Polydata

@Cuddly-Patron

#6,78197

0x2ecb34e1cb95b3c8d9d3e2905668d3eee03a7645

184d· 18428 markets · 4008 tradesVol: $4,847,7132026-06-24T20:15
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 63%17/20
Profit Factor 16.63x15/15
Sharpe 0.86515/15
Sortino 3.81210/10
EV $+7.32410/10
HHI 22210/10
Profit Days 88%10/10
DD/Peak 2%10/10

Summary

Cuddly-Patron is an active trader on Polymarket with a strong track record, ranking #6781 on the global PnL leaderboard. Over 209 days, they have executed 4,008 trades across 496 markets, generating a net profit of $21,153.40 from a total volume of nearly $4.85 million. Their Smart Score of 97 out of 100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistency and skill in trading.

This trader demonstrates a balanced approach, favoring a diverse set of markets without exposure to weather-related events. With a win rate of 63.7% and a profit factor of 2.41, Cuddly-Patron manages a moderate risk profile supported by a Sharpe Ratio of 0.86, indicating reasonable risk-adjusted returns. Their trading style includes characteristics such as sniping for precise entry points and contrarian moves, aligning with badges like Sniper and Contrarian. The lack of sell orders suggests a preference for holding positions rather than frequent liquidation.

Cuddly-Patron’s main strengths lie in their elite-level performance and stable equity trend with zero max drawdown duration, signaling disciplined risk management. However, the semi-bot score of 55 indicates a mixed manual and automated strategy that may introduce variability. Additionally, their flat portfolio value suggests limited recent growth, which could be a concern if market conditions shift unfavorably. Overall, Cuddly-Patron remains a proficient and methodical trader within Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+21,153
Lottery Player
32% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
63% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 8.1 entries/market
Win Streak
13 wins in a row
Whale
$76,685
Consistent
115/131 days
Cool Head
DD 2%

Categories

7
SPORTS#1,378$38,901Vol: $2,170,730
CRYPTO#1,419,879$-108Vol: $238,794
🎭 CULTURE#794,866$-1,017Vol: $145,246
📢 MENTIONS#168,005$-1,467Vol: $98,191
📈 ECONOMICS#2,760$989Vol: $57,900
💰 FINANCE#1,162$4,225Vol: $41,915
🏛️ POLITICS#33,485$335Vol: $5,214

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$21,153
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,847,713
Total Redeem
$32,932
Portfolio
$12,344
Predictions
18428
total markets
Trades
4006B / 2S
Daily Volume
$367
Account Age
184d
since Dec 24, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$46
Vol: $4,754
Week
$37
Vol: $34,946
Month
$10,778
Vol: $418,635
All Time
$21,153
Vol: $4,847,713

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
69%
270W / 120L events
Realized PnL
$147,135
Win Rate
64%
128W / 73L
Profit Factor
2.41x
Avg Win
$191
Avg Loss
$-139

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,905 (69.3% of PnL)

Top Winners

Knicks vs. Spurs$4,835
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main $3,623
UFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Mai$1,448
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Ma$1,247
Will Falcons reach the Grand Final at IEM Cologne Major 2026?$1,069
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026$916
Rainbow Six Siege: Rebels Gaming vs Twisted Minds (BO1) - Europe $908
Will Falcons win IEM Cologne Major 2026?$644
Will the announcers say "Golden Boot" during the England vs Croat$628
Will the announcers say "Messi" during the England vs Croatia FIF$579

Top Losers

Will MrBeast say "Feastables" during his next YouTube video?$-1,119
Will Michael Olise win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup$-847
ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs South Africa$-770
Will Japan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-679
Will USA be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?$-474
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?$-435
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-427
Will Xander Schauffele finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open$-365
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-354
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup$-345

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.865
Sortino
3.812
HHI
222
Diversified
EV per $1
$7.324
Kelly %
35.0%
Half-Kelly
17.5%
Top-1 market
8.6%
Top-5 markets
26.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
29.5
Active
Markets / Day
3.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
56s
between trades
Avg Gap
19.2m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.6

Bot Detection

#6
55
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 56s — typical for humanSize CV 1.73 — diverse, typical for human27% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness29 trades/day — suspiciously high574 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.1
Active DCA
<=1
147 entries
<=2
229 entries
<=5
324 entries
<=10
401 entries
<=20
450 entries
<=50
483 entries
>50
13 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32%
Mid (20-55c)32.9%
High (>55c)35.1%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 36.3%

Other$13,747
Tokyo$276
Taipei$108
Chicago$96
Houston$74
Los Angeles$0
Denver$0
Toronto$0
Seattle$0
Shanghai$0
São Paulo$0
Milan$0
San Francisco$0
Singapore$-5

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2
Events covered
243

Moderate coverage

<=1
148 brackets
<=2
199 brackets
<=3
225 brackets
<=4
230 brackets
<=5
232 brackets
<=8
237 brackets
>8
6 brackets

Sessions

#12
2/8/2026, 6:16:11 PM1 trades$90 min
3/10/2026, 1:11:39 AM1 trades$30 min
3/10/2026, 2:51:15 AM1 trades$00 min
4/7/2026, 8:53:57 PM1 trades$00 min
4/11/2026, 10:00:43 PM2 trades$60 min
4/12/2026, 2:52:41 AM1 trades$50 min
4/12/2026, 8:34:33 AM1 trades$50 min
4/12/2026, 10:42:25 AM1 trades$40 min
4/12/2026, 10:49:41 AM8 trades$6413 min
4/12/2026, 10:30:27 PM2 trades$370 min
4/13/2026, 10:03:03 AM1 trades$50 min
4/13/2026, 2:48:31 PM2 trades$180 min
4/20/2026, 6:32:20 PM2 trades$1231 min
4/21/2026, 12:51:40 AM1 trades$00 min
4/22/2026, 7:46:36 PM2 trades$642 min
4/24/2026, 4:20:16 AM2 trades$30 min
4/28/2026, 10:06:24 AM1 trades$30 min
4/28/2026, 10:20:14 AM2 trades$162 min
4/28/2026, 10:31:42 AM22 trades$37713 min
4/28/2026, 7:57:26 PM2 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-14
02-18
03-13
04-18
05-18
06-09
06-27
07-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2 br/event