Polydata
DancewithRisk

@DancewithRisk

#6,65387

0xb0fcea24160139269e0af107811e33d99d6ece0b

~246d· 183 markets · 7047 tradesVol: $1,464,6622026-08-01 04:21:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

66% (55/83)18.1/20
2.08x (win $27,448 / loss $13,215)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.91515/15
Sortino 8.20010/10
$+0.0257 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 391 (83 markets)10/10
45/67 profitable days (67%)9.3/10
Max DD 28% of peak ($4,111 / $14,913)8.5/10

Badges

9
Sniper
Win rate 66%
Profitable
PnL $+24,154
DCA Master
Avg 29.1 entries/market
Whale
$553,383 invested
Consistent
45/67 profitable days
High Roller
$1,308/day
Cool Head
Max DD 28%
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#657$9,518Vol: $637,088
CRYPTO#6,468$7,601Vol: $316,693
💰 FINANCE#885$6,104Vol: $259,489
🏛️ POLITICS#28,935$445Vol: $206,871
🎭 CULTURE#9,149$393Vol: $8,873
🌤️ WEATHER#296,089$-812Vol: $6,193

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$24,082
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,464,662
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
183
total markets
Trades
3139B / 3908S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~246d

Periods

#2
Today
$-93
Vol: $101
Week
$4,264
Vol: $177,141
Month
$-93
Vol: $101
All Time
$24,082
Vol: $1,464,662

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
66%
55W / 28L events
Realized PnL
$24,154
Win Rate
66%
55W / 28L
Profit Factor
2.08x
Avg Win
$499
Avg Loss
$-529

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,183 (0.380181127544842% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$3,757
Will Hyperliquid hit $70 in 2025?$3,306
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?$2,120
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?$1,759
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 22?$1,588
Will CXMT’s closing IPO market cap be at least 3.5T yuan?$1,316
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?$1,089
Hyperliquid daily fees above $8M in 2025?$977
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$959
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?$917

Top Losers

SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month?$-4,252
Ethereum all time high before 2026?$-3,476
US military action against Iran by Sunday?$-860
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?$-844
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 28?$-817
Will Hyperliquid hit $50 in 2025?$-442
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$-434
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-431
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-367
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$-295

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.255
Sortino
0.263
HHI
33
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.084
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
9.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.7
Active
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.93
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 318s — normal for humanCV 2.93 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock17 trades/day — very active0.4 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
29.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)19.6%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
7/28/2026, 2:44:16 AM21 trades$22,0538 min
7/2/2026, 1:17:35 PM35 trades$14,4502 min
7/14/2026, 2:51:14 PM35 trades$14,0261 min
7/23/2026, 7:25:10 AM5 trades$13,3640 min
6/28/2026, 2:36:43 PM21 trades$13,2296 min
6/17/2026, 12:50:56 PM12 trades$12,7601 min
6/24/2026, 4:24:35 PM42 trades$12,54316 min
7/13/2026, 6:40:37 AM33 trades$12,1153 min
7/8/2026, 3:13:11 AM25 trades$10,85710 min
7/14/2026, 2:07:17 PM20 trades$10,6323 min
7/21/2026, 1:50:39 PM11 trades$9,6440 min
7/2/2026, 12:48:20 PM27 trades$8,74711 min
7/31/2026, 9:57:27 PM99 trades$8,5842 min
7/28/2026, 3:38:48 AM39 trades$8,3597 min
7/21/2026, 9:15:33 PM8 trades$8,2454 min
7/28/2026, 2:32:46 AM53 trades$7,9871 min
6/29/2026, 7:21:46 AM13 trades$7,5840 min
6/30/2026, 5:45:23 PM11 trades$6,7140 min
7/29/2026, 8:23:53 PM1 trades$6,6940 min
10/12/2025, 1:14:02 PM3 trades$6,5880 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-06
08-09
09-27
12-09
05-01
06-25
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 51 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
55.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 29.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.2 / M19.6 / H72.3