Polydata
Cuddly-Will

@Cuddly-Will

#4,55198

0x7fea691e28d169a33c500607279f2acb49058f74

723d· 6049 markets · 53721 tradesVol: $43,762,917 @CavaSoTasty2026-06-26T12:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

98
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 67%19/20
Profit Factor 11.20x15/15
Sharpe 0.77615/15
Sortino 5.32610/10
EV $+15.99910/10
HHI 2810/10
Profit Days 83%10/10
DD/Peak 1%10/10

Summary

Cuddly-Will is an experienced and highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #4551 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $33,967.55. Over 713 days, they have executed 53,721 trades across 1,522 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $43 million. Their Elite Smart Score of 98/100 reflects strong trading skills, while a portfolio value of $3,305.86 and a Sharpe Ratio of 0.78 indicate steady, moderate risk-adjusted returns.

The trading style of Cuddly-Will is characterized by a contrarian and sniper approach, as highlighted by their badges, suggesting selective, high-conviction trades. They exhibit a low win rate of 39.1%, but their trading is automated to some extent, as shown by a Bot Score of 75/100. Their risk profile is moderate, with no recorded max drawdown duration and a flat equity trend, implying disciplined risk management and consistent market engagement without significant losses or drawdowns.

Cuddly-Will’s strengths lie in their disciplined, automated strategy and broad market diversification, trading over 1,500 markets with a large volume. However, the low profit factor of 0.06 and win rate under 40% could signal challenges in consistently capturing profitable opportunities. Their zero sell percentage indicates a buy-and-hold bias, which might expose them to prolonged exposure in volatile markets. Overall, Cuddly-Will demonstrates stable, contrarian trading with room to improve profitability metrics.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Sniper
Win Rate 67%
Profitable
PnL $+33,968
Contrarian
54% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
Bot
Score 75/100
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
Whale
$3,522,767
Consistent
135/162 days
High Roller
$4,941/day
Cool Head
DD 1%

Categories

9
SPORTS#928$64,989Vol: $39,845,799
🎭 CULTURE#801,950$-35,082Vol: $1,760,360
🏛️ POLITICS#1,583,596$-1,084Vol: $920,016
📈 ECONOMICS#642$8,264Vol: $717,713
💻 TECH#579$2,803Vol: $136,339
🌤️ WEATHER#284,451$-1,407Vol: $104,281
CRYPTO#29,175$1,010Vol: $101,351
📢 MENTIONS#168,954$-3,208Vol: $41,191
💰 FINANCE#9,210$305Vol: $7,214

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$33,968
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$43,762,917
Total Redeem
$16,023
Portfolio
$3,306
Predictions
6049
total markets
Trades
53589B / 132S
Daily Volume
$4,941
Account Age
723d
since Jul 3, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-4,348
Vol: $141,890
Week
$-7,709
Vol: $1,924,932
Month
$8,165
Vol: $7,806,804
All Time
$33,968
Vol: $43,762,917

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
72%
956W / 370L events
Realized PnL
$1,490,653
Win Rate
39%
70W / 108L
Profit Factor
0.06x
Avg Win
$116
Avg Loss
$-1,246

Top Winners

Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Mariam Bolkvadze vs Jeline Vandromm$768
Exact Score: Curaçao 0 - 2 Côte d'Ivoire?$660
Bad Homburg Open: Naomi Osaka vs Ekaterina Alexandrova$532
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Oceane Dodin vs Mananchaya Sawangka$400
Mallorca Championships: Ethan Quinn vs Vit Kopriva$397
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 3 Brazil?$367
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Mets$318
Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?$310
Exact Score: Scotland 1 - 2 Brazil?$264
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds$254

Top Losers

Knicks vs. Spurs$-39,159
Knicks vs. Spurs$-38,568
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic$-14,471
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettini$-10,775
Roland Garros ATP: Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Andrey Rublev$-6,062
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw?$-4,814
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-24?$-4,531
Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?$-2,033
Scotland vs. Brazil: O/U 3.5$-1,536
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?$-790

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.776
Sortino
5.326
HHI
28
Diversified
EV per $1
$15.998
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.2%
Top-5 markets
5.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
121.6
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
14s
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
75
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 14s — suspiciously fastSize CV 2.07 — diverse, typical for human30% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness122 trades/day — automation1692 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
35.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
85 entries
<=2
164 entries
<=5
335 entries
<=10
532 entries
<=20
777 entries
<=50
1188 entries
>50
334 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)17.1%
Mid (20-55c)43.3%
High (>55c)39.6%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.6%

Chicago$560
Los Angeles$194
Seattle$92
San Francisco$12
New York City$0
Miami$0
Austin$0
Madrid$0
Milan$0
Dallas$0
Paris$0
Hong Kong$0
Singapore$0
Toronto$-0
Houston$-72
Atlanta$-196
Other$-127,023

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
1122

Single bracket

<=1
904 brackets
<=2
1021 brackets
<=3
1089 brackets
<=4
1104 brackets
<=5
1110 brackets
<=8
1119 brackets
>8
3 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/10/2025, 4:27:53 PM3 trades$1,8318 min
4/10/2025, 5:11:48 PM1 trades$5810 min
4/10/2025, 5:30:22 PM2 trades$6091 min
4/10/2025, 5:43:24 PM2 trades$9461 min
5/6/2025, 3:15:44 PM1 trades$5730 min
5/9/2025, 12:08:01 PM2 trades$31 min
5/9/2025, 12:15:23 PM1 trades$1220 min
5/9/2025, 12:21:35 PM1 trades$260 min
5/9/2025, 12:40:53 PM1 trades$140 min
5/9/2025, 1:58:31 PM1 trades$230 min
5/9/2025, 3:51:09 PM3 trades$300 min
5/9/2025, 3:56:59 PM5 trades$150 min
5/14/2025, 11:04:08 PM2 trades$7001 min
5/22/2025, 1:07:31 PM1 trades$6130 min
5/22/2025, 2:03:49 PM1 trades$5450 min
5/22/2025, 2:28:33 PM4 trades$3343 min
5/22/2025, 2:45:45 PM2 trades$1070 min
5/22/2025, 2:59:13 PM10 trades$84123 min
5/22/2025, 3:31:23 PM10 trades$45711 min
5/22/2025, 4:05:41 PM5 trades$2635 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
07-20
09-17
03-11
04-13
05-11
06-07
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 35.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event