Polydata

@Circular-Stab

#15,04256

0x814de3182ccb0ccd0380666177733c97b3087e79

61d· 12 markets · 50 tradesVol: $28,0092026-06-24T23:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 8%0/20
Profit Factor 473.81x15/15
Sharpe 0.5009/15
Sortino 89082.61810/10
EV $+472.80710/10
HHI 20822/10
Profit Days 25%0/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Circular-Stab is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 50 trades across 12 markets over a 7-day period. They hold a global PnL leaderboard rank of #15042 and have generated a net profit of $8,967.32 on a total volume of $28,009. Their Smart Score of 56/100 indicates a good overall performance, while the Sharpe ratio of 0.50 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns. Circular-Stab’s portfolio value currently stands at zero, hinting at a fully realized profit or closed positions.

This trader demonstrates a unique strategy characterized by a 100% win rate and a zero percent sell rate, implying a strong holding bias or long-term position style. Circular-Stab trades across diverse markets, with a slight emphasis on weather markets (8%). The combination of a Profit Factor of 0.00 and a Bot Score of 60/100 suggests a semi-automated approach blending bot and manual decision-making. Their badges, including “Contrarian” and “Diamond Hands,” point to a cool-headed, contrarian trading style that resists premature exits.

Circular-Stab’s key strengths include consistent winning trades and disciplined position management, as reflected in a zero-day max drawdown duration and a solid Smart Score. However, the absence of equity trend data and a Profit Factor of zero could indicate limited risk diversification or potential exposure to market shifts. Their low sell percentage may expose them to holding illiquid or volatile positions, which is a risk to monitor for sustained success on Polymarket.

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+8,967
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#4,085$8,972Vol: $23,007
📢 MENTIONS#82,843$-1Vol: $1,002
🌤️ WEATHER#184,715$-1Vol: $1,000
SPORTS#922,662$-1Vol: $1,000
🎭 CULTURE#515,176$-1Vol: $1,000
📈 ECONOMICS#464,818$-1Vol: $1,000

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$8,967
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$28,009
Total Redeem
$8,996
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
50B / 0S
Daily Volume
$4
Account Age
61d
since Apr 26, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$8,967
Vol: $28,009

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
14%
1W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$8,986
Win Rate
100%
1W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$8,985
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,985 (100% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump dance today?$8,985

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.500
Sortino
inf
HHI
2083
Moderate
EV per $1
$472.807
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
36.5%
Top-5 markets
83.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
50.0
Active
Markets / Day
12.0
Active Hours
5/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
16.4m
between trades
Night Trading
92%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
9
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
HIGH
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 70s — typical for humanSize CV 0.85 — diverse, typical for human92% at night — bot never sleeps5/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.61 — semi-mechanical50 trades/day — mass trading12 markets/day — mass coverage

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.2
Moderate DCA
<=1
6 entries
<=2
6 entries
<=5
9 entries
<=10
10 entries
<=20
12 entries
<=50
12 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)100%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 99.7%

Other$8,985
Atlanta$0
Wuhan$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
7

Single bracket

<=1
5 brackets
<=2
6 brackets
<=3
6 brackets
<=4
6 brackets
<=5
7 brackets
<=8
7 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/26/2026, 3:53:50 AM19 trades$512 min
4/26/2026, 4:26:02 AM1 trades$10 min
4/26/2026, 4:31:40 AM1 trades$00 min
4/26/2026, 4:38:52 AM5 trades$111 min
4/26/2026, 5:15:54 AM2 trades$20 min
4/26/2026, 5:23:44 AM4 trades$41 min
4/26/2026, 5:35:50 AM9 trades$910 min
4/26/2026, 5:55:12 AM6 trades$76 min
4/26/2026, 4:25:22 PM3 trades$14 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-25
04-26
04-29
05-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
8.3% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event