Boggis-Bunce-Bean

@Boggis-Bunce-Bean

#41,36814

0xfc26c023b665884e374904ab85b74531eba84b92

~38d· 195 markets · 2326 tradesVol: $190,5802026-08-05 16:39:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

14
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

52% (100/194)10.8/20
0.64x (win $7,761 / loss $12,097)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8980/15
Sortino -2.1370/10
$-0.1738 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1932 (194 markets)2.8/10
5/28 profitable days (18%)0/10
Max DD 195% of peak ($8,889 / $4,554)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,690
DCA Master
Avg 12.1 entries/market
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#36,815$289Vol: $130,314
💰 FINANCE#1,962$2,523Vol: $50,573
CRYPTO#1,576,855$-370Vol: $4,767
📈 ECONOMICS#10,080$145Vol: $3,857
📢 MENTIONS#6,143$97Vol: $616
🎭 CULTURE#50,566$19Vol: $300
SPORTS#1,375,684$-12Vol: $153

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,690
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$190,580
Total Redeem
$124
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
195
total markets
Trades
947B / 1379S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~38d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
52%
100W / 94L events
Realized PnL
$2,690
Win Rate
52%
100W / 94L
Profit Factor
0.64x
Avg Win
$78
Avg Loss
$-133

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,685 (2.1133088243493905% of PnL)

Top Winners

Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$2,950
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?$2,500
Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?$235
Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$231
Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 20+ times at The Villages on May 1?$181
Spirit Airlines shutdown/liquidation by May 31?$174
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET$158
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$62
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$60
Ethereum Up or Down - April 26, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$60

Top Losers

Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-7,257
Will Grahm Platner drop out before the Midterms?$-580
FISA Section 702 reauthorized before it expires?$-410
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-312
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?$-166
Will the Senate pass a reconciliation bill by June 5?$-163
Will Darren Jones be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-155
Will the Liberal Democrats win the second-most council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$-126
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET$-100
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.098
Sortino
-0.102
HHI
1754
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.175
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
32.2%
Top-5 markets
75.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.0
Active
Markets / Day
2.3
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
44.6m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
17.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 3.29 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours23/24 hours — around the clock28 trades/day — high frequency2.3 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.2%
Mid (20-55c)25.3%
High (>55c)52.5%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2026, 12:18:52 AM13 trades$6,0410 min
5/3/2026, 5:56:54 PM4 trades$5,0000 min
5/11/2026, 8:15:45 PM11 trades$3,5042 min
5/5/2026, 1:09:16 PM17 trades$2,4290 min
5/11/2026, 4:35:38 PM20 trades$2,3863 min
5/11/2026, 3:49:40 PM10 trades$2,2260 min
5/8/2026, 10:01:45 AM32 trades$1,9483 min
5/14/2026, 3:01:00 PM20 trades$1,7063 min
7/6/2026, 7:58:43 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
5/14/2026, 3:13:12 PM25 trades$1,48313 min
7/15/2026, 2:02:22 PM16 trades$1,4481 min
5/4/2026, 1:13:20 PM15 trades$1,2816 min
5/4/2026, 12:42:02 PM8 trades$1,2310 min
6/11/2026, 3:33:42 PM2 trades$1,1110 min
5/2/2026, 7:29:08 PM15 trades$1,0601 min
5/2/2026, 9:09:42 PM8 trades$1,0541 min
5/8/2026, 12:46:17 PM8 trades$1,0170 min
7/6/2026, 11:02:13 AM7 trades$9560 min
7/15/2026, 1:53:43 PM1 trades$9080 min
4/25/2026, 11:49:04 PM140 trades$89316 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-29
05-04
05-08
05-13
06-05
07-06

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 64 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.07/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.2 / M25.3 / H52.5