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@Bumpy-Accessory

#2,723,01875

0x32ccd9015a900fde62040162a04bedf093c668b3

54d· 11203 markets · 8876 tradesVol: $17,184,9962026-05-15T20:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 92%20/20
Profit Factor 0.05x0/15
Sharpe 0.85715/15
Sortino 103646.63910/10
HHI 10510/10
Profit Days 97%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Bumpy-Accessory is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, having executed 8,876 trades across 891 markets over 97 days. Despite a substantial total volume of over $17 million, their net PnL stands at -$142,110.30, placing them at rank #2,723,018 on the global leaderboard. Their portfolio value remains modest at $7,230.44, and they maintain a very good Smart Score of 75 and a bot score of 80, indicating a strong use of automated trading tools.

The trader favors a high-frequency, automated trading style, as reflected in their bot score and the large number of trades. Bumpy-Accessory exhibits a relatively conservative risk profile with a Sharpe ratio of 0.86 and a short max drawdown duration of zero days, suggesting quick recovery from losses. Their win rate is 55.2%, though the profit factor is notably low at 0.05, implying that losses outweigh gains over time. The flat equity trend indicates stable portfolio value without significant growth or decline.

Strengths for Bumpy-Accessory include a consistent trading cadence and effective use of bots, supported by badges like "Sniper" and "DCA Master," which highlight precision and dollar-cost averaging strategies. However, the negative net PnL and low profit factor raise concerns about profitability sustainability. While the stable equity and quick drawdown recovery are positives, the data suggests the trader may benefit from refining trade selection or risk management to improve long-term returns on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 92%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 9.9 entries/market
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Whale
$1,794,439
Consistent
56/58 days
High Roller
$18,499/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,646,327$-110,956Vol: $16,826,724
CRYPTO#1,509,928$-31,367Vol: $356,987
📈 ECONOMICS#7,277$191Vol: $1,030

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-142,110
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,184,996
Total Redeem
$44,615
Portfolio
$7,230
Predictions
11203
total markets
Trades
8856B / 20S
Daily Volume
$18,499
Account Age
54d
since Mar 27, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$1,536
Vol: $1,931
Week
$-8,423
Vol: $126,110
Month
$-266,486
Vol: $2,927,154
All Time
$-142,110
Vol: $17,184,996

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
93%
236W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$1,874,984
Win Rate
55%
352W / 286L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$229
Avg Loss
$-5,755

Top Winners

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$19,547
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner$15,473
Lightning vs. Sabres$6,446
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun$4,931
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)$4,775
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-06?$4,544
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 8.5$3,723
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardians$3,198
Juventus FC vs. Genoa CFC: O/U 2.5$3,077
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants$3,055

Top Losers

Wild vs. Avalanche$-65,145
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5$-61,614
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-44,394
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner$-37,750
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-34,371
Raptors vs. Cavaliers$-30,381
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-30,358
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$-29,852
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs$-27,576
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$-26,756

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.857
Sortino
inf
HHI
105
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.878
Kelly %
2.2%
Half-Kelly
1.1%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
176.9
Very active
Markets / Day
17.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
36s
between trades
Avg Gap
8.1m
between trades
Night Trading
32%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.7

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 36s — typical for humanSize CV 5.00 — diverse, typical for human32% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness177 trades/day — automation18 markets/day — mass coverage304 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.9
Active DCA
<=1
302 entries
<=2
428 entries
<=5
617 entries
<=10
711 entries
<=20
780 entries
<=50
863 entries
>50
28 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.8%
Mid (20-55c)49.4%
High (>55c)38.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.2%

San Francisco$3,058
Atlanta$1,412
Wuhan$4
Shenzhen$3
New York City$2
Milan$0
Austin$0
Dallas$0
Shanghai$-6
Beijing$-13
Toronto$-23
Lucknow$-2,744
São Paulo$-2,790
Houston$-4,251
Seattle$-4,751
Chicago$-4,854
Madrid$-8,874
Miami$-10,369

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
622

Single bracket

<=1
457 brackets
<=2
569 brackets
<=3
604 brackets
<=4
611 brackets
<=5
616 brackets
<=8
620 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/26/2026, 4:27:13 PM1 trades$10 min
3/27/2026, 12:30:41 AM1 trades$00 min
3/28/2026, 1:03:27 PM1 trades$00 min
3/28/2026, 3:34:15 PM1 trades$00 min
4/4/2026, 11:02:53 AM1 trades$110 min
4/4/2026, 12:49:05 PM2 trades$4043 min
4/4/2026, 6:25:11 PM2 trades$4382 min
4/4/2026, 6:39:57 PM1 trades$2,2150 min
4/4/2026, 6:45:05 PM3 trades$7912 min
4/4/2026, 7:50:27 PM1 trades$150 min
4/4/2026, 8:23:17 PM1 trades$3140 min
4/4/2026, 8:29:01 PM2 trades$6640 min
4/4/2026, 11:28:21 PM2 trades$2930 min
4/5/2026, 12:16:41 AM1 trades$940 min
4/5/2026, 2:54:37 AM1 trades$2010 min
4/5/2026, 10:21:17 AM1 trades$560 min
4/5/2026, 12:50:43 PM1 trades$4810 min
4/5/2026, 3:16:25 PM1 trades$340 min
4/5/2026, 3:25:25 PM11 trades$5351 min
4/5/2026, 3:32:55 PM5 trades$5153 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-05
04-14
04-23
05-02
05-13
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event