Polydata

@Bumpy-Accessory

#2,914,07275

0x32ccd9015a900fde62040162a04bedf093c668b3

91d· 15735 markets · 7620 tradesVol: $17,829,7592026-06-24T23:31
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 91%20/20
Profit Factor 0.05x0/15
Sharpe 0.77915/15
Sortino 28235792.76510/10
HHI 10610/10
Profit Days 99%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Bumpy-Accessory is an active trader on Polymarket with 7,620 trades across 713 markets over 98 days. Despite a high trading volume of nearly $17.83 million, the trader currently holds a net loss of $156,652.33 and ranks #2,914,072 on the global PnL leaderboard. The portfolio value stands at $2,185.76, and the equity trend appears stable without significant fluctuations.

The trader’s strategy reflects a balanced risk profile with a 50% win rate and a profit factor of 0.05, indicating that losing trades have substantially outweighed gains. Bumpy-Accessory shows a consistent, perhaps methodical approach, as suggested by a Sharpe ratio of 0.78 and a zero-day max drawdown duration. The absence of weather markets and a 0% sell percentage imply a strong preference for holding positions rather than frequent exiting, aligning with badges like Diamond Hands and DCA Master.

Bumpy-Accessory’s strengths include a very good Smart Score of 75 and a solid combination of manual and bot trading (Bot Score 65), which may support disciplined execution. However, the significant net loss and low profit factor highlight substantial downside risk. The flat equity trend suggests limited growth potential at present, and the trader’s overall performance on Polymarket could improve by addressing these inefficiencies.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 91%
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 10.7 entries/market
Win Streak
26 wins in a row
Whale
$1,789,758
Consistent
66/67 days
High Roller
$18,263/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,749,424$-163,342Vol: $13,509,034
CRYPTO#1,605,510$-31,367Vol: $356,987
📈 ECONOMICS#6,565$247Vol: $1,030

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-156,652
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,829,759
Total Redeem
$57,159
Portfolio
$2,186
Predictions
15735
total markets
Trades
7595B / 25S
Daily Volume
$18,263
Account Age
91d
since Mar 27, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-548
Vol: $15,786
Week
$5,482
Vol: $90,606
Month
$13,017
Vol: $255,220
All Time
$-156,652
Vol: $17,829,759

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
95%
238W / 13L events
Realized PnL
$1,891,330
Win Rate
50%
261W / 261L
Profit Factor
0.05x
Avg Win
$292
Avg Loss
$-6,297

Top Winners

LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$19,547
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner$15,473
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11,586
Wuning 2: Sergey Fomin vs Fajing Sun$4,931
New York Mets vs. San Francisco Giants$3,055
Upper Austria Ladies Linz: Katie Boulter vs Gabriela Ruse$2,509
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$2,468
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-22?$2,435
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Philadelphia Phillies$1,457
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?$1,438

Top Losers

Wild vs. Avalanche$-65,145
Lakers vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5$-61,614
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-44,394
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX - Map 2 Winner$-37,750
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-34,371
Raptors vs. Cavaliers$-30,381
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-30,358
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner$-29,852
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs 3DMAX (BO3) - PGL Bucharest Playoffs$-27,576
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner$-26,756

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.779
Sortino
inf
HHI
106
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.878
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
14.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
93.5
Very active
Markets / Day
8.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
10.9m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.62
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.3

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 38s — typical for humanSize CV 4.62 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness93 trades/day — mass trading314 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.7
Heavy DCA
<=1
228 entries
<=2
320 entries
<=5
442 entries
<=10
522 entries
<=20
610 entries
<=50
687 entries
>50
26 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.8%
Mid (20-55c)53%
High (>55c)41.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 47.9%

San Francisco$3,061
Dallas$68
Atlanta$47
Taipei$1
Toronto$0
Lucknow$-2,744
São Paulo$-2,802
Houston$-3,944
Chicago$-4,702
Seattle$-4,715
Madrid$-8,973
Miami$-10,103
Paris$-27,945
Los Angeles$-37,977
Other$-1,466,523

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
464

Single bracket

<=1
371 brackets
<=2
425 brackets
<=3
438 brackets
<=4
447 brackets
<=5
447 brackets
<=8
455 brackets
>8
9 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/4/2026, 11:02:53 AM1 trades$110 min
4/4/2026, 12:49:05 PM2 trades$4043 min
4/4/2026, 6:25:11 PM2 trades$4382 min
4/4/2026, 6:39:57 PM1 trades$2,2150 min
4/4/2026, 6:45:05 PM3 trades$7912 min
4/4/2026, 7:50:27 PM1 trades$150 min
4/4/2026, 8:23:17 PM1 trades$3140 min
4/4/2026, 8:29:01 PM2 trades$6640 min
4/4/2026, 11:28:21 PM2 trades$2930 min
4/5/2026, 12:16:41 AM1 trades$940 min
4/5/2026, 12:50:43 PM1 trades$4810 min
4/5/2026, 3:16:25 PM1 trades$340 min
4/5/2026, 4:33:45 PM1 trades$3370 min
4/5/2026, 5:28:13 PM2 trades$9240 min
4/5/2026, 7:37:49 PM1 trades$3490 min
4/5/2026, 7:50:03 PM1 trades$680 min
4/5/2026, 7:55:25 PM1 trades$120 min
4/5/2026, 8:03:11 PM6 trades$5799 min
4/5/2026, 8:43:13 PM5 trades$1047 min
4/5/2026, 8:55:23 PM24 trades$2,50723 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-26
04-07
04-18
04-29
05-12
06-13
06-27
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.7/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event