@Billy2025
#15,035230xd77ba3d17771e8eab33e062678e3580bcaf124ab
~199d· 76 markets · 669 tradesVol: $467,6302026-08-06 15:54:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
51% (27/53)10.5/20
0.57x (win $15,079 / loss $26,252)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9650/15
Sortino -3.3790/10
$-0.1273 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1079 (53 markets)7.1/10
22/44 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 4580% of peak ($13,759 / $300)0/10
Badges
5Profitable
PnL $+9,839
DCA Master
Avg 8.3 entries/market
Whale
$87,747 invested
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#2,743$14,985Vol: $439,597
⚽ SPORTS#1,873,456$-5,146Vol: $28,033
Overview
#1Net PnL
$9,839
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$467,630
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
76
total markets
Trades
382B / 287S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~199d
Periods
#2Today
$-175
Vol: $0
Week
$2,428
Vol: $579
Month
$2,682
Vol: $579
All Time
$9,839
Vol: $467,630
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
51%
27W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$9,839
Win Rate
51%
27W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$558
Avg Loss
$-1,010
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,136 (0.8269718239714764% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$4,314
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$2,286
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal majority?$1,537
Conservatives win majority in Canadian election?$1,387
Will the Conservative Party win the second most seats in the next Canadian election?$1,267
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?$609
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?$481
Will a Democrat win Maryland US Senate Election?$388
Will the Buffalo Sabres win the Atlantic Division?$332
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$284
Top Losers
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-7,020
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$-4,564
Will the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?$-3,130
Will Lindy Ruff win the 2025–2026 NHL Jack Adams Award?$-2,000
Will Leon Draisaitl win the Hart Trophy?$-1,392
Will Trump win Texas by 10+ points?$-1,293
Will Republicans have 52 seats in Senate after election?$-1,167
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 65-104$-1,053
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$-863
2024 presidential election: Democrats win by 35-64$-805
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.153
Sortino
-0.147
HHI
529
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.173
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
14.6%
Top-5 markets
44.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8h
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2h
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.17
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4
Bot Detection
#630
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10196s — normal for humanCV 1.17 — diverse sizes (human-like)48% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal8% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 2:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.26
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)28%
Mid (20-55c)17.8%
High (>55c)54.2%
Sessions
#125/20/2026, 1:13:42 AM3 trades$4,0020 min
7/21/2026, 6:29:30 AM28 trades$3,6271 min
7/31/2026, 2:12:56 AM4 trades$2,4640 min
10/17/2024, 8:58:23 PM3 trades$1,9127 min
5/30/2026, 6:57:35 AM4 trades$1,5740 min
4/5/2026, 12:03:57 AM31 trades$1,4900 min
6/28/2025, 1:14:27 AM1 trades$1,4000 min
5/11/2026, 1:23:25 AM2 trades$1,3470 min
5/23/2026, 4:25:56 AM6 trades$1,2661 min
7/21/2026, 11:35:55 PM2 trades$1,1670 min
5/19/2026, 4:41:02 AM7 trades$1,1220 min
6/3/2026, 3:35:28 AM6 trades$1,0955 min
12/22/2025, 8:42:51 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
1/6/2026, 5:32:25 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/29/2026, 1:40:58 AM2 trades$1,0000 min
5/30/2026, 7:21:45 PM7 trades$9810 min
1/30/2026, 5:14:54 AM4 trades$9393 min
12/30/2025, 8:58:01 PM1 trades$9000 min
5/12/2026, 2:30:20 AM10 trades$8930 min
5/30/2026, 8:03:04 PM5 trades$8290 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-21
10-31
03-17
04-25
11-04
04-10
05-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 617 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.26/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28 / M17.8 / H54.2