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@CryptoVagabond

#58485

0x6979b1a23c14e5cf0c6d29310080841d19d4c2a3

55d· 12 markets · 199 tradesVol: $728,9442026-06-23T15:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 71%20/20
Profit Factor 533.35x15/15
Sharpe 0.57811/15
Sortino 102489686.59110/10
EV $+495.92410/10
HHI 50480/10
Profit Days 67%9/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

CryptoVagabond is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, with 199 trades across 12 markets over 45 days. Ranked #584 on the global PnL leaderboard, they have generated a net profit of $307,469.09 on a total volume of $728,944. Their smart score of 85 indicates a very good overall performance, supported by a strong win rate of 77.8% and an impressive profit factor of 5351.06. Although their portfolio value currently sits at $263.16, the consistency in profitability places CryptoVagabond among the top traders in their segment.

This trader prefers a manual trading approach, as reflected by a low bot score of 5, indicating human decision-making rather than algorithmic strategies. Their style is characterized by a contrarian and sniper mentality, engaging markets selectively with low sell activity (7%), and holding positions with diamond hands for potential long-term gains. CryptoVagabond avoids weather markets entirely and demonstrates a moderate risk profile, with a Sharpe ratio of 0.58 and no recorded drawdown duration, suggesting careful timing and risk management on Polymarket.

CryptoVagabond’s key strengths include a high win rate and strong profit factor, which highlight their ability to identify favorable market conditions and execute profitable trades consistently. Their manual, contrarian style allows for flexibility and adaptability. However, the relatively low Sharpe ratio and small portfolio value compared to net PnL suggest potential volatility and capital allocation risks. Additionally, the absence of equity trend data limits a full assessment of their long-term sustainability. Overall, CryptoVagabond demonstrates solid trading prowess with some exposure to performance fluctuations.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+307,469
Lottery Player
83% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
99% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
7% sell
DCA Master
avg 15.4 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
Consistent
2/3 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

2
🎭 CULTURE#5$307,569Vol: $728,110
🏛️ POLITICS#1,488,010$-100Vol: $833

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$307,469
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$728,944
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$263
Predictions
12
total markets
Trades
185B / 14S
Daily Volume
$622
Account Age
55d
since May 15, 2026

Periods

#2
Month
$33
Vol: $0
All Time
$307,469
Vol: $728,944

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
71%
5W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$307,826
Win Rate
78%
7W / 2L
Profit Factor
5351.06x
Avg Win
$43,982
Avg Loss
$-29

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $301,127 (97.8% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$276,019
Will Bulgaria win the televote for Eurovision 2026?$16,408
Will Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$8,700
Will Bulgaria be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Fin$6,700
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Fi$29
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?$15
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Romania win Eurovision 2026?$-41
Will Greece win Eurovision 2026?$-17

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.578
Sortino
inf
HHI
5048
Concentrated
EV per $1
$495.924
Kelly %
77.7%
Half-Kelly
38.9%
Top-1 market
69.8%
Top-5 markets
94%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
13.0
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
10/24
Normal
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
21s
between trades
Avg Gap
12.4m
between trades
Night Trading
0%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.00
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
19
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 21s — typical for humanSize CV 2.00 — diverse, typical for human0% at night — normal sleep pattern10/24 hours — normal hoursSession CV 0.96 — human randomness13 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
15.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
4 entries
<=2
5 entries
<=5
7 entries
<=10
8 entries
<=20
11 entries
<=50
11 entries
>50
1 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)82.7%
Mid (20-55c)16.2%
High (>55c)1.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 95.2%

Other$307,813

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.7
Events covered
7

Single bracket

<=1
5 brackets
<=2
6 brackets
<=3
6 brackets
<=4
6 brackets
<=5
7 brackets
<=8
7 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 7:33:36 AM9 trades$9,54110 min
5/15/2026, 7:56:37 AM8 trades$2,3234 min
5/15/2026, 8:13:46 AM1 trades$5000 min
5/15/2026, 8:21:44 AM1 trades$600 min
5/15/2026, 5:40:53 PM8 trades$1,8163 min
5/16/2026, 8:02:11 AM33 trades$2,80111 min
5/16/2026, 8:18:24 AM32 trades$2,46010 min
5/16/2026, 8:33:53 AM22 trades$3,83016 min
5/16/2026, 11:32:28 AM45 trades$3,88528 min
5/16/2026, 1:33:50 PM13 trades$1,2909 min
5/16/2026, 1:49:35 PM7 trades$6214 min
5/16/2026, 2:12:25 PM2 trades$5701 min
5/16/2026, 2:58:14 PM4 trades$5631 min
5/16/2026, 3:12:53 PM4 trades$2312 min
5/16/2026, 9:17:12 PM1 trades$60 min
5/16/2026, 11:23:51 PM1 trades$11,4480 min
5/16/2026, 11:31:27 PM4 trades$25,4921 min
5/16/2026, 11:48:14 PM2 trades$295,5610 min
5/30/2026, 3:36:03 PM2 trades$2003 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
06-15
06-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.7 br/event