Polydata

@CompulsiveGambler

#2,86188

0xe0f1e7751df4035f78a5eb2f4296c98b4d5bc4bd

~872d· 1408 markets · 20123 tradesVol: $3,336,9462026-08-01 02:10:47
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

88
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

69% (886/1293)19.3/20
1.77x (win $134,100 / loss $75,940)12.1/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.28915/15
Sortino 5.07510/10
$+0.0397 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 48 (1293 markets)10/10
351/500 profitable days (70%)10/10
Max DD 12% of peak ($6,860 / $57,995)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 69%
Profitable
PnL $+63,316
DCA Master
Avg 13.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,465,047 invested
Consistent
351/500 profitable days
High Roller
$1,646/day
Cool Head
Max DD 12%
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
76% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#919$54,865Vol: $2,208,769
📈 ECONOMICS#1,493$3,045Vol: $401,847
🎭 CULTURE#797,224$-242Vol: $237,238
CRYPTO#70,957$167Vol: $145,541
💰 FINANCE#644,187$-290Vol: $119,194
💻 TECH#425$4,300Vol: $87,709
📢 MENTIONS#1,230$1,033Vol: $32,264
🌤️ WEATHER#265,623$-27Vol: $16,569
SPORTS#1,798,501$-528Vol: $7,655

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$63,463
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,336,946
Total Redeem
$13,731
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1408
total markets
Trades
12101B / 8022S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~872d

Periods

#2
Today
$76
Vol: $0
Week
$-2,678
Vol: $21,172
Month
$76
Vol: $0
All Time
$63,463
Vol: $3,336,946

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
886W / 407L events
Realized PnL
$63,316
Win Rate
69%
886W / 407L
Profit Factor
1.77x
Avg Win
$151
Avg Loss
$-194

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $8,657 (0.13673256718245286% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Russia capture Sloviansk by June 30?$3,500
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31?$2,586
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by December 31?$2,572
Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? $2,305
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30?$2,286
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?$2,232
Will Russia capture Lyman by March 31, 2026?$1,910
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?$1,756
Will Russia capture Lyman by June 30, 2026?$1,745
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$1,683

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?$-5,081
Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?$-4,939
Will Russia capture Huliaipole by December 31?$-3,002
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?$-2,827
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$-2,344
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy in April?$-1,942
Will Russia enter Rizdvianka by March 31, 2026?$-1,930
Will Kanye launch a coin in February?$-1,660
Will Russia capture Siversk by December 31?$-1,567
Will Assad remain President of Syria through 2024?$-1,378

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.172
Sortino
0.161
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.045
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
7.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
22.6
Active
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.98
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.1

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1217s — normal for humanCV 1.98 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock23 trades/day — high frequency1.6 markets/day — normal76% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.38
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.9%
High (>55c)69.6%

Sessions

#12
2/24/2026, 5:18:32 AM10 trades$10,60910 min
5/22/2026, 11:40:10 PM20 trades$8,6236 min
7/25/2025, 10:43:22 AM6 trades$6,88010 min
6/20/2026, 1:31:13 PM34 trades$5,88314 min
4/7/2026, 10:56:19 PM56 trades$5,82421 min
5/4/2026, 12:21:58 AM2 trades$5,6310 min
5/18/2026, 7:17:54 AM15 trades$5,5983 min
12/10/2025, 12:30:56 AM3 trades$5,5347 min
12/31/2025, 11:11:35 PM8 trades$5,35715 min
6/11/2026, 6:22:12 AM22 trades$5,2811 min
6/27/2026, 12:36:26 AM33 trades$5,15710 min
4/6/2026, 7:47:07 AM32 trades$5,0818 min
1/3/2026, 2:04:45 AM2 trades$4,9983 min
6/11/2026, 5:31:28 PM24 trades$4,9855 min
5/7/2026, 12:36:12 AM25 trades$4,8454 min
12/31/2025, 11:06:31 PM1 trades$4,7000 min
4/17/2025, 12:17:31 AM3 trades$4,6076 min
7/20/2026, 10:07:09 PM14 trades$4,5154 min
8/16/2025, 11:43:42 AM1 trades$4,5100 min
4/21/2026, 12:17:40 PM1 trades$4,1620 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
08-30
12-31
05-06
10-03
03-08
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 8 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.6 / M18.9 / H69.6