CitizenScientist

@CitizenScientist

#3,152,97536

0xdf933b45bf02e6f10002da22ea32a7cff08fbdc8

~297d· 1707 markets · 5873 tradesVol: $1,509,1042026-09-21 19:35:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

70% (1181/1699)19.8/20
0.67x (win $73,826 / loss $110,454)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7750/15
Sortino -2.8550/10
$-0.0463 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 32 (1699 markets)10/10
155/273 profitable days (57%)6.7/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($36,629 / $0)0/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 70%
Whale
$791,012 invested
High Roller
$1,150/day
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#1,922,275$-12,438Vol: $912,225
🏛️ POLITICS#1,645,524$-16,943Vol: $304,153
🎭 CULTURE#8,369$456Vol: $161,807
🌤️ WEATHER#302,917$-5,664Vol: $63,400
📈 ECONOMICS#3,612$773Vol: $21,934
💻 TECH#266,158$-570Vol: $11,878
💰 FINANCE#25,247$53Vol: $9,456
₿ CRYPTO#271,116$5Vol: $8,922
📢 MENTIONS#143,092$-17Vol: $660

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34,558
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,509,104
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1707
total markets
Trades
4579B / 1294S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~297d

Periods

#2
Today
$-6
Vol: $0
Week
$4,332
Vol: $12,381
Month
$4,342
Vol: $12,381
All Time
$-34,558
Vol: $1,509,104

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
70%
1181W / 517L events
Realized PnL
$-34,444
Win Rate
70%
1181W / 517L
Profit Factor
0.67x
Avg Win
$63
Avg Loss
$-214

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,469 (0.12973987225146272% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1,668
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1,549
1,300+ Measles cases in U.S. before July?$1,252
Vikings vs. Rams$1,030
Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025?$922
Will the next Government of Canada be a Liberal minority?$874
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?$660
Broncos vs. Texans$634

Top Losers

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-8,331
Will fewer than 1550 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2025?$-4,613
Saints vs. Ravens$-4,000
Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?$-2,921
Wizards vs. Nuggets$-2,318
Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?$-2,105
Nuggets vs. Bulls$-2,014
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?$-1,779
UTSA Roadrunners vs. Charlotte 49ers$-1,599
IA-01 election: Bohannan (D) vs. Miller-Meeks (R)$-1,565

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.145
Sortino
-0.109
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.046
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.3%
Top-5 markets
5.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 214s — normal for humanCV 2.00 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock9 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal22% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.44
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)4.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.1%
High (>55c)78.7%

Sessions

#12
1/11/2025, 11:51:41 PM2 trades$8,0631 min
4/29/2025, 9:37:32 PM2 trades$7,8201 min
1/13/2025, 12:17:13 AM3 trades$6,9241 min
1/15/2025, 6:38:29 PM5 trades$6,91411 min
1/10/2025, 2:20:59 AM3 trades$6,8333 min
1/8/2025, 12:11:35 PM3 trades$6,7844 min
1/11/2025, 2:31:42 AM4 trades$6,6795 min
7/12/2025, 6:38:18 PM2 trades$6,4164 min
1/20/2025, 5:57:23 PM4 trades$6,2564 min
1/20/2025, 10:41:31 PM4 trades$6,1784 min
1/10/2025, 2:32:29 AM3 trades$5,4953 min
1/12/2025, 1:09:59 AM4 trades$5,3663 min
1/13/2025, 12:40:17 AM4 trades$5,3488 min
1/12/2025, 7:27:35 PM1 trades$5,3320 min
1/12/2025, 5:59:27 PM1 trades$5,1600 min
1/5/2025, 9:30:51 PM4 trades$5,0573 min
1/13/2025, 9:34:27 PM2 trades$4,5893 min
1/10/2025, 4:51:40 AM4 trades$4,5483 min
1/10/2025, 3:34:55 AM8 trades$4,4964 min
1/6/2025, 5:01:27 AM2 trades$4,4784 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-03
01-28
03-19
05-03
11-04
12-22
02-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.2 / M17.1 / H78.7