@Carpfisher

#10,26767

0x054b5e8df41a509f5e176c8e925b7c59e9ed8477

~279d· 222 markets · 18479 tradesVol: $8,459,3342026-09-21 18:02:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

67
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (129/216)14.9/20
1.46x (win $69,330 / loss $47,586)8.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.77415/15
Sortino 2.96210/10
$+0.0293 per $1 invested1.5/10
HHI 582 (216 markets)9.6/10
64/107 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 73% of peak ($16,434 / $22,546)0/10

Badges

8
Profitable
PnL $+15,072
Lottery Player
71% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 79.2 entries/market
Whale
$741,243 invested
High Roller
$1,056/day
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
98% maker orders

Categories

6
CRYPTO#1,709,616$-4,835Vol: $2,475,995
🏛️ POLITICS#3,374$11,547Vol: $2,075,950
SPORTS#43,859$775Vol: $382,641
🎭 CULTURE#822,273$-6,219Vol: $188,071
💰 FINANCE#657,085$-491Vol: $9,928
📢 MENTIONS#162,593$-58Vol: $978

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$14,729
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,459,334
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
222
total markets
Trades
10844B / 7635S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~279d

Periods

#2
Today
$-17
Vol: $0
Week
$-63
Vol: $0
Month
$20,821
Vol: $47,997
All Time
$14,729
Vol: $8,459,334

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
129W / 87L events
Realized PnL
$15,072
Win Rate
60%
129W / 87L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$537
Avg Loss
$-573

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $21,408 (1.4204123229792565% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Jake Paul vs. Mike Tyson have no official winner?$9,305
Will Russia enter Sloviansk by June 30?$8,544
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?$3,559
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?$3,394
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$2,230
Will Russia capture Chasiv Yar before December?$2,132
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$2,080
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,662
Israel military action against Iran by end of 2024?$1,518
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by March 31, 2026?$1,483

Top Losers

Assad leaves Syria before 2025?$-6,328
Israel military action against Iraq before November?$-5,142
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-3,447
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-3,284
Will either Kamala or Trump win every swing state?$-2,407
Will Bitcoin hit $90k or $100k first?$-2,213
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire in 2024?$-1,486
Will Ethereum hit $5,000.00 by March 31?$-1,383
Trump wins every swing state?$-1,376
Will Volodymyr Zelensky attend presidential inauguration?$-1,372

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.092
Sortino
0.109
HHI
437
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.7%
Top-5 markets
32.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
26.3
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.3m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
16 min
Avg Trades / Session
49.5

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 120s — normal for humanCV 4.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency0.3 markets/day — normal98% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
79.21
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)70.5%
Mid (20-55c)20.7%
High (>55c)8.7%

Sessions

#12
11/15/2024, 1:05:05 PM488 trades$60,22996 min
11/15/2024, 3:30:05 PM307 trades$27,38145 min
11/15/2024, 5:59:49 PM168 trades$21,37843 min
11/15/2024, 10:41:31 AM97 trades$17,30122 min
11/15/2024, 4:19:49 PM199 trades$14,21627 min
11/15/2024, 7:04:51 AM104 trades$12,95449 min
10/3/2024, 1:00:41 PM1 trades$12,9420 min
11/29/2024, 8:24:20 PM62 trades$11,32347 min
11/29/2024, 7:05:19 PM100 trades$11,19574 min
11/15/2024, 5:29:21 PM85 trades$10,88916 min
11/15/2024, 12:06:53 PM67 trades$10,22912 min
11/25/2025, 7:09:53 PM1 trades$10,0040 min
12/29/2024, 11:38:58 AM10 trades$9,89916 min
11/14/2024, 2:01:49 PM134 trades$9,70847 min
12/5/2024, 8:17:42 AM1 trades$9,5000 min
11/14/2024, 12:18:07 PM154 trades$8,69161 min
11/17/2024, 9:45:44 PM3 trades$8,5551 min
11/15/2024, 6:21:17 AM65 trades$8,24433 min
12/8/2024, 4:18:45 AM5 trades$7,9844 min
11/15/2024, 7:45:51 PM6 trades$7,5728 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-03
11-03
12-02
12-21
02-20
12-31
02-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 22 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 79.21/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L70.5 / M20.7 / H8.7