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@Buoyant-Raisin

#18,76792

0xc09924a1fdb460ecb0c2f4d14ac606eba6a79d24

115d· 849 markets · 1176 tradesVol: $45,2862026-06-24T08:23
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

92
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 700.75x15/15
Sharpe 0.3717/15
Sortino 187503.65110/10
EV $+0.76610/10
HHI 8310/10
Profit Days 100%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Buoyant-Raisin is an elite Polymarket trader ranked #18,767 globally by net profit. With 1,176 trades across 848 markets over 113 active days, they have generated a net PnL of $6,705.83 on a total volume of $45,286. Their Smart Score of 92/100 places them among the platform’s most skilled traders, while maintaining a consistent equity trend without open positions. The trader’s win rate of 99.5% and an exceptional profit factor of 700.75 highlight their effectiveness in capturing profitable opportunities.

The trading style of Buoyant-Raisin is characterized by a highly selective and low-risk approach. They show no exposure to weather markets and have never sold positions, indicating a strong buy-and-hold or sniper strategy focused on high-confidence entries. Their top badges, including Sniper and Diamond Hands, reflect a preference for precision timing and holding winning trades. The flat equity trend and zero max drawdown duration suggest disciplined position management and a cautious risk profile, avoiding significant losses or volatility in their portfolio.

Buoyant-Raisin’s key strengths lie in their exceptional consistency and ability to maintain a near-perfect win rate on Polymarket. Their disciplined style minimizes drawdowns and preserves capital, which is advantageous in uncertain markets. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio of 0.37 suggests limited risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of sell trades could imply missed opportunities for profit-taking or portfolio rebalancing. Additionally, the low Bot Score indicates manual trading, which may limit scalability. Overall, Buoyant-Raisin combines precision and patience but may face challenges adapting to rapidly changing market conditions.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+6,706
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
429 wins in a row
Consistent
93/93 days

Categories

1
CRYPTO#6,997$6,706Vol: $45,286

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,706
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$45,286
Total Redeem
$40,189
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
849
total markets
Trades
1176B / 0S
Daily Volume
$217
Account Age
115d
since Mar 3, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $21
Week
$3
Vol: $250
Month
$32
Vol: $7,627
All Time
$6,706
Vol: $45,286

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
250W / 0L events
Realized PnL
$7,992
Win Rate
99%
756W / 4L
Profit Factor
700.75x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,021 (23.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 12AM ET$2,090
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET$1,064
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1AM ET$867
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$703
XRP Up or Down - March 7, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET$700
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$465
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$446
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$394
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$365
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$360

Top Losers

Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 10AM ET$-15
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET$-4
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.371
Sortino
inf
HHI
83
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.766
Kelly %
99.2%
Half-Kelly
49.6%
Top-1 market
3.8%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.4
Active
Markets / Day
7.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
45.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.03
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.0

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2700s — typical for humanSize CV 2.03 — diverse, typical for human26% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness10 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry
<=1
722 entries
<=2
785 entries
<=5
833 entries
<=10
843 entries
<=20
846 entries
<=50
848 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)11.8%
High (>55c)86.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 53.6%

Other$17,438

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1
Events covered
848

Single bracket

<=1
848 brackets
<=2
848 brackets
<=3
848 brackets
<=4
848 brackets
<=5
848 brackets
<=8
848 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/3/2026, 5:45:05 PM2 trades$60 min
3/3/2026, 6:10:05 PM1 trades$260 min
3/3/2026, 6:30:09 PM1 trades$380 min
3/3/2026, 8:20:05 PM5 trades$420 min
3/4/2026, 1:10:11 AM2 trades$200 min
3/4/2026, 2:00:21 AM3 trades$550 min
3/4/2026, 4:50:21 AM1 trades$50 min
3/4/2026, 6:15:11 AM2 trades$30 min
3/4/2026, 6:25:05 AM2 trades$100 min
3/4/2026, 6:50:05 AM2 trades$250 min
3/4/2026, 7:05:05 AM3 trades$410 min
3/4/2026, 7:35:21 AM1 trades$80 min
3/4/2026, 7:35:05 PM3 trades$490 min
3/5/2026, 12:00:05 AM1 trades$30 min
3/5/2026, 12:05:07 AM2 trades$490 min
3/5/2026, 5:35:09 AM3 trades$270 min
3/5/2026, 5:55:09 AM1 trades$410 min
3/5/2026, 6:30:05 AM10 trades$130 min
3/5/2026, 8:30:05 AM6 trades$390 min
3/5/2026, 4:30:05 PM2 trades$590 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-03
03-18
04-05
04-20
05-05
06-07
06-22

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1 br/event