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@Buoyant-Raisin

#17,13193

0xc09924a1fdb460ecb0c2f4d14ac606eba6a79d24

79d· 295 markets · 599 tradesVol: $36,5772026-05-14T13:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 99.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.4408/15
Sortino 266361.95910/10
EV $+0.89110/10
HHI 13010/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Buoyant-Raisin is an active trader on Polymarket, with 599 trades across 294 markets over 64 days. Ranked #17131 globally, they have achieved a net profit of $6,689.48 on a total trading volume of $36,577. Their Smart Score of 93/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong performance and consistency, despite a relatively modest Sharpe ratio of 0.44. The trader’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, suggesting profits may have been withdrawn or realized fully.

The trading style of Buoyant-Raisin appears focused on steady, low-risk engagements, as indicated by their 100% win rate and zero recorded drawdown duration. They show no activity in weather markets and do not employ selling strategies, suggesting a buy-and-hold or long-position bias. Their timing pattern is consistent, with no significant equity fluctuations, implying disciplined entries and exits. The presence of badges such as Sniper and Diamond Hands reinforces a patient and precise approach, likely leveraging short-term opportunities with minimal exposure to downside.

Buoyant-Raisin’s strengths lie in their flawless win record and disciplined trade execution, which contribute to steady profitability and a strong reputation on Polymarket. However, the zero profit factor and flat equity trend could indicate limited upside potential or cautious risk management that caps returns. Additionally, the low Bot Score suggests manual trading, which may limit scalability. Overall, Buoyant-Raisin exemplifies consistent, low-volatility trading but may face challenges in capturing larger market swings.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+6,689
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
292 wins in a row
Consistent
62/62 days

Categories

1
CRYPTO#6,574$6,689Vol: $36,577

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,689
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$36,577
Total Redeem
$35,045
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
295
total markets
Trades
599B / 0S
Daily Volume
$303
Account Age
79d
since Mar 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$154
Vol: $689
All Time
$6,689
Vol: $36,577

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$7,589
Win Rate
100%
292W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$57
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,021 (24.4% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12AM ET$2,090
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1,064
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1AM ET$867
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$703
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$700
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$465
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$446
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$394
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$365
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$360

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.441
Sortino
inf
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.891
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.8%
Top-5 markets
17%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
9.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
4.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9h
between trades
Avg Gap
3.7h
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.74
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 6900s — typical for humanSize CV 1.74 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2
Single entry
<=1
181 entries
<=2
236 entries
<=5
280 entries
<=10
289 entries
<=20
292 entries
<=50
294 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.2%
Mid (20-55c)14.7%
High (>55c)84.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 55.4%

Other$16,514

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
294

Single bracket

<=1
294 brackets
<=2
294 brackets
<=3
294 brackets
<=4
294 brackets
<=5
294 brackets
<=8
294 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 5:45:05 PM2 trades$60 min
3/3/2026, 6:10:05 PM1 trades$260 min
3/3/2026, 6:30:09 PM1 trades$380 min
3/3/2026, 8:20:05 PM5 trades$420 min
3/4/2026, 1:10:11 AM2 trades$200 min
3/4/2026, 2:00:21 AM3 trades$550 min
3/4/2026, 4:50:21 AM1 trades$50 min
3/4/2026, 6:15:11 AM2 trades$30 min
3/4/2026, 6:25:05 AM2 trades$100 min
3/4/2026, 6:50:05 AM2 trades$250 min
3/4/2026, 7:05:05 AM3 trades$410 min
3/4/2026, 7:35:21 AM1 trades$80 min
3/4/2026, 7:35:05 PM3 trades$490 min
3/5/2026, 12:00:05 AM1 trades$30 min
3/5/2026, 12:05:07 AM2 trades$490 min
3/5/2026, 5:35:09 AM3 trades$270 min
3/5/2026, 5:55:09 AM1 trades$410 min
3/5/2026, 6:30:05 AM10 trades$130 min
3/5/2026, 8:30:05 AM6 trades$390 min
3/5/2026, 4:30:05 PM2 trades$590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-13
03-24
04-05
04-15
04-25
05-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event