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Compassionate-Kneejerk

@Compassionate-Kneejerk

#1,35784

0x95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04

188d· 2943 markets · 4431 tradesVol: $54,617,3332026-06-10T13:08
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 87%20/20
Profit Factor 68.00x15/15
Sharpe 0.4929/15
Sortino 3.79010/10
EV $+0.26410/10
HHI 25740/10
Profit Days 95%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Compassionate-Kneejerk is a highly active trader on Polymarket, currently ranked #1357 on the global PnL leaderboard. With 4,431 trades across 457 markets and a net PnL of $118,831.36, this trader has maintained consistent engagement over 547 days. Their portfolio value stands at $817,315.32, reflecting steady capital growth. The smart score of 84/100 indicates very good trading performance relative to peers.

The trading style of Compassionate-Kneejerk appears systematic and disciplined, with a perfect win rate of 100% and a profit factor recorded at zero, suggesting unique metrics or data anomalies. Their strategy leans towards low-risk, stable returns, evidenced by a Sharpe ratio of 0.49 and a max drawdown duration of zero days. They favor long positions, with only 23% sell trades, and do not engage in weather markets. Timing seems consistent without large fluctuations, supported by a flat equity trend and a mix of semi-automated bot/manual trading.

Strengths for Compassionate-Kneejerk include a flawless win rate and a strong smart score, highlighting reliability on Polymarket. Key badges such as Sniper and DCA Master point to precise entries and averaging down techniques. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and modest profit factor suggest limited upside volatility and potential caution in scaling profits. The semi-bot approach may introduce execution risk, and a flat equity trend could indicate constrained growth potential.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 87%
Profitable
PnL $+118,831
DCA Master
avg 7.4 entries/market
Win Streak
112 wins in a row
Whale
$2,464,966
Consistent
79/83 days
High Roller
$4,506/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,170$39,943Vol: $32,216,048
₿ CRYPTO#1,021$36,946Vol: $5,836,980
💰 FINANCE#169$21,843Vol: $4,646,102
🎭 CULTURE#794,922$-24,828Vol: $4,289,136
📢 MENTIONS#136$14,270Vol: $3,856,213
📈 ECONOMICS#576$9,453Vol: $1,710,649
⚽ SPORTS#7,207$6,009Vol: $586,676
🌤️ WEATHER#603$2,699Vol: $586,343
💻 TECH#419$4,040Vol: $460,137

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$118,831
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,617,333
Total Redeem
$1,552,765
Portfolio
$817,315
Predictions
2943
total markets
Trades
3396B / 1035S
Daily Volume
$4,506
Account Age
188d
since Dec 31, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$-187
Vol: $201,290
Week
$3,174
Vol: $665,663
Month
$10,822
Vol: $2,420,429
All Time
$118,831
Vol: $54,617,333

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
88%
328W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$192,768
Win Rate
100%
112W / 0L
Profit Factor
0x
Avg Win
$413
Avg Loss
$0

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $31,074 (67.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?$20,011
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$6,053
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport b$5,010
Will Bahrain win on 2026-06-09?$2,995
Bahrain leading at halftime?$2,510
Bahrain vs. Syria: Draw at halftime?$1,756
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport b$1,625
Will Bahrain vs. Syria end in a draw?$1,405
Will Syria win on 2026-06-09?$1,327
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$742

Top Losers

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.492
Sortino
3.790
HHI
2574
Concentrated
EV per $1
$0.264
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
50.3%
Top-5 markets
59.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
27.5
Active
Markets / Day
2.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
28.5m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
7.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 145s — typical for humanSize CV 7.26 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.99 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high590 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.4
Active DCA
<=1
188 entries
<=2
266 entries
<=5
350 entries
<=10
402 entries
<=20
434 entries
<=50
445 entries
>50
12 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.5%
Mid (20-55c)15.8%
High (>55c)83.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 10%

Other$46,240
Los Angeles$30
Seoul$18
Atlanta$0
New York City$0
Spacey$0
Madrid$0
Seattle$0
San Francisco$0
Boston$0
Dallas$0
Denver$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
262

Single bracket

<=1
188 brackets
<=2
221 brackets
<=3
236 brackets
<=4
242 brackets
<=5
251 brackets
<=8
258 brackets
>8
4 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 12:44:33 PM1 trades$100 min
12/31/2025, 1:16:11 PM3 trades$754 min
12/31/2025, 1:47:35 PM2 trades$540 min
12/31/2025, 2:24:33 PM2 trades$420 min
1/3/2026, 8:57:35 AM2 trades$3,8081 min
1/5/2026, 2:25:55 AM2 trades$1,0811 min
1/5/2026, 2:34:57 AM1 trades$1,7100 min
1/5/2026, 2:40:03 AM1 trades$90 min
1/5/2026, 2:54:43 AM1 trades$1,0410 min
1/5/2026, 3:03:03 AM9 trades$2,82910 min
1/5/2026, 3:21:57 AM2 trades$2,7560 min
1/5/2026, 3:30:05 AM4 trades$1931 min
1/5/2026, 3:39:19 AM1 trades$90 min
1/5/2026, 4:46:57 AM1 trades$890 min
1/5/2026, 7:33:11 AM1 trades$900 min
1/5/2026, 7:49:29 AM2 trades$9662 min
1/5/2026, 7:56:33 AM3 trades$2706 min
1/5/2026, 8:15:51 AM2 trades$183 min
1/5/2026, 8:24:39 AM1 trades$90 min
1/5/2026, 8:39:19 AM1 trades$450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-28
02-28
04-03
05-25
06-30
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event