Polydata

@Conscious-War

#462,44156

0x561d56045b18a08325906e1bd508ed1dd2775128

92d· 199 markets · 402 tradesVol: $4,1802026-06-24T23:28
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

56
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 60%15/20
Profit Factor 1.30x6/15
Sharpe 0.0982/15
Sortino 0.3493/10
EV $+0.87710/10
HHI 7010/10
Profit Days 47%4/10
DD/Peak 44%5/10

Summary

Conscious-War is a moderately active trader on Polymarket with 402 trades spread across 199 markets over 324 days. Their net profit and loss (PnL) stands at $11.34, placing them at rank #462441 on the global leaderboard. With a total trading volume of $4,180, Conscious-War has maintained a portfolio value of $7.88 and holds a Smart Score of 56 out of 100, indicating a generally positive but modest trading performance.

The trading style of Conscious-War appears balanced with a slight preference for manual trading, as reflected in a Bot Score of 50/100, suggesting a hybrid bot and manual approach. They exhibit a moderate risk profile with a 53.5% win rate and a profit factor of 1.25, indicating slightly more profitable trades than losses. Conscious-War’s sell rate of 43% and zero exposure to weather markets suggest a focus on diverse market types without high-risk bets. However, their Sharpe ratio of 0.10 and declining equity trend point to limited risk-adjusted returns and recent performance challenges.

Conscious-War’s strengths lie in consistent trading activity and a stable win streak, earning them badges like Profitable and Win Streak on Polymarket. Nonetheless, their low portfolio value and a downward equity trend highlight potential concerns about capital growth and sustainability. The trader’s semi-automated approach may offer flexibility but could benefit from refinement to improve risk management and overall profitability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+11
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

8
SPORTS#216,338$19Vol: $1,928
🏛️ POLITICS#1,088,467$-4Vol: $1,278
CRYPTO#877,844$-2Vol: $759
🎭 CULTURE#558,393$-2Vol: $120
📈 ECONOMICS#443,462$-1Vol: $27
💰 FINANCE#461,757$-1Vol: $24
🌤️ WEATHER#146,583$0Vol: $2
💻 TECH#122,549$0Vol: $2

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$11
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,180
Total Redeem
$111
Portfolio
$8
Predictions
199
total markets
Trades
228B / 174S
Daily Volume
$1
Account Age
92d
since Mar 27, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $413
Week
$-1
Vol: $413
Month
$-3
Vol: $475
All Time
$11
Vol: $4,180

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
59%
95W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$24
Win Rate
54%
99W / 86L
Profit Factor
1.25x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $37 (235.9% of PnL)

Top Winners

Pacers vs. Knicks$19
Lightning vs. Canadiens$16
Pistons vs. Magic$3
Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5$3
CA Mineiro vs. CR Flamengo: O/U 3.5$3
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage$2
Madrid Open: Belinda Bencic vs Hailey Baptiste$2
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open?$2
Stars vs. Wild$1
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April$1

Top Losers

Dallas Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rafael Jodar$-2
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants$-2
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)$-2
Club Santos Laguna vs. CF Monterrey: O/U 4.5$-1
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?$-1
Spurs vs. Lakers$-1
SSC Bari vs. Spezia Calcio: O/U 2.5$-1
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?$-1
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?$-1
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.098
Sortino
0.349
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.877
Kelly %
13.8%
Half-Kelly
6.9%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
11.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
40%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.17
Very consistent
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

5 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
HIGH
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 142s — typical for humanSize CV 0.17 — templated orders40% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.30 — human randomness

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.1
Single entry
<=1
184 entries
<=2
194 entries
<=5
197 entries
<=10
199 entries
<=20
199 entries
<=50
199 entries
>50
0 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.2%
Mid (20-55c)31.1%
High (>55c)52.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 38.4%

Other$18
Madrid$2
Up or Down$1
Netanyahu$0
Austin$-1
Los Angeles$-1
Paris$-2
Dallas$-2

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
165

Single bracket

<=1
142 brackets
<=2
158 brackets
<=3
162 brackets
<=4
164 brackets
<=5
165 brackets
<=8
165 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/11/2026, 3:07:45 AM4 trades$40 min
2/11/2026, 4:03:55 AM1 trades$230 min
2/11/2026, 4:10:47 AM2 trades$22 min
2/11/2026, 4:18:25 AM4 trades$49 min
2/11/2026, 4:38:55 AM16 trades$165 min
2/11/2026, 5:31:13 AM1 trades$20 min
2/11/2026, 5:43:27 AM14 trades$1310 min
2/11/2026, 6:12:53 AM5 trades$52 min
2/11/2026, 6:22:41 AM1 trades$10 min
2/11/2026, 7:02:35 AM33 trades$1013 min
2/11/2026, 7:35:31 AM1 trades$20 min
2/11/2026, 7:59:15 AM1 trades$20 min
2/11/2026, 8:58:53 AM1 trades$10 min
2/11/2026, 9:35:01 AM2 trades$22 min
2/11/2026, 1:05:19 PM18 trades$911 min
2/11/2026, 1:37:49 PM1 trades$10 min
2/11/2026, 1:42:51 PM1 trades$10 min
2/11/2026, 1:52:41 PM1 trades$10 min
2/11/2026, 2:17:33 PM1 trades$00 min
2/11/2026, 3:55:51 PM1 trades$20 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
04-22
04-30
05-15
06-04
07-20
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
43.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event