@BlindGibbon

#3,156,03633

0xe8ff0a56d848954b60e8e8ed99637e3c50ddc93b

~188d· 336 markets · 4074 tradesVol: $4,156,8292026-09-21 18:05:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (195/317)15.8/20
0.73x (win $180,561 / loss $248,525)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0110/15
Sortino -2.1890/10
$-0.0248 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 187 (317 markets)10/10
59/103 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 1104% of peak ($87,278 / $7,906)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 62%
DCA Master
Avg 7.6 entries/market
Whale
$2,736,348 invested
High Roller
$4,413/day
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,647,731$-76,063Vol: $2,460,435
🎭 CULTURE#864$9,586Vol: $724,861
⚽ SPORTS#1,921,672$-11,352Vol: $281,346
₿ CRYPTO#1,997$20,506Vol: $257,538
💻 TECH#268,355$-2,794Vol: $173,461
🌤️ WEATHER#303,151$-21,039Vol: $106,985
💰 FINANCE#2,305$2,016Vol: $68,473
📈 ECONOMICS#2,686$1,228Vol: $43,831
📢 MENTIONS#180,750$-2,223Vol: $16,757

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-78,253
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,156,829
Total Redeem
$465
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
336
total markets
Trades
2324B / 1750S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~188d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-386
Vol: $0
Month
$-32,876
Vol: $608,081
All Time
$-78,253
Vol: $4,156,829

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
62%
195W / 122L events
Realized PnL
$-77,365
Win Rate
62%
195W / 122L
Profit Factor
0.73x
Avg Win
$926
Avg Loss
$-2,054

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $31,044 (0.40126807039739915% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Austria win Eurovision 2025?$11,542
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?$9,934
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2025?$9,568
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense before July?$8,843
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2025?$7,065
Will Pietro Parolin be the next pope?$6,076
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$6,002
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?$5,055
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?$4,576
Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?$4,240

Top Losers

Israel military action against Iran before July?$-35,487
Will Biden pardon Jim Biden?$-34,534
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-12,743
Yoon out as president of South Korea before May?$-10,946
Trump declassifies Epstein list in first 100 days?$-10,000
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-10,000
US military action against Iran before July?$-9,879
Iran strike on Israel by Friday?$-9,116
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 Internazionali BNL d'Italia?$-7,313
Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?$-6,771

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.085
HHI
60
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.040
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.5%
Top-5 markets
10.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.7m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 3.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal56% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.65
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)13.5%
High (>55c)81.2%

Sessions

#12
8/23/2026, 1:51:52 PM396 trades$471,7483 min
8/23/2026, 5:58:16 AM153 trades$322,5774 min
6/26/2026, 5:49:29 AM79 trades$129,92610 min
1/2/2026, 10:47:57 AM12 trades$67,8037 min
6/26/2026, 1:28:13 PM235 trades$62,1481 min
12/19/2024, 1:53:48 AM7 trades$53,73613 min
4/30/2026, 4:09:00 AM20 trades$50,7763 min
1/18/2025, 12:31:41 PM6 trades$45,0394 min
2/18/2026, 8:19:08 PM6 trades$44,5986 min
12/20/2024, 6:38:06 AM9 trades$43,49110 min
4/30/2025, 6:45:52 PM39 trades$39,37236 min
5/8/2025, 8:00:29 PM42 trades$34,38531 min
12/31/2024, 5:07:00 PM8 trades$31,00010 min
1/2/2025, 3:07:37 AM1 trades$29,6700 min
5/20/2025, 2:46:37 AM2 trades$29,2513 min
1/17/2025, 8:30:40 PM13 trades$28,00621 min
8/23/2026, 3:27:28 PM71 trades$27,3010 min
2/5/2025, 3:49:03 PM6 trades$25,1275 min
2/17/2026, 9:06:11 AM14 trades$25,0067 min
1/2/2025, 3:34:03 AM1 trades$25,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-12
01-14
04-13
05-20
08-05
10-02
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 166 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M13.5 / H81.2