Polydata

@CDAP1

#3,4923

0xe033e9d4a0e8b30c417f3f7abcb029bc695940a5

~129d· 41 markets · 9551 tradesVol: $8,132,0132026-08-01 04:20:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

3
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (10/28)2.9/20
0.19x (win $31,487 / loss $164,691)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.1910/15
Sortino -4.1760/10
$-0.2952 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2943 (28 markets)0/10
7/23 profitable days (30%)0.1/10
Max DD 699% of peak ($155,441 / $22,237)0/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+50,650
Lottery Player
83% entries < $0.20
Whale
$451,201 invested
High Roller
$2,350/day
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

2
📈 ECONOMICS#136$50,233Vol: $8,093,747
🏛️ POLITICS#25,804$548Vol: $38,265

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$50,781
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,132,013
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
6714B / 2837S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~129d

Periods

#2
Today
$134
Vol: $0
Week
$-63,150
Vol: $1,233,584
Month
$134
Vol: $0
All Time
$50,781
Vol: $8,132,013

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
36%
10W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$50,650
Win Rate
36%
10W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.19x
Avg Win
$3,149
Avg Loss
$-9,150

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,862 (0.5698262377090884% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$25,323
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?$2,858
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?$681
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?$660
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$639
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?$602
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$449
Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$119
Will Tom Steyer finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?$104
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?$52

Top Losers

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-115,243
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-22,109
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$-9,613
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-7,019
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-2,944
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-2,347
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-2,075
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?$-1,371
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-571
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-500

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.215
Sortino
-0.187
HHI
985
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.453
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
28.8%
Top-5 markets
51.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
44s
between trades
Avg Gap
22.0m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
23.6

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 44s — normal for humanCV 6.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock50 trades/day — high frequency0.2 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
261.39
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)83.3%
Mid (20-55c)9.2%
High (>55c)7.4%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 9:44:59 AM46 trades$65,9811 min
7/22/2026, 2:50:39 PM18 trades$49,9910 min
7/21/2026, 8:39:37 PM26 trades$44,0680 min
7/29/2026, 12:17:41 PM75 trades$42,90437 min
7/14/2026, 12:30:08 PM18 trades$35,0742 min
7/14/2026, 10:16:47 AM25 trades$33,9172 min
7/2/2026, 12:56:05 PM5 trades$30,6303 min
7/12/2026, 9:48:58 PM22 trades$28,5661 min
7/27/2026, 10:20:25 AM29 trades$28,2009 min
7/29/2026, 6:46:41 PM6 trades$27,5934 min
3/19/2026, 1:01:19 AM61 trades$24,42833 min
7/27/2026, 11:11:51 AM31 trades$23,5704 min
7/14/2026, 11:11:32 AM11 trades$20,9773 min
7/26/2026, 9:36:27 PM128 trades$20,77118 min
7/26/2026, 8:44:00 PM17 trades$19,9676 min
7/7/2026, 6:50:22 PM28 trades$19,5630 min
7/15/2026, 8:01:07 PM77 trades$19,1024 min
7/14/2026, 10:23:38 AM18 trades$18,9852 min
7/14/2026, 3:42:22 PM28 trades$16,6370 min
7/12/2026, 9:11:25 PM11 trades$15,1340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-11
03-03
03-15
03-23
04-05
04-27
05-06
06-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 92 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 261.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L83.3 / M9.2 / H7.4