CarlFaberge

@CarlFaberge

#265,20911

0xf184d367dd790d17d7bf4f0b617574e7cdf2a1e6

~49d· 221 markets · 870 tradesVol: $24,9712026-08-26 09:18:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

16% (35/221)0/20
0.85x (win $489 / loss $577)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.8800/15
Sortino -2.8090/10
$-0.1282 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 340 (221 markets)10/10
13/48 profitable days (27%)0/10
Max DD 258% of peak ($186 / $72)0/10

Badges

3
Profitable
PnL $+42
Lottery Player
64% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
🌤️ WEATHER#7,894$86Vol: $24,648
SPORTS#1,221,248$-5Vol: $313
🎭 CULTURE#384,225$-0Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$81
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$24,971
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
221
total markets
Trades
489B / 381S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~49d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $49
Week
$20
Vol: $1,882
Month
$51
Vol: $6,577
All Time
$81
Vol: $24,971

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
16%
35W / 186L events
Realized PnL
$42
Win Rate
16%
35W / 186L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$14
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $153 (3.6627488606380427% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?$77
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on April 2?$38
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on May 3?$38
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4?$29
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on June 13?$26
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 5?$25
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 16°C on April 1?$23
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on April 2?$20
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 8°C on April 1?$20
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on June 17?$18

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 5?$-28
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?$-16
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 21°C on April 4?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 26?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on May 6?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on April 27?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?$-11
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on April 3?$-10
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on April 2?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.097
Sortino
-0.174
HHI
98
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.127
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.5%
Top-5 markets
12.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
24.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.5

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1488s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock6 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 0:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.96
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)63.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.5%
High (>55c)14.7%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 6:15:22 PM6 trades$3130 min
5/13/2026, 9:51:20 AM2 trades$1890 min
5/28/2026, 4:00:24 PM5 trades$1840 min
6/5/2026, 3:35:21 PM2 trades$1820 min
5/14/2026, 8:10:31 AM2 trades$1600 min
6/4/2026, 1:25:15 PM2 trades$1470 min
4/1/2026, 7:39:09 PM6 trades$1460 min
6/4/2026, 1:55:21 PM2 trades$1420 min
6/4/2026, 12:35:24 PM7 trades$1195 min
4/26/2026, 9:04:54 PM15 trades$1183 min
6/8/2026, 12:40:22 PM3 trades$930 min
6/9/2026, 8:20:18 AM2 trades$700 min
4/25/2026, 9:04:36 PM10 trades$687 min
6/13/2026, 5:10:18 PM2 trades$670 min
4/27/2026, 9:52:54 PM4 trades$590 min
3/31/2026, 3:57:21 PM9 trades$584 min
6/11/2026, 12:20:15 AM11 trades$480 min
5/6/2026, 10:00:39 PM6 trades$470 min
4/23/2026, 9:04:34 PM11 trades$440 min
5/12/2026, 8:25:18 PM4 trades$430 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-25
04-23
05-04
05-12
06-04
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 40 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.96/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L63.8 / M21.5 / H14.7