@BitcoinerRetired
#2,839,723240x4930ce3ef76a18074a338d6888408b4ec3abd78d
~36d· 37 markets · 234 tradesVol: $511,0422026-09-21 18:02:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
24
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
50% (18/36)10/20
0.88x (win $32,693 / loss $37,203)1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.9420/15
Sortino -1.3390/10
$-0.0204 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 535 (36 markets)9.8/10
10/23 profitable days (43%)3.4/10
Max DD 162% of peak ($11,807 / $7,297)0/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+1,586
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Whale
$221,639 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
6🏛️ POLITICS#9,570$2,727Vol: $349,107
₿ CRYPTO#33,023$780Vol: $60,654
🎭 CULTURE#820,442$-2,503Vol: $57,514
💰 FINANCE#16,717$116Vol: $33,497
⚽ SPORTS#1,872,718$-1,118Vol: $9,702
📢 MENTIONS#175,979$-310Vol: $568
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-308
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$511,042
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
37
total markets
Trades
134B / 100S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~36d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-6,043
Vol: $63,925
All Time
$-308
Vol: $511,042
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
18W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$1,586
Win Rate
50%
18W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.88x
Avg Win
$1,816
Avg Loss
$-2,067
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $19,260 (12.144697514282473% of PnL)
Top Winners
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?$12,420
Will Guilherme Boulos win the 2024 São Paulo mayoral election?$3,763
Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?$3,077
Will Trump win Florida by 8+ points?$3,040
Will a Republican win Florida in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,945
Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?$1,264
Will the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$1,168
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$1,153
Another Iran strike on Israel in October?$987
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$985
Top Losers
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?$-12,744
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$-3,370
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,344
Ethereum all time high in 2024?$-2,961
Israel military response against Iran in October?$-2,641
Iran strike on Israel before December?$-2,452
Will a Democrat win Wisconsin Presidential Election?$-2,396
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?$-1,949
Will Milton make landfall as a category 5?$-1,614
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? $-900
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.048
Sortino
-0.066
HHI
339
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8%
Top-5 markets
34.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.18
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.6
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 336s — normal for humanCV 2.18 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal30% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.25
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)9.7%
Mid (20-55c)50%
High (>55c)40.3%
Sessions
#129/8/2026, 1:41:39 PM47 trades$67,4610 min
10/29/2024, 3:15:26 AM2 trades$17,6660 min
10/6/2024, 3:53:28 AM1 trades$11,9500 min
10/10/2024, 9:02:13 PM3 trades$9,5410 min
10/2/2024, 5:13:48 PM1 trades$9,4730 min
10/14/2024, 1:10:31 AM3 trades$8,9835 min
10/18/2024, 1:11:48 AM3 trades$8,8947 min
1/23/2026, 4:34:52 PM2 trades$8,4001 min
10/9/2024, 12:11:55 PM3 trades$7,9992 min
9/30/2024, 7:51:37 PM1 trades$7,9940 min
10/5/2024, 6:37:57 PM2 trades$7,4512 min
10/6/2024, 2:37:10 AM1 trades$6,8990 min
12/12/2025, 6:08:50 PM4 trades$6,3505 min
10/8/2024, 7:36:53 PM1 trades$6,1320 min
5/13/2026, 7:21:02 PM32 trades$5,7560 min
3/20/2024, 4:33:22 PM1 trades$5,5130 min
10/5/2024, 6:13:29 PM3 trades$5,3655 min
2/29/2024, 2:04:59 PM3 trades$5,0432 min
10/9/2024, 3:20:05 PM1 trades$4,9600 min
10/9/2024, 11:46:51 AM6 trades$4,0877 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-04
10-05
10-09
10-14
10-24
11-01
11-10
07-06
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 619 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.25/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L9.7 / M50 / H40.3