Polydata
Data is 12 days old — refreshing in background...

@Chubby-Shovel

#1,02742

0xad2b18343919cf24b56b6f822360937ab322f091

130d· 80 markets · 1173 tradesVol: $5,857,2972026-06-24T23:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

42
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 39%5/20
Profit Factor 1.31x6/15
Sharpe 0.1332/15
Sortino 0.1972/10
EV $+0.31710/10
HHI 26210/10
Profit Days 51%5/10
DD/Peak 64%1/10

Summary

Chubby-Shovel is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranked #1027 globally by net profit and boasting a net PnL of $178,208.53. Over 334 days, they executed 1,173 trades across 80 different markets, generating a total volume of nearly $5.9 million. Their win rate is notably high at 94.1%, and they hold an average Smart Score of 42 out of 100, indicating consistent but moderate trading performance.

The trader’s strategy appears focused on maintaining positions with a low sell percentage of just 2%, suggesting a long-holding or diamond hands approach. Chubby-Shovel shows preference for a diverse range of markets rather than specializing in any particular category, with no exposure to weather markets. Their risk profile seems conservative, supported by a negligible max drawdown duration and a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.13, indicating limited volatility in returns. The average Smart Score and Bot Score imply that Chubby-Shovel likely executes trades manually but efficiently.

Chubby-Shovel’s key strengths include a very high win rate and impressive profit factor of 163.41, which underline their ability to generate consistent gains. Their contrarian and DCA master badges further highlight strategic trading choices and disciplined entry timing. However, the flat equity trend and low Sharpe ratio suggest limited upside volatility, and the moderate Smart Score signals room for improvement in adapting to market changes. Overall, Chubby-Shovel demonstrates steady, low-risk trading with strong consistency on Polymarket.

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+178,209
Contrarian
67% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
2% sell
DCA Master
avg 14.4 entries/market
Win Streak
23 wins in a row
Whale
$1,351,462
High Roller
$4,046/day

Categories

3
SPORTS#427$185,791Vol: $3,684,841
🏛️ POLITICS#2,745$14,806Vol: $1,095,797
CRYPTO#1,591,469$-3,291Vol: $9,600

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$178,209
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,857,297
Total Redeem
$1,331,269
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
1149B / 24S
Daily Volume
$4,046
Account Age
130d
since Feb 25, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
42%
27W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$769,761
Win Rate
94%
32W / 2L
Profit Factor
163.41x
Avg Win
$23,895
Avg Loss
$-2,340

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $194,612 (25.6% of PnL)

Top Winners

Spread: Knicks (-6.5)$76,783
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Grou$59,440
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)$58,390
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 220.5$53,289
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Sox$41,073
Lakers vs. Warriors$40,951
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage$37,438
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)$34,876
Thunder vs. Lakers$32,748
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia$31,667

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-2,727
UFC 326: Michael Johnson vs. Drew Dober (Lightweight, Main Card)$-1,952

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.133
Sortino
0.197
HHI
262
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.317
Kelly %
93.6%
Half-Kelly
46.8%
Top-1 market
5.4%
Top-5 markets
23.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.5
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
8s
between trades
Avg Gap
35.1m
between trades
Night Trading
48%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
52% < 10s — regular intervalSize CV 3.45 — diverse, typical for human48% at night — bot never sleeps18/24 hours — extended daySession CV 1.37 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
20 entries
<=2
33 entries
<=5
47 entries
<=10
55 entries
<=20
65 entries
<=50
71 entries
>50
9 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)62.4%
High (>55c)13.3%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 66.2%

Other$689,756
Atlanta$22,196
San Francisco$21,762
Seattle$14,972
Los Angeles$11,269
Madrid$0
Denver$0
Houston$0
Miami$0
Paris$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
65

Single bracket

<=1
54 brackets
<=2
61 brackets
<=3
65 brackets
<=4
65 brackets
<=5
65 brackets
<=8
65 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/25/2026, 6:51:46 PM5 trades$4,9325 min
2/28/2026, 9:44:57 PM3 trades$8352 min
3/3/2026, 8:08:21 AM1 trades$4960 min
3/7/2026, 10:47:13 PM4 trades$1,8002 min
3/8/2026, 12:04:33 AM1 trades$19,8710 min
3/8/2026, 2:40:21 AM2 trades$20,4194 min
3/8/2026, 3:13:57 AM1 trades$2,5000 min
3/8/2026, 3:37:25 AM1 trades$6000 min
3/8/2026, 3:45:09 AM7 trades$4,24212 min
3/8/2026, 4:30:43 AM3 trades$8,0764 min
3/8/2026, 7:05:37 AM2 trades$6050 min
3/8/2026, 8:40:45 AM1 trades$1400 min
3/10/2026, 8:47:33 PM5 trades$3,1475 min
3/11/2026, 5:33:17 AM1 trades$4350 min
3/11/2026, 7:51:29 AM1 trades$1430 min
3/13/2026, 1:16:45 AM11 trades$7,88512 min
3/13/2026, 2:01:37 AM2 trades$2201 min
3/13/2026, 2:23:41 AM3 trades$1,1005 min
3/13/2026, 2:43:53 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
3/13/2026, 11:20:37 PM2 trades$2,1381 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
03-15
03-31
04-18
04-24
05-04
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event