@Cranitam

#2,909,08229

0x550c4740a7308be9af77efff003dcccfc43a1e1a

~135d· 1030 markets · 2013 tradesVol: $82,8202026-10-08 03:34:13
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

57% (584/1029)13.4/20
0.87x (win $2,439 / loss $2,803)0.9/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.3520/15
Sortino -1.6900/10
$-0.0307 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 85 (1029 markets)10/10
58/120 profitable days (48%)4.6/10
Max DD 414% of peak ($482 / $116)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
17 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
₿ CRYPTO#1,616,347$-342Vol: $33,640
🎭 CULTURE#34,713$40Vol: $21,823
🌤️ WEATHER#7,627$86Vol: $19,848
⚽ SPORTS#1,798,025$-242Vol: $4,366
💰 FINANCE#12,729$190Vol: $1,539
📈 ECONOMICS#670,299$-83Vol: $1,068
🏛️ POLITICS#1,294,236$-10Vol: $459
📢 MENTIONS#160,119$-45Vol: $60
💻 TECH#0$0Vol: $16

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-406
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$82,820
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1030
total markets
Trades
1305B / 708S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~135d

Periods

#2
Today
$40
Vol: $219
Week
$245
Vol: $585
Month
$155
Vol: $6,842
All Time
$-406
Vol: $82,820

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
57%
583W / 445L events
Realized PnL
$-183
Win Rate
57%
583W / 445L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$4
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $490 (2.6772062035823505% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?$192
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of February?$190
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$108
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$108
Timberwolves vs. Warriors$66
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on December 13?$46
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$43
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on December 9?$35
Will Independiente Medellín vs. Fortaleza CEIF end in a draw?$31
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 33-34°F on December 8?$26

Top Losers

Rockets vs. Nuggets: 1H Moneyline$-186
Independiente Medellín vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 2.5$-180
Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$-170
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 24-25°F on January 31?$-72
Will the Central Bank of Colombia announce an increase at the January meeting?$-60
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET$-57
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 8.5 Total Corners$-53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on December 10?$-48
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET$-45
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 22?$-44

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.070
Sortino
-0.073
HHI
70
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.031
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2%
Top-5 markets
9.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 602s — normal for humanCV 2.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal2.5 markets/day — normal29% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.95
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.8%
Mid (20-55c)30.8%
High (>55c)51.4%

Sessions

#12
12/16/2025, 3:12:39 AM3 trades$5841 min
12/16/2025, 12:50:53 AM3 trades$5832 min
12/10/2025, 3:19:25 AM2 trades$4273 min
12/16/2025, 2:38:57 AM5 trades$4119 min
12/11/2025, 6:15:13 AM2 trades$4003 min
12/13/2025, 5:28:56 AM2 trades$3954 min
1/9/2026, 2:28:44 AM1 trades$3200 min
1/30/2026, 10:53:32 AM2 trades$2995 min
12/10/2025, 8:31:50 AM1 trades$2490 min
12/15/2025, 2:15:01 AM1 trades$2410 min
12/13/2025, 5:57:49 PM1 trades$2400 min
12/8/2025, 1:17:05 AM3 trades$2395 min
12/16/2025, 1:15:41 AM1 trades$2100 min
12/10/2025, 10:48:44 PM1 trades$2090 min
12/10/2025, 7:12:22 PM2 trades$2041 min
12/11/2025, 11:03:49 AM1 trades$2040 min
12/9/2025, 8:05:01 AM1 trades$2030 min
12/11/2025, 5:10:11 AM1 trades$1970 min
12/14/2025, 11:51:51 PM1 trades$1960 min
12/13/2025, 3:08:35 PM1 trades$1750 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-18
01-15
02-19
03-27
05-14
08-09

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 220 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
44% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.2% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.95/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L17.8 / M30.8 / H51.4