@CalculatedRisk08
#12,376800xe937357d6b851c08f258fc0b325fd71dfb06d46a
~100d· 422 markets · 3717 tradesVol: $398,9152026-08-04 21:49:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
42% (174/416)5.9/20
1.95x (win $28,630 / loss $14,648)14.4/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.61015/15
Sortino 8.78410/10
$+0.2796 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 167 (416 markets)10/10
43/88 profitable days (49%)4.7/10
Max DD 17% of peak ($2,747 / $16,109)10/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+12,049
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
Whale
$50,011 invested
Cool Head
Max DD 17%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9🏛️ POLITICS#5,319$6,452Vol: $164,791
💰 FINANCE#1,366$3,864Vol: $66,102
₿ CRYPTO#1,495,366$-123Vol: $53,365
🎭 CULTURE#2,000$3,664Vol: $42,844
🌤️ WEATHER#284,384$-95Vol: $33,718
⚽ SPORTS#1,845,113$-1,460Vol: $27,888
💻 TECH#16,682$12Vol: $5,128
📈 ECONOMICS#285,493$-0Vol: $2,042
📢 MENTIONS#166,174$-127Vol: $986
Overview
#1Net PnL
$12,049
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$398,915
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
422
total markets
Trades
2294B / 1423S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d
Periods
#2Today
$7
Vol: $116
Week
$18
Vol: $458
Month
$18
Vol: $458
All Time
$12,049
Vol: $398,915
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
42%
174W / 242L events
Realized PnL
$12,049
Win Rate
42%
174W / 242L
Profit Factor
1.95x
Avg Win
$165
Avg Loss
$-62
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $12,037 (0.9990413792187615% of PnL)
Top Winners
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$4,982
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$3,715
Will the number of Israel Rocket Alerts since Operation Lion's Roar be at least 20,000 by March 20?$3,340
Will GroenLinks (GL) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?$1,309
Will the US strike Somalia next?$1,265
Will Memphis Depay be in Netherlands's Starting 11?$1,049
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$986
Will an Iranian agent be charged in the US by April 30?$788
Will Khamenei post 0-4 posts from June 12 to June 19, 2026?$682
Will there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$563
Top Losers
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 16?$-2,189
Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by April 5?$-935
Will Trump praise Lionel Messi by June 30?$-828
Michael Olise: 1+ goals$-558
Will Elon Musk be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?$-508
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-394
Le Mans FC vs. Pau FC: Both Teams to Score$-354
Federico Valverde: 1+ goals$-353
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 8?$-351
ChatGPT Outage by March 15?$-337
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.188
Sortino
0.360
HHI
244
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.277
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.2%
Top-5 markets
26.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
19.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.2m
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.7
Bot Detection
#620
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 284s — normal for humanCV 2.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock19 trades/day — very active2.2 markets/day — normal66% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 23:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
9.05
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)56.1%
Mid (20-55c)28.3%
High (>55c)15.6%
Sessions
#126/8/2026, 6:26:40 PM6 trades$2,9783 min
4/1/2026, 12:03:37 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
4/19/2026, 10:23:34 PM2 trades$2,4240 min
6/15/2026, 4:29:36 PM13 trades$2,3053 min
4/1/2026, 10:53:39 PM16 trades$2,1928 min
6/18/2026, 5:44:58 PM12 trades$2,0161 min
1/30/2026, 11:49:44 AM4 trades$1,7963 min
6/16/2026, 12:18:37 AM3 trades$1,5840 min
2/28/2026, 8:04:27 AM6 trades$1,3241 min
6/16/2026, 12:13:10 AM17 trades$1,0780 min
6/8/2026, 11:23:04 PM2 trades$9982 min
3/11/2026, 10:07:13 AM4 trades$8364 min
3/30/2026, 9:14:48 AM32 trades$83032 min
3/26/2026, 2:54:23 PM5 trades$8173 min
5/23/2026, 5:45:23 AM13 trades$8044 min
3/18/2026, 11:11:21 PM19 trades$80225 min
6/24/2026, 11:21:35 PM8 trades$7931 min
3/10/2026, 10:16:45 PM1 trades$7800 min
1/25/2026, 9:18:28 PM8 trades$77810 min
6/3/2026, 6:27:40 AM16 trades$7671 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-23
02-07
02-28
03-15
03-30
05-28
06-24
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 1 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
38.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.05/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.1 / M28.3 / H15.6