CommanderData

@CommanderData

#3,060,71811

0x54ab4ab947da59c2227d8011a7995e00d487e8f6

~58d· 30 markets · 2166 tradesVol: $2,180,6822026-08-04 17:21:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (13/29)7.4/20
0.30x (win $10,530 / loss $34,967)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.3100/15
Sortino -5.2890/10
$-0.0453 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3892 (29 markets)0/10
8/18 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 660% of peak ($28,797 / $4,361)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
Whale
$540,013 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,639,623$-16,997Vol: $2,092,172
💰 FINANCE#600$9,266Vol: $61,545
🎭 CULTURE#815,017$-3,263Vol: $22,227
SPORTS#1,793,725$-488Vol: $4,738

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-11,482
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,180,682
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
1311B / 855S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$7
Vol: $0
Month
$-17
Vol: $0
All Time
$-11,482
Vol: $2,180,682

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
13W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$-11,482
Win Rate
45%
13W / 16L
Profit Factor
0.3x
Avg Win
$810
Avg Loss
$-2,185

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,277 (0.8079108345932238% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?$4,359
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$3,335
If RFK drops out, who will gain more in polls?$1,583
Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$596
Will Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$283
Will the next UK Prime Minister be appointed by July 19?$160
Will John Healey be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$122
1 Trump vs. Harris debate before election?$80
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?$9
Will Heidi Alexander be the next Defence Secretary of the UK in 2026?$2

Top Losers

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-14,922
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$-10,344
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-4,002
Will RFK drop out before November?$-3,397
Will a Republican win the popular vote and a Democrat win the Presidency?$-532
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?$-488
Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-444
RFK Jr. endorses Trump in August?$-215
Favorite to win on Polymarket on Friday?$-172
Who will win the debate according to polls?$-150

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.270
Sortino
-0.228
HHI
3593
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
50.6%
Top-5 markets
92.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
12s
between trades
Avg Gap
29.2m
between trades
Night Trading
4%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
24.3

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 12s — suspiciously fastCV 4.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)4% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
73.07
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)9.3%
Mid (20-55c)63%
High (>55c)27.7%

Sessions

#12
11/1/2024, 3:12:44 AM2 trades$38,2663 min
11/1/2024, 2:52:32 AM4 trades$37,9001 min
10/8/2024, 6:24:01 AM2 trades$31,9091 min
11/3/2024, 3:47:23 PM63 trades$24,2555 min
11/3/2024, 2:15:11 PM1 trades$24,2520 min
8/23/2024, 7:04:35 PM23 trades$23,88316 min
8/20/2024, 5:33:52 PM2 trades$21,8311 min
8/22/2024, 7:25:04 PM2 trades$21,8091 min
10/22/2024, 12:13:48 PM317 trades$21,19111 min
10/29/2024, 12:41:42 PM1 trades$20,9390 min
10/25/2024, 9:58:31 PM5 trades$20,6922 min
10/28/2024, 8:34:54 PM1 trades$20,5700 min
10/25/2024, 9:15:47 AM1 trades$20,2380 min
10/24/2024, 9:25:19 PM11 trades$19,9020 min
10/31/2024, 1:14:06 PM2 trades$19,3992 min
10/31/2024, 1:01:44 PM24 trades$19,3991 min
10/28/2024, 7:08:58 AM222 trades$18,41310 min
8/23/2024, 6:22:54 PM5 trades$18,3473 min
10/25/2024, 9:54:29 AM171 trades$18,09415 min
10/24/2024, 8:28:04 AM1 trades$17,8740 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-22
08-30
09-18
10-26
05-09
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 711 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 73.07/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L9.3 / M63 / H27.7