Polydata
Data is 5 days old — refreshing in background...
Dangerous-Lamb

@Dangerous-Lamb

#1,47835

0x1bcb16ab3595079a8a8f0d35a475a3b71bc0b05a

199d· 1213 markets · 2874 tradesVol: $1,882,305 @chiiwawinha2026-05-16T11:37
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

35
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 0.87x1/15
HHI 7310/10
Profit Days 47%4/10

Summary

Dangerous-Lamb is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1478 on the global PnL leaderboard. With 2,874 trades across 462 markets over 188 days, they have generated a net profit of $100,831.86 from a total volume of approximately $1.88 million. Despite a solid win rate of 62.0%, their overall Smart Score is below average at 35/100, and their Sharpe Ratio is slightly negative at -0.05, indicating modest risk-adjusted returns.

This trader tends to engage broadly across multiple markets, showing a preference for high-volume and high-frequency trading rather than niche or weather-related markets, which constitute just 1% of their activity. Dangerous-Lamb’s sell percentage of 28% suggests a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. The combination of a 62% win rate with a profit factor below 1 (0.87) implies a trading style that captures frequent small wins but is challenged by occasional losses. Their trading patterns do not indicate automated bot activity, aligning with their low Bot Score of 20/100.

Dangerous-Lamb’s key strengths lie in their consistent upward equity trend and ability to maintain profitability over many trades, supported by badges such as Profitable and High Roller. However, their negative Sharpe Ratio and below-average Smart Score highlight risks related to volatility and risk management. While the zero-day maximum drawdown duration indicates quick recovery from losses, the profit factor under 1 suggests vulnerability to larger losing trades that could impact long-term stability.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+100,832
Win Streak
89 wins in a row
Whale
$366,086
High Roller
$1,947/day

Categories

6
SPORTS#629$98,312Vol: $1,709,423
🏛️ POLITICS#68,480$79Vol: $100,912
🎭 CULTURE#5,124$862Vol: $36,763
🌤️ WEATHER#935$1,442Vol: $26,747
CRYPTO#1,335,278$-105Vol: $4,552
📢 MENTIONS#3,455$241Vol: $3,908

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$100,832
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,882,305
Total Redeem
$208,902
Portfolio
$2,983
Predictions
1213
total markets
Trades
2077B / 797S
Daily Volume
$1,947
Account Age
199d
since Nov 3, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$1,101
Vol: $6,674
Week
$-595
Vol: $62,633
Month
$-46
Vol: $88,749
All Time
$100,832
Vol: $1,882,305

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
98%
234W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$177,970
Win Rate
62%
228W / 140L
Profit Factor
0.87x
Avg Win
$351
Avg Loss
$-655

Top Winners

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner$4,500
Games Total: O/U 2.5$4,141
Dota 2: Team Essence vs Aomqu and friends - Game 1 Winner$1,957
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1,556
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 1 Winner$1,536
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less th$1,375
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner$1,343
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner$1,245
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner$1,208
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs 1win - Game 1 Winner$1,182

Top Losers

Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)$-9,595
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-5,251
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff $-5,172
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner$-5,019
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-1,852
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK C$-1,703
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner$-1,613
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Sou$-1,589
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$-1,549
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner$-1,445

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.047
Sortino
-0.051
HHI
73
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.037
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.9%
Top-5 markets
12.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.2
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.70
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — typical for humanSize CV 2.70 — diverse, typical for human14% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.13 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.5
Moderate DCA
<=1
155 entries
<=2
233 entries
<=5
348 entries
<=10
420 entries
<=20
453 entries
<=50
460 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.4%
Mid (20-55c)44.3%
High (>55c)47.2%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 24%

Seattle$-172
New York City$-203
Other$-11,444

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.2
Events covered
372

Single bracket

<=1
299 brackets
<=2
360 brackets
<=3
368 brackets
<=4
371 brackets
<=5
372 brackets
<=8
372 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/20/2025, 9:29:07 AM4 trades$3103 min
11/21/2025, 9:26:17 AM1 trades$1920 min
11/21/2025, 7:35:05 PM1 trades$10 min
11/21/2025, 7:41:09 PM1 trades$1980 min
11/22/2025, 1:50:25 PM1 trades$2220 min
11/22/2025, 2:18:45 PM6 trades$5587 min
11/22/2025, 4:36:53 PM5 trades$2313 min
11/23/2025, 9:42:37 AM2 trades$5440 min
11/23/2025, 2:08:45 PM3 trades$466 min
11/23/2025, 2:24:49 PM1 trades$3900 min
11/23/2025, 4:26:17 PM4 trades$3395 min
11/24/2025, 2:52:07 PM6 trades$3030 min
11/26/2025, 9:14:43 AM7 trades$3185 min
11/27/2025, 10:40:07 AM3 trades$181 min
11/28/2025, 8:53:25 AM1 trades$480 min
11/28/2025, 8:59:15 AM1 trades$200 min
11/28/2025, 10:26:33 AM5 trades$2612 min
11/28/2025, 5:22:21 PM6 trades$2400 min
11/28/2025, 7:00:23 PM1 trades$130 min
11/28/2025, 7:10:41 PM1 trades$2500 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-20
12-23
01-27
02-23
03-21
04-14
05-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
27.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.5/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.2 br/event