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@Blushing-Porcelain

#21,99343

0x8310308a509afb014a76922c21334b629ea3c875

120d· 186 markets · 368 tradesVol: $836,9682026-06-08T21:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

43
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 56%13/20
Profit Factor 1.07x3/15
Sharpe 0.0401/15
Sortino 0.0531/10
EV $+0.19310/10
HHI 15110/10
Profit Days 51%5/10
DD/Peak 80%0/10

Summary

Blushing-Porcelain is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 368 trades across 186 markets over 107 days. They hold a global PnL rank of #21,993, achieving a net profit of $5,235.18 on a total volume of $836,968. Their portfolio value currently stands at $971.52, reflecting consistent but modest growth. The trader’s smart score is average at 43/100, indicating room for improvement in strategy sophistication.

Blushing-Porcelain favors a diverse range of markets, though no specific category dominates their activity. Their win rate of 63.3% combined with a profit factor of 1.79 suggests a relatively balanced risk profile with a tendency to secure profitable trades more often than not. The trader’s Sharpe ratio is low at 0.04, indicating minimal risk-adjusted returns, and their sell percentage of 33% points to a cautious approach in exiting positions. Activity timing appears steady without reliance on automated bots, as indicated by a low bot score.

The key strengths of Blushing-Porcelain include a strong win streak, profitable track record, and a growing equity trend, which highlight effective trade selection and risk management. However, the low Sharpe ratio and portfolio value suggest limited capital efficiency and potential vulnerability to market volatility. The absence of drawdown duration is positive, but the average smart score signals that advanced strategies could enhance future performance.

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+5,235
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
Whale
$301,653
High Roller
$2,819/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#5,694$8,283Vol: $736,007
🏛️ POLITICS#1,527,902$-293Vol: $73,046
CRYPTO#1,549,610$-2,755Vol: $27,916

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$5,235
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$836,968
Total Redeem
$64,319
Portfolio
$972
Predictions
186
total markets
Trades
246B / 122S
Daily Volume
$2,819
Account Age
120d
since Feb 25, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-948
Vol: $9,288
Week
$-948
Vol: $17,455
Month
$-2,861
Vol: $92,987
All Time
$5,235
Vol: $836,968

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
56%
101W / 80L events
Realized PnL
$31,301
Win Rate
63%
102W / 59L
Profit Factor
1.79x
Avg Win
$730
Avg Loss
$-706

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $10,254 (31.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-23?$3,522
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?$3,466
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?$3,267
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-04-12?$3,146
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-22?$2,802
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?$2,796
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-11?$2,543
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-16?$2,527
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?$2,165
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-22?$2,158

Top Losers

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-03?$-3,075
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 28, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET$-2,961
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?$-2,946
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-04-26?$-2,606
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-22?$-2,160
Will France win on 2026-06-04?$-2,007
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovic$-1,894
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04?$-1,600
Croatia vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score$-1,321
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09?$-1,107

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.041
Sortino
0.053
HHI
151
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.193
Kelly %
2.3%
Half-Kelly
1.1%
Top-1 market
5.1%
Top-5 markets
18.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.8
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 790s — typical for humanSize CV 1.36 — diverse, typical for human5% at night — normal sleep pattern21/24 hours — extended daySession CV 0.73 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.3
Single entry
<=1
151 entries
<=2
178 entries
<=5
185 entries
<=10
185 entries
<=20
186 entries
<=50
186 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.1%
Mid (20-55c)26%
High (>55c)69.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 96.9%

Other$25,746
Paris$10,052
Madrid$-948
Milan$-2,080

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
182

Single bracket

<=1
178 brackets
<=2
182 brackets
<=3
182 brackets
<=4
182 brackets
<=5
182 brackets
<=8
182 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/25/2026, 7:39:20 PM1 trades$5000 min
3/6/2026, 9:11:07 PM1 trades$5000 min
3/9/2026, 5:09:25 AM1 trades$6620 min
3/14/2026, 8:28:39 PM1 trades$1,0540 min
3/14/2026, 10:01:31 PM1 trades$1,5050 min
3/19/2026, 10:57:29 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/19/2026, 11:13:31 AM1 trades$3000 min
3/19/2026, 11:47:31 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/19/2026, 12:10:45 PM2 trades$9622 min
3/20/2026, 3:32:05 PM3 trades$1,0712 min
3/22/2026, 4:24:47 PM3 trades$4,9053 min
3/22/2026, 6:55:57 PM1 trades$1090 min
3/26/2026, 2:18:21 PM7 trades$5504 min
3/26/2026, 3:01:51 PM2 trades$5001 min
3/26/2026, 7:31:19 PM5 trades$5,7002 min
3/26/2026, 9:52:51 PM5 trades$7,8851 min
3/27/2026, 11:43:17 AM2 trades$1934 min
3/27/2026, 4:23:23 PM7 trades$1,4014 min
3/27/2026, 7:04:11 PM3 trades$1,0202 min
3/27/2026, 7:42:17 PM1 trades$3,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
04-04
04-22
05-05
05-17
05-30
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
33.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.3/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event