURE#183,952$1Vol: $133
Overview
#1Net PnL
$3,119
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$176,165
Total Redeem
$1,314
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
488
total markets
Trades
1180B / 487S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d
Periods
#2Today
$-123
Vol: $7,189
Week
$1,506
Vol: $7,189
Month
$2,374
Vol: $126,141
All Time
$3,119
Vol: $176,165
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
90%
421W / 46L events
Realized PnL
$1,634
Win Rate
90%
421W / 46L
Profit Factor
1.93x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-31
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $518 (0.3171500437579178% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Trump say "Etc." or "Et cetera" this week? (February 22)$259
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$166
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$93
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 FIDE World Blitz Open Championship?$71
Will "Olympic" or "Olympics" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 15)$50
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 17°C on August 15?$47
Grok 4.20 released by December 31?$41
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on August 13?$38
Will Trump post "Epic Fury" on Truth Social this week?$33
Will JD Vance's fundraiser not air?$32
Top Losers
Will Trump say "Waste" this week? (March 1)$-339
Will Jensen Huang say "Human Robot" or "Human Robotic" during NVIDIA keynote?$-317
Will Trump say "Jesus" this week? (March 8)$-90
Will Trump say "Hell" 7+ times during the Detroit speech on Tuesday?$-54
Will Google say "Nano Banana" during earnings call?$-38
Will Trump say "Midterm" or "Primary" during EPA announcement?$-38
Will Trump's 2pm signing event not air?$-35
Will Trump post "Filibuster" on Truth Social this week?$-33
Will "Motherfucker" be said during the first episode of the Joe Rogan Experience this week? (February 1)$-31
Will Trump say "Nancy" or "Pelosi" this week? (March 22)$-23
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.208
Sortino
0.126
HHI
44
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.032
Kelly %
13.2%
Half-Kelly
6.6%
Top-1 market
2.3%
Top-5 markets
7.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
7.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.28
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.0
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 1.28 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal2.1 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 18:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.33
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)6.5%
High (>55c)88.1%
Sessions
#122/24/2026, 6:02:00 PM17 trades$1,2147 min
3/10/2026, 5:27:03 PM13 trades$97811 min
2/17/2026, 6:02:27 PM20 trades$8148 min
1/5/2026, 9:28:27 PM25 trades$80823 min
2/15/2026, 8:18:49 AM20 trades$72510 min
3/3/2026, 6:01:53 PM19 trades$7238 min
2/3/2026, 6:03:12 PM14 trades$6745 min
2/19/2026, 11:52:18 PM10 trades$6349 min
3/20/2026, 10:54:27 PM16 trades$5978 min
1/3/2026, 5:13:53 PM1 trades$5750 min
1/28/2026, 6:01:34 PM23 trades$5619 min
3/8/2026, 9:14:25 AM15 trades$55616 min
2/25/2026, 1:25:08 PM9 trades$5507 min
1/26/2026, 6:49:27 PM7 trades$5127 min
2/18/2026, 7:23:08 PM8 trades$5013 min
2/10/2026, 6:01:03 PM13 trades$4798 min
2/21/2026, 8:58:32 AM15 trades$4365 min
1/20/2026, 7:25:10 PM10 trades$4126 min
2/25/2026, 4:31:50 PM9 trades$4083 min
1/18/2026, 7:39:28 PM11 trades$4065 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-29
01-16
01-30
02-16
03-01
03-22
08-15
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
18% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.33/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M6.5 / H88.1