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Crazy-Statement

@Crazy-Statement

#2,866,19675

0xa3d4e2cc8ec5c79b7ded5553576ee990e3e16297

187d· 5864 markets · 9433 tradesVol: $436,8452026-06-27T09:52
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

75
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 81%20/20
Profit Factor 0.17x0/15
Sharpe 0.95915/15
Sortino 24.95810/10
HHI 5610/10
Profit Days 89%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Crazy-Statement is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 9,433 trades executed across 896 markets over 111 days. Despite a high volume of $436,845, the trader currently holds a net PnL of -$2,393.64, placing them at rank #2,866,196 globally. Their portfolio value remains stable at $1,101.71, supported by a Sharpe ratio of 0.96 and a max drawdown duration of zero days, indicating limited prolonged losses.

The trading strategy of Crazy-Statement appears to favor high-frequency, short-term positions, as evidenced by a high trade count and consistent activity. The trader shows a contrarian style with a 35.9% win rate and a low profit factor of 0.17, suggesting a risk-tolerant approach that involves frequent entries and exits. The absence of selling and zero exposure to weather markets implies a focus on other market types, likely relying on manual and bot-assisted tactics given the semi-bot score of 55/100.

Crazy-Statement’s strengths include consistent trading habits and a stable equity trend, supported by badges highlighting precision and persistence. However, the negative net PnL and low profit factor indicate challenges in converting volume into profits, posing a risk of ongoing losses. Their contrarian style and low win rate may require careful risk management to avoid further drawdowns despite a currently short drawdown duration.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

6
Sniper
Win Rate 81%
Contrarian
51% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Consistent
42/47 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,741,061$-2,558Vol: $326,127

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,394
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$436,845
Total Redeem
$19,598
Portfolio
$1,102
Predictions
5864
total markets
Trades
9427B / 6S
Daily Volume
$399
Account Age
187d
since Dec 27, 2025

Periods

#2
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,394
Vol: $436,845

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
88%
226W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$26,502
Win Rate
36%
244W / 435L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$17
Avg Loss
$-54

Top Winners

Will América de Cali win on 2026-04-09?$465
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)$192
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-11?$180
Will AD Ceuta FC win on 2026-04-10?$167
Will Gaziantep FK win on 2026-04-13?$144
Timberwolves vs. Rockets$112
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season$107
Wild vs. Stars$91
Hurricanes vs. Flyers$82
LoL: Solary vs Misa Esports (BO5) - EMEA Masters Playoffs$79

Top Losers

Australian Open Men's: Carlos Alcaraz vs Alexander Zverev$-956
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: O/U 3.5$-871
Suns vs. Knicks$-432
Australian Open Men's: Arthur Gea vs Stan Wawrinka$-425
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs FURIA (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifi$-345
49ers vs. Seahawks$-345
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs Sinners (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Pla$-344
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-04-09?$-329
Australian Open Men's: Novak Djokovic vs Jannik Sinner$-326
Texans vs. Patriots$-313

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.960
Sortino
24.958
HHI
56
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.469
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
11.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
99.7
Very active
Markets / Day
9.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
30s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.5m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
21 min
Avg Trades / Session
29.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 30s — typical for humanSize CV 1.81 — diverse, typical for human20% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.03 — human randomness100 trades/day — mass trading375 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.5
Heavy DCA
<=1
205 entries
<=2
395 entries
<=5
664 entries
<=10
743 entries
<=20
771 entries
<=50
842 entries
>50
54 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)12.1%
Mid (20-55c)44.9%
High (>55c)43%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.3%

Toronto$30
Los Angeles$25
San Francisco$0
Seattle$0
Beijing$-3
Houston$-3
Miami$-13
São Paulo$-27
Atlanta$-48
Chicago$-63
Paris$-227
Madrid$-702
Other$-18,497

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.9
Events covered
483

Single bracket

<=1
304 brackets
<=2
355 brackets
<=3
425 brackets
<=4
453 brackets
<=5
471 brackets
<=8
483 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
1/10/2026, 2:54:28 PM1 trades$30 min
1/10/2026, 3:07:44 PM1 trades$20 min
1/10/2026, 3:16:06 PM1 trades$10 min
1/11/2026, 7:03:16 PM1 trades$40 min
1/11/2026, 7:28:34 PM2 trades$51 min
1/11/2026, 7:46:50 PM1 trades$50 min
1/16/2026, 1:36:04 AM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 6:41:36 PM7 trades$593 min
1/17/2026, 7:24:02 PM1 trades$20 min
1/17/2026, 7:30:40 PM5 trades$54 min
1/17/2026, 7:44:56 PM12 trades$2810 min
1/17/2026, 8:00:12 PM2 trades$30 min
1/17/2026, 8:23:14 PM24 trades$9434 min
1/17/2026, 9:10:36 PM29 trades$4720 min
1/17/2026, 9:48:34 PM1 trades$10 min
1/17/2026, 10:25:02 PM6 trades$173 min
1/17/2026, 11:15:12 PM1 trades$300 min
1/17/2026, 11:35:18 PM2 trades$315 min
1/18/2026, 12:11:58 AM1 trades$30 min
1/18/2026, 12:21:40 AM3 trades$31 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-04
01-12
01-19
01-29
02-08
04-10
04-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.9 br/event