@Casadepapel

#2,371,7099

0x2ae2fbb5e31dfa10502746041c2610b3414d8b8f

~34d· 101 markets · 165 tradesVol: $12,271 @Julia861531852026-08-04 19:49:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

9
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (9/92)0/20
0.67x (win $152 / loss $227)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.0340/15
Sortino -4.4870/10
$-0.3271 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 660 (92 markets)9.2/10
5/31 profitable days (16%)0/10
Max DD 285% of peak ($149 / $52)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
79% entries < $0.20

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,345,545$-16Vol: $10,497
CRYPTO#1,281,961$-22Vol: $1,398
SPORTS#1,219,348$-5Vol: $173
💰 FINANCE#517,649$-3Vol: $139
📈 ECONOMICS#558,047$-4Vol: $50
🎭 CULTURE#578,971$-2Vol: $14

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-53
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$12,271
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
101
total markets
Trades
138B / 27S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-53
Vol: $12,271

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
9W / 83L events
Realized PnL
$-53
Win Rate
10%
9W / 83L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $126 (2.3904526435907187% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?$79
Iran strike on US military by February 28?$25
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$22
Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?$19
Will Partido Popular win 25-27 seats in the 2026 Aragon regional election?$4
Will Partido Popular (PP) win 53-55 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?$2
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-08?$1

Top Losers

Will Vox (VOX) win the 2026 Castilla y León Regional Election?$-18
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$-16
Will Partido Popular win <28 seats in the 2026 Castilla y León regional election?$-15
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-10
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$-8
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$-7
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by March 31?$-7
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$-6
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-6
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.105
Sortino
-0.308
HHI
305
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.310
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
31.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 80s — normal for humanCV 0.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal12% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.79
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)79%
Mid (20-55c)15.9%
High (>55c)5.1%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2026, 9:34:55 AM4 trades$1303 min
6/7/2026, 1:06:10 PM4 trades$710 min
4/8/2026, 8:20:47 PM4 trades$500 min
3/3/2026, 6:08:07 PM8 trades$2113 min
4/8/2026, 9:06:45 PM3 trades$160 min
7/21/2026, 10:07:07 AM8 trades$147 min
7/20/2026, 12:22:10 AM2 trades$130 min
4/8/2026, 7:55:07 PM2 trades$120 min
5/22/2026, 10:01:52 PM2 trades$110 min
3/4/2026, 11:32:07 AM4 trades$101 min
2/1/2026, 8:21:06 PM5 trades$96 min
2/28/2026, 9:58:11 AM3 trades$91 min
5/19/2026, 7:47:44 AM4 trades$81 min
1/11/2026, 5:22:04 PM3 trades$75 min
3/4/2026, 11:25:41 AM3 trades$71 min
3/4/2026, 9:47:37 PM3 trades$72 min
3/5/2026, 5:04:47 PM6 trades$76 min
3/9/2026, 8:44:45 PM4 trades$72 min
4/8/2026, 9:00:07 PM2 trades$70 min
4/8/2026, 6:41:27 PM4 trades$71 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-10
02-08
02-25
03-05
03-21
04-10
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 101 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
16.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.79/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L79 / M15.9 / H5.1