BookTrader

@BookTrader

#8,86829

0x20fb2afaa4c0133bbe49e61bf81cd976c594e5fa

~183d· 272 markets · 10152 tradesVol: $31,183,2092026-08-02 06:05:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

48% (128/269)8.8/20
0.99x (win $279,042 / loss $281,497)2.4/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.0370/15
Sortino -0.0560/10
$-0.0024 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 505 (269 markets)10/10
56/94 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 955% of peak ($115,659 / $12,106)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+17,396
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 37.7 entries/market
Whale
$1,004,481 invested
High Roller
$4,484/day
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
87% maker orders

Categories

8
SPORTS#3,142$17,883Vol: $30,395,407
🏛️ POLITICS#37,736$274Vol: $581,722
🌤️ WEATHER#734$2,694Vol: $86,351
🎭 CULTURE#807,807$-711Vol: $52,171
💰 FINANCE#655,864$-2,968Vol: $41,257
CRYPTO#57,743$256Vol: $20,149
💻 TECH#230,481$-14Vol: $2,753
📈 ECONOMICS#631,328$-24Vol: $2,294

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$17,396
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$31,183,209
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
272
total markets
Trades
7857B / 2295S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~183d

Periods

#2
Week
$-94
Vol: $0
All Time
$17,396
Vol: $31,183,209

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
48%
128W / 141L events
Realized PnL
$17,396
Win Rate
48%
128W / 141L
Profit Factor
0.99x
Avg Win
$2,180
Avg Loss
$-1,996

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $259,515 (14.918192557420307% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$243,596
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?$9,822
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$6,097
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3,731
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$1,570
Will Italy win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?$1,393
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?$957
Will Lucas Pinheiro Braathen (BRA) win the gold medal for Winter Olympics 2026: Alpine - Men's Slalom at the 2026 Milano Cortina Winter Olympics?$815
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 15?$712
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?$646

Top Losers

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-85,467
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-73,157
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-44,231
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-27,062
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,559
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,549
Will Bosnia-Herzegovina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-4,000
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,655
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-3,403
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 3, 2026?$-3,066

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.002
Sortino
-0.002
HHI
536
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
12.2%
Top-5 markets
44.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
45.3
Active
Markets / Day
1.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.7m
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.01
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
9 min
Avg Trades / Session
25.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 78s — normal for humanCV 6.01 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock45 trades/day — high frequency1.2 markets/day — normal87% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
37.69
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.1%
Mid (20-55c)9%
High (>55c)27.9%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 3:03:28 AM16 trades$68,1227 min
7/28/2026, 6:38:55 PM21 trades$51,4961 min
7/18/2026, 9:11:06 PM100 trades$28,62129 min
7/19/2026, 9:12:55 PM22 trades$26,7577 min
7/19/2026, 9:31:58 PM13 trades$26,2924 min
7/14/2026, 1:58:56 PM5 trades$26,0610 min
7/19/2026, 9:06:09 PM1 trades$25,0740 min
7/22/2026, 4:35:25 AM3 trades$25,0060 min
7/11/2026, 8:03:43 PM157 trades$23,549114 min
7/19/2026, 6:56:10 PM7 trades$23,2501 min
7/19/2026, 10:00:24 PM14 trades$19,9809 min
7/10/2026, 10:02:25 PM73 trades$19,57729 min
6/28/2026, 9:53:01 PM43 trades$17,0480 min
6/7/2026, 7:12:39 PM30 trades$16,5493 min
7/14/2026, 8:35:08 PM22 trades$14,03218 min
7/14/2026, 6:55:35 PM25 trades$13,7295 min
7/10/2026, 7:36:59 PM64 trades$13,4044 min
7/13/2026, 11:28:08 AM4 trades$12,2970 min
1/27/2026, 2:45:39 PM3 trades$11,9150 min
5/13/2026, 5:54:14 PM2 trades$11,5000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-23
01-14
01-31
02-20
03-23
06-17
07-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 58 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 37.69/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.1 / M9 / H27.9