CapyOnChain

@CapyOnChain

#68,02032

0x2d7823cd013afabd6fa239e335746ce7e6a3f923

~93d· 410 markets · 2179 tradesVol: $41,543 @Apa1880002026-08-04 16:19:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

65% (216/332)17.5/20
0.45x (win $228 / loss $502)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4240/15
Sortino -2.4560/10
$-0.0205 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 582 (332 markets)9.6/10
26/52 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 858% of peak ($319 / $37)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 65%
Profitable
PnL $+1,366
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
CRYPTO#25,474$1,398Vol: $36,134
🏛️ POLITICS#1,026,029$-2Vol: $3,115
🌤️ WEATHER#244,414$-10Vol: $622
SPORTS#406,744$2Vol: $541
💰 FINANCE#538,722$-4Vol: $388
📈 ECONOMICS#579,561$-6Vol: $315
🎭 CULTURE#611,883$-3Vol: $261
📢 MENTIONS#107,483$-4Vol: $140
💻 TECH#183,167$-1Vol: $3

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,366
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$41,543
Total Redeem
$25
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
410
total markets
Trades
1052B / 1127S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~93d

Periods

#2
Today
$-31
Vol: $111
Week
$-20
Vol: $122
Month
$-21
Vol: $132
All Time
$1,366
Vol: $41,543

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
65%
216W / 116L events
Realized PnL
$1,366
Win Rate
65%
216W / 116L
Profit Factor
0.45x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-8

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74 (0.05398779291872191% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran close its airspace by July 31?$41
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 19?$18
Will Iran close its airspace by July 15?$14
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$10
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$8
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$6
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 24°C on June 19?$5
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$4
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves$3

Top Losers

Will Reppo launch a token by June 30, 2027?$-292
Will o1 launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-29
Will the announcers say "Shot" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$-19
Will the announcers say "Ankle" during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$-18
Will Snowflake Q1 Product revenue be above $1.25B?$-16
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-6
Will the announcers say "Goal" 20+ times during the Mexico vs South Korea FIFA World Cup Match?$-5
ITF Sapporo: Ayumi Miyamoto vs Sae Noguchi$-4
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$-4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 20?$-4

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.126
Sortino
-0.087
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.062
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
16.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
9.1

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 424s — normal for humanCV 1.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active3.1 markets/day — normal47% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.2
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.9%
Mid (20-55c)21.3%
High (>55c)70.8%

Sessions

#12
6/15/2026, 2:42:40 PM5 trades$7490 min
5/28/2026, 2:14:01 AM8 trades$7301 min
6/15/2026, 2:30:21 PM2 trades$6300 min
6/8/2026, 3:45:18 AM12 trades$5915 min
6/10/2026, 5:40:19 AM30 trades$4915 min
6/11/2026, 9:41:48 AM7 trades$4130 min
5/22/2026, 3:31:14 PM9 trades$4096 min
6/12/2026, 1:58:21 PM7 trades$3844 min
6/15/2026, 2:20:55 PM4 trades$3700 min
6/8/2026, 11:50:58 PM7 trades$3340 min
6/16/2026, 2:34:13 AM10 trades$3163 min
7/8/2026, 2:35:20 AM18 trades$3146 min
6/23/2026, 9:59:49 AM15 trades$3000 min
6/12/2026, 12:50:22 AM12 trades$3001 min
6/19/2026, 11:37:14 PM22 trades$28912 min
6/6/2026, 3:53:40 PM6 trades$2850 min
6/23/2026, 10:40:17 AM6 trades$2731 min
6/9/2026, 12:35:46 PM8 trades$2642 min
7/30/2026, 8:05:15 AM11 trades$2601 min
7/12/2026, 11:51:01 AM9 trades$2570 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-28
05-01
05-17
05-25
06-07
06-19
06-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.9 / M21.3 / H70.8