Chungvicular

@Chungvicular

#4,63182

0x41eacf5aaa4c7fc883a098635b981050715d7a3d

~216d· 144 markets · 4152 tradesVol: $2,397,5452026-08-02 08:52:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

82
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (46/93)9.7/20
2.46x (win $139,789 / loss $56,755)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.55315/15
Sortino 11.70310/10
$+0.1708 per $1 invested8.5/10
HHI 515 (93 markets)9.9/10
29/61 profitable days (48%)4.4/10
Max DD 25% of peak ($20,507 / $83,034)9.1/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+37,014
Lottery Player
56% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 24.2 entries/market
Whale
$486,143 invested
High Roller
$1,389/day
Cool Head
Max DD 25%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
89% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#1,025$48,722Vol: $1,637,554
🎭 CULTURE#813,303$-1,310Vol: $428,453
SPORTS#1,865,969$-3,585Vol: $153,395
📈 ECONOMICS#681,900$-10,916Vol: $136,868
💰 FINANCE#3,884$1,096Vol: $17,542
💻 TECH#565$3,108Vol: $8,400

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$36,902
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,397,545
Total Redeem
$47,288
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
144
total markets
Trades
2873B / 1279S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~216d

Periods

#2
Today
$-822
Vol: $3,934
Week
$1,535
Vol: $3,934
Month
$96
Vol: $3,935
All Time
$36,902
Vol: $2,397,545

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
46W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$37,014
Win Rate
49%
46W / 47L
Profit Factor
2.46x
Avg Win
$3,039
Avg Loss
$-1,208

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $55,844 (1.5087356560333411% of PnL)

Top Winners

2026 U.S. Senate Election: Democrats flip Republicans by March 31?$22,217
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?$21,632
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$11,995
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?$11,034
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$7,286
Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?$6,945
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$6,597
Fact Check: Is Tyler Robinson queer?$5,553
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?$4,801
2026 U.S. Senate Election: Republican Odds under 50% by March 31?$4,596

Top Losers

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-11,907
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$-6,207
Zohran Mamdani Parlay$-4,962
Will Colin Allred be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$-2,668
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$-2,540
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-2,126
Will Jasmine Crockett be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$-1,858
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$-1,856
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$-1,680
Will Julie Johnson be the Democratic nominee for TX-33?$-1,580

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.236
Sortino
0.495
HHI
272
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.253
Kelly %
23.9%
Half-Kelly
11.9%
Top-1 market
10%
Top-5 markets
32.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
11.9
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.35
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 274s — normal for humanCV 5.35 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock12 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal89% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
24.18
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)56.4%
Mid (20-55c)20.5%
High (>55c)23.2%

Sessions

#12
3/31/2026, 6:12:35 AM1 trades$33,4670 min
4/7/2026, 3:00:05 AM2 trades$19,9525 min
4/28/2026, 7:37:46 PM8 trades$18,7280 min
4/8/2026, 1:14:17 AM2 trades$17,5000 min
4/28/2026, 9:06:00 AM4 trades$14,9860 min
4/5/2026, 4:08:47 AM6 trades$14,8160 min
3/14/2026, 10:51:15 PM1 trades$14,1000 min
4/28/2026, 2:03:56 PM1 trades$14,0550 min
3/16/2026, 4:11:45 PM2 trades$13,9950 min
5/29/2026, 1:42:57 PM1 trades$10,3750 min
4/7/2026, 11:23:17 PM7 trades$9,6801 min
5/26/2026, 1:57:06 PM1 trades$9,2710 min
6/5/2026, 1:27:46 AM13 trades$9,2657 min
4/28/2026, 10:14:12 AM2 trades$8,5000 min
4/28/2026, 1:38:58 PM2 trades$7,8150 min
5/8/2026, 12:01:55 AM22 trades$7,7981 min
4/21/2026, 2:09:24 PM1 trades$7,5130 min
4/17/2026, 3:30:44 AM9 trades$7,3270 min
11/11/2025, 11:33:32 AM1 trades$6,7610 min
9/13/2025, 9:25:38 PM1 trades$6,3200 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-03
10-23
11-16
03-03
04-23
05-25
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 13 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 24.18/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L56.4 / M20.5 / H23.2