Polydata

@Bogus-Fix

#2,923,20975

0x4133bcbad1d9c41de776646696f41c34d0a65e70

673d· 18949 markets · 72689 tradesVol: $226,885,4692026-06-27T08:21
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.00x0/15
Sharpe 0.90915/15
Sortino 83144042.90510/10
HHI 6610/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Bogus-Fix is an active trader on Polymarket with 171 days of activity and a high volume of 72,689 trades across 546 markets. Despite this activity, Bogus-Fix currently ranks low at #2,923,209 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net loss of $43,727.32. Their portfolio value stands at $5,288.24, and the overall equity trend appears stable but flat over time. The trader holds a Smart Score of 75/100, indicating solid analytical capabilities.

The trading style of Bogus-Fix reflects a high-risk, high-frequency approach, with a low win rate of 28.1% and a profit factor of zero. This suggests losses frequently outweigh gains. The trader does not engage in weather markets and shows no sell activity, possibly indicating a preference for holding positions. The Sharpe ratio of 0.91 points to moderate risk-adjusted returns. The Bot Score indicates a mixed automated and manual trading strategy, which may contribute to consistent trading volume and market diversification.

Bogus-Fix’s strengths include consistent engagement, a notable win streak badge, and high total volume, which could facilitate market insight and execution skill. However, the significant net loss and low win rate raise concerns about sustainability and risk management. The absence of drawdown duration suggests losses are quickly realized but may limit recovery time. Overall, Bogus-Fix’s Polymarket performance demonstrates persistence but also highlights vulnerability to prolonged negative outcomes.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Whale
$14,778,482
Consistent
85/85 days
High Roller
$86,424/day

Categories

1
⚽ SPORTS#1,759,373$-43,727Vol: $226,885,469

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-43,727
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$226,885,469
Total Redeem
$256,005
Portfolio
$5,288
Predictions
18949
total markets
Trades
72689B / 0S
Daily Volume
$86,424
Account Age
673d
since Aug 24, 2024

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-43,727
Vol: $226,885,469

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
239W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$7,065,739
Win Rate
28%
134W / 342L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$427
Avg Loss
$-42,156

Top Winners

Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$5,564
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5$5,121
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-04-21?$4,638
Will Oxford United FC vs. Wrexham AFC end in a draw?$3,587
Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 3.5$3,201
Spread: Brighton & Hove Albion FC (-2.5)$3,059
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Deportivo Alavés end in a draw?$3,010
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-04-22?$2,633
Will Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?$2,281
Will Athletic Club vs. CA Osasuna end in a draw?$2,125

Top Losers

Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?$-393,382
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-03?$-258,845
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?$-215,482
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-01-28?$-206,247
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-15?$-198,400
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-22?$-193,461
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-01-28?$-187,669
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?$-187,109
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?$-173,457
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-21?$-171,019

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.909
Sortino
inf
HHI
66
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.972
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
8.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
562.4
Very active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
10s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.0m
between trades
Night Trading
7%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 10s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.77 — diverse, typical for human7% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.18 — human randomness562 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
133.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
64 entries
<=2
98 entries
<=5
139 entries
<=10
192 entries
<=20
233 entries
<=50
285 entries
>50
261 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.3%
Mid (20-55c)44.9%
High (>55c)43.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 41.3%

Dallas$33
Jinmen Hu FC win$0
Toronto$0
Houston$-4
New York City$-24
Los Angeles$-113
Atlanta$-308
Shanghai$-5,517
Chongqing$-10,853
Austin$-10,929
Miami$-13,069
Milan$-70,701
Paris$-635,260
Madrid$-1,594,444
Other$-12,019,113

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
318

Single bracket

<=1
241 brackets
<=2
266 brackets
<=3
291 brackets
<=4
294 brackets
<=5
296 brackets
<=8
318 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/14/2025, 4:06:13 AM6 trades$4,1431 min
12/14/2025, 4:15:05 AM38 trades$29,09821 min
12/14/2025, 4:46:23 AM1 trades$110 min
12/14/2025, 5:09:29 AM2 trades$201 min
12/14/2025, 5:15:55 AM1 trades$60 min
12/14/2025, 5:56:39 AM1 trades$60 min
12/14/2025, 8:20:51 AM1 trades$170 min
12/14/2025, 8:27:13 AM1 trades$1,0150 min
12/14/2025, 8:49:57 AM2 trades$1390 min
12/14/2025, 9:13:01 AM1 trades$00 min
12/14/2025, 9:24:25 AM2 trades$31 min
12/14/2025, 10:50:25 AM1 trades$20 min
12/14/2025, 11:14:07 AM2 trades$1,0120 min
12/14/2025, 11:24:49 AM1 trades$1400 min
12/14/2025, 11:49:31 AM1 trades$5200 min
12/14/2025, 11:54:33 AM1 trades$930 min
12/14/2025, 12:55:11 PM1 trades$1590 min
12/14/2025, 1:01:03 PM1 trades$80 min
12/14/2025, 1:14:01 PM2 trades$65 min
12/14/2025, 1:30:01 PM13 trades$1,18213 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-05
01-03
01-31
02-17
03-09
03-27
04-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 133.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event