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Compassionate-Kneejerk

@Compassionate-Kneejerk

#1,05789

0x95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04

141d· 2455 markets · 4679 tradesVol: $48,863,0522026-05-12T21:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

89
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 89%20/20
Profit Factor 85.18x15/15
Sharpe 0.4428/15
Sortino 7.29410/10
EV $+0.1186/10
HHI 47310/10
Profit Days 92%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Compassionate-Kneejerk is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with 4,679 trades across 575 markets over 547 days. They hold a strong global ranking at #1057 on the PnL leaderboard and have accumulated a net profit of $142,162.02. Their total trading volume exceeds $48 million, supporting a portfolio valued at over $1.5 million. The trader’s elite Smart Score of 89/100 reflects consistent performance, although their Sharpe Ratio of 0.44 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trader’s strategy appears to focus on precision and patience, as indicated by their exceptionally high win rate of 99.7% and a minimal sell percentage of 3%. Compassionate-Kneejerk engages in a broad range of markets but shows limited exposure to weather markets (1%). Their trading style combines semi-automated execution with manual oversight, supported by a Bot Score of 55/100, which may optimize timing and order management. The stable equity trend and zero-day max drawdown duration suggest disciplined risk control and quick recovery from any adverse moves.

Key strengths of Compassionate-Kneejerk include a highly profitable, low-drawdown approach with strong consistency and effective use of dollar-cost averaging. However, their relatively low Sharpe Ratio and stable, flat equity trend indicate limited upside volatility, which could constrain growth during trending markets. The semi-bot style also introduces some operational risk, though their badges such as Sniper and Diamond Hands highlight a robust skill set on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 89%
Profitable
PnL $+142,162
Diamond Hands
3% sell
DCA Master
avg 7.9 entries/market
Win Streak
195 wins in a row
Whale
$6,936,344
Consistent
74/80 days
High Roller
$12,681/day
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#521$86,914Vol: $30,814,511
CRYPTO#1,231$28,989Vol: $4,146,164
💰 FINANCE#172$20,688Vol: $4,111,640
🎭 CULTURE#766,554$-25,777Vol: $3,823,034
📢 MENTIONS#282$5,596Vol: $3,066,666
📈 ECONOMICS#554$9,452Vol: $1,386,925
🌤️ WEATHER#1,074$1,151Vol: $481,650
💻 TECH#402$3,908Vol: $432,529
SPORTS#10,092$3,767Vol: $195,992

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$142,162
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$48,863,052
Total Redeem
$6,146,022
Portfolio
$1,566,690
Predictions
2455
total markets
Trades
4529B / 150S
Daily Volume
$12,681
Account Age
141d
since Dec 31, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1,655
Vol: $858,106
Week
$1,039
Vol: $1,046,090
Month
$10,200
Vol: $3,224,113
All Time
$142,162
Vol: $48,863,052

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
89%
285W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$161,963
Win Rate
100%
308W / 1L
Profit Factor
31326.99x
Avg Win
$2,725
Avg Loss
$-27

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $744,639 (88.7% of PnL)

Top Winners

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?$490,996
Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?$203,493
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31$50,150
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States oc$29,527
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?$11,365
Will Iran strike Iraq by April 30, 2026?$5,666
Military action against Iran ends by April 15, 2026?$4,263
Will DeepSeek V4 not be released by May 15, 2026?$3,504
Will Iran strike Kuwait by April 30, 2026?$2,945
US civil war before 2027?$2,230

Top Losers

Will "Donk" be said during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?$-27

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.442
Sortino
7.294
HHI
473
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.118
Kelly %
99.7%
Half-Kelly
49.8%
Top-1 market
11.5%
Top-5 markets
42.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
35.4
Active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
24.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.37
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 121s — typical for humanSize CV 6.37 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness35 trades/day — suspiciously high504 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.9
Active DCA
<=1
213 entries
<=2
313 entries
<=5
411 entries
<=10
476 entries
<=20
519 entries
<=50
558 entries
>50
17 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)95.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 60.5%

Other$837,885
Greater Beirut$1,350
Netanyahu$37
Seattle$11
Mexico City$2
London$2
New York City$0
Spacey$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.9
Events covered
308

Single bracket

<=1
220 brackets
<=2
257 brackets
<=3
280 brackets
<=4
288 brackets
<=5
291 brackets
<=8
301 brackets
>8
7 brackets

Sessions

#12
12/31/2025, 12:44:33 PM1 trades$100 min
12/31/2025, 1:16:11 PM3 trades$754 min
12/31/2025, 1:47:35 PM2 trades$540 min
12/31/2025, 2:24:33 PM2 trades$420 min
1/3/2026, 8:57:35 AM2 trades$3,8081 min
1/5/2026, 1:44:01 AM1 trades$7810 min
1/5/2026, 2:25:55 AM2 trades$1,0811 min
1/5/2026, 2:34:57 AM1 trades$1,7100 min
1/5/2026, 2:40:03 AM1 trades$90 min
1/5/2026, 2:54:43 AM1 trades$1,0410 min
1/5/2026, 3:03:03 AM9 trades$2,82910 min
1/5/2026, 3:21:57 AM2 trades$2,7560 min
1/5/2026, 3:30:05 AM4 trades$1931 min
1/5/2026, 3:39:19 AM1 trades$90 min
1/5/2026, 4:46:57 AM1 trades$890 min
1/5/2026, 7:33:11 AM1 trades$900 min
1/5/2026, 7:49:29 AM2 trades$9662 min
1/5/2026, 7:56:33 AM3 trades$2706 min
1/5/2026, 8:15:51 AM2 trades$183 min
1/5/2026, 8:24:39 AM1 trades$90 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
01-28
02-27
03-29
05-08
06-21
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.7% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
3.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.9 br/event