Polydata
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@Caring-Median

#6,81691

0x55ab6191d1d3609f6ffb12f17d56fe9453da4f88

135d· 5023 markets · 4567 tradesVol: $1,374,4742026-06-06T11:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

91
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 52%11/20
Profit Factor 7.22x15/15
Sharpe 0.82115/15
Sortino 1.66410/10
EV $+4.26710/10
HHI 8610/10
Profit Days 85%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Caring-Median is a highly active Polymarket trader ranked #6816 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 123 days, they have executed 4,567 trades across 694 markets, generating a net profit of $19,978.41 on a total volume of $1,374,474. Their Smart Score of 91/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting strong overall performance and consistency. Despite a relatively modest portfolio value of $5,347.08, Caring-Median maintains a solid profit factor of 1.68 and a win rate of 65.7%.

The trader prefers diverse markets, avoiding weather-related questions, and demonstrates a mixed bot-manual approach with a Bot Score of 65/100. Caring-Median’s strategy appears risk-conscious, as indicated by a Sharpe Ratio of 0.82 and zero max drawdown days, suggesting effective risk management. Their trading style involves disciplined dollar-cost averaging and contrarian positions, supported by badges such as Diamond Hands and DCA Master. Equity trends are flat, implying a stable portfolio without significant fluctuations, and they do not engage in selling positions prematurely.

Caring-Median’s strengths include consistent profitability, a disciplined approach to risk, and a broad market presence. Their contrarian style and win streak badges indicate an ability to capitalize on less obvious opportunities. Potential risks involve a relatively low portfolio value given their volume and the semi-automated trading style, which might limit scalability or expose them to technical dependencies. Overall, Caring-Median’s data suggests a reliable, steady trader with balanced risk and reward on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+19,978
Contrarian
65% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 6.6 entries/market
Win Streak
11 wins in a row
Whale
$81,396
Consistent
85/100 days
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

5
SPORTS#2,657$18,582Vol: $1,291,497
🎭 CULTURE#759,500$-101Vol: $52,129
💰 FINANCE#2,679$1,582Vol: $14,109
📢 MENTIONS#160,748$-246Vol: $13,804
📈 ECONOMICS#8,303$162Vol: $2,935

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$19,978
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,374,474
Total Redeem
$43,653
Portfolio
$5,347
Predictions
5023
total markets
Trades
4565B / 2S
Daily Volume
$662
Account Age
135d
since Feb 11, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-181
Vol: $34,609
Week
$2,596
Vol: $140,432
Month
$2,596
Vol: $121,683
All Time
$19,978
Vol: $1,374,474

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
57%
265W / 201L events
Realized PnL
$93,786
Win Rate
66%
165W / 86L
Profit Factor
1.68x
Avg Win
$115
Avg Loss
$-131

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,623 (60.5% of PnL)

Top Winners

ITF Caserta: Alessandra Mazzola vs Aurora Zantedeschi$3,087
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5$779
Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$757
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 214.5$757
ITF Wuning: Yanan Hou vs Kyoka Okamura$662
Will Ryan Gerard win the 2026 Charles Schwab Challenge?$538
Roland Garros WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Anna Kalinskaya$530
Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5)$500
Makarska: Katarzyna Kawa vs Maya Joint$496
Will "GOAT" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?$480

Top Losers

Will "Nemesis" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?$-1,224
Will Bruno Mars have the greatest number of monthly Spotify liste$-1,177
Will Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$-657
Will "The Four Seasons: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this $-647
Knicks vs. Spurs$-514
ITF Wuning: Chenting Zhu vs Reina Goto$-514
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-471
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spotify li$-397
Will Drake have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners $-338
Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-322

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.821
Sortino
1.664
HHI
86
Diversified
EV per $1
$4.267
Kelly %
42.6%
Half-Kelly
21.3%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
13.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
59.7
Very active
Markets / Day
9.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
14.6m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
65
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 75s — typical for humanSize CV 2.15 — diverse, typical for human33% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.14 — human randomness60 trades/day — mass trading669 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.6
Active DCA
<=1
176 entries
<=2
296 entries
<=5
442 entries
<=10
558 entries
<=20
651 entries
<=50
689 entries
>50
5 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28%
Mid (20-55c)40.1%
High (>55c)31.9%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 39.1%

Other$6,358
Dallas$500
Atlanta$314
Chicago$218
Houston$119
Milan$108
Miami$53
Seoul$0
Seattle$0
Los Angeles$0
Wuhan$0
Madrid$0
Paris$0
Austin$0
Chengdu$0
Shanghai$0
New York City$0
McKenna$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.6
Events covered
437

Single bracket

<=1
279 brackets
<=2
384 brackets
<=3
430 brackets
<=4
432 brackets
<=5
433 brackets
<=8
435 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/21/2026, 10:07:59 PM1 trades$00 min
3/24/2026, 10:47:35 AM1 trades$00 min
3/25/2026, 1:28:25 PM1 trades$00 min
4/11/2026, 11:18:03 PM1 trades$00 min
4/11/2026, 11:27:01 PM1 trades$10 min
4/15/2026, 4:30:22 PM2 trades$52 min
4/16/2026, 7:15:54 PM1 trades$00 min
4/17/2026, 11:45:06 AM1 trades$00 min
4/17/2026, 12:26:10 PM2 trades$2030 min
4/17/2026, 8:12:38 PM2 trades$560 min
4/18/2026, 6:30:34 AM3 trades$93 min
4/18/2026, 7:32:46 AM1 trades$10 min
4/18/2026, 8:44:04 AM1 trades$00 min
4/18/2026, 11:56:54 AM1 trades$20 min
4/18/2026, 12:42:12 PM2 trades$150 min
4/18/2026, 12:49:16 PM2 trades$870 min
4/18/2026, 3:18:14 PM2 trades$134 min
4/18/2026, 4:21:40 PM1 trades$60 min
4/18/2026, 4:40:32 PM1 trades$230 min
4/18/2026, 7:30:34 PM2 trades$810 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-26
04-12
04-28
05-16
06-01
06-27
06-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.6 br/event