Polydata
Dangerous-Lamb

@Dangerous-Lamb

#1,47636

0x1bcb16ab3595079a8a8f0d35a475a3b71bc0b05a

237d· 1284 markets · 3139 tradesVol: $2,131,316 @chiiwawinha2026-06-27T18:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Below Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 100%20/20
Profit Factor 0.93x2/15
HHI 7610/10
Profit Days 46%4/10

Summary

Dangerous-Lamb is an active Polymarket trader ranked #1476 on the global PnL leaderboard, with a net profit of $116,322.88. Over 202 days of trading, they have executed 3,139 trades across 487 markets, accumulating a total volume of over $2.1 million. Despite a substantial profit, their Smart Score is below average at 36/100, reflecting mixed efficiency in trade execution.

This trader tends to favor a diverse range of markets but shows minimal exposure to weather-related predictions, with only 1% of trades in that category. Dangerous-Lamb has a win rate of 64.4%, indicating a consistent ability to pick winning outcomes, though their profit factor of 0.93 suggests that losses may sometimes offset gains. Their sell percentage is 25%, implying a moderate level of risk management, and their Sharpe Ratio near zero points to limited risk-adjusted returns. Trading activity appears human-driven with rapid interface interaction, not algorithmic.

Key strengths for Dangerous-Lamb include a long upward equity trend and a solid win streak, supported by badges like Sniper and High Roller that highlight precision and high-volume trades. However, the negative Sharpe Ratio and profit factor below 1 indicate potential volatility and inconsistent profitability. The lack of drawdown duration suggests disciplined risk control, but the below-average Smart Score signals room for improvement in trade timing and market selection on Polymarket.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

5
Sniper
Win Rate 100%
Profitable
PnL $+116,323
Win Streak
69 wins in a row
Whale
$450,741
High Roller
$2,231/day

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#71,356$79Vol: $100,912
SPORTS#2,337$20,514Vol: $95,639
🎭 CULTURE#5,445$862Vol: $36,763
🌤️ WEATHER#1,100$1,442Vol: $26,747
CRYPTO#1,421,136$-105Vol: $4,552
📢 MENTIONS#3,688$241Vol: $3,908

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$116,323
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,131,316
Total Redeem
$287,341
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1284
total markets
Trades
2348B / 791S
Daily Volume
$2,231
Account Age
237d
since Nov 3, 2025

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
100%
234W / 1L events
Realized PnL
$188,849
Win Rate
64%
264W / 146L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$345
Avg Loss
$-674

Top Winners

Dota 2: REKONIX vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner$4,500
Games Total: O/U 2.5$4,141
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates - Map 1 Winner$2,734
Valorant: FULL SENSE vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup P$2,419
Dota 2: Team Essence vs Aomqu and friends - Game 1 Winner$1,957
Valorant: Rex Regum Qeon vs DRX (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific$1,572
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$1,556
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Aurora Young Blood - Map 1 Winner$1,536
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less th$1,375
LoL: Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming vs GAM Esports - Game 2 Winner$1,343

Top Losers

Set Handicap: Valentova (-1.5) vs Birrell (+1.5)$-9,595
Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-5,251
Valorant: Natus Vincere vs Gentle Mates (BO3) - VCT EMEA Kickoff $-5,172
LoL: Gen.G vs BNK FEARX - Game 4 Winner$-5,019
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-1,852
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK C$-1,703
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winner$-1,613
Counter-Strike: Keyd vs ShindeN (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Sou$-1,589
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$-1,549
LoL: Galions Sharks vs French Flair - Game 1 Winner$-1,445

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.026
Sortino
-0.030
HHI
76
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.018
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.1%
Top-5 markets
12.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
16.4
Active
Markets / Day
2.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
42s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.0h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.9

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 42s — typical for humanSize CV 2.77 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — normal sleep pattern24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.16 — human randomness16 trades/day — very active

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.8
Moderate DCA
<=1
159 entries
<=2
242 entries
<=5
363 entries
<=10
437 entries
<=20
473 entries
<=50
485 entries
>50
2 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.4%
Mid (20-55c)38.9%
High (>55c)53.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 25.6%

Seattle$-172
New York City$-203
Other$-6,963

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
386

Single bracket

<=1
308 brackets
<=2
369 brackets
<=3
381 brackets
<=4
385 brackets
<=5
386 brackets
<=8
386 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
11/19/2025, 10:37:07 AM1 trades$150 min
11/19/2025, 10:43:39 AM1 trades$760 min
11/19/2025, 10:57:07 AM1 trades$190 min
11/19/2025, 4:54:41 PM4 trades$2502 min
11/20/2025, 9:29:07 AM4 trades$3103 min
11/21/2025, 9:26:17 AM1 trades$1920 min
11/21/2025, 7:35:05 PM1 trades$10 min
11/21/2025, 7:41:09 PM1 trades$1980 min
11/22/2025, 1:50:25 PM1 trades$2220 min
11/22/2025, 2:18:45 PM6 trades$5587 min
11/22/2025, 4:36:53 PM5 trades$2313 min
11/23/2025, 9:42:37 AM2 trades$5440 min
11/23/2025, 4:26:17 PM4 trades$3395 min
11/24/2025, 2:52:07 PM6 trades$3030 min
11/26/2025, 9:14:43 AM7 trades$3185 min
11/27/2025, 10:40:07 AM3 trades$181 min
11/28/2025, 8:53:25 AM1 trades$480 min
11/28/2025, 8:59:15 AM1 trades$200 min
11/28/2025, 10:26:33 AM5 trades$2612 min
11/28/2025, 5:22:21 PM6 trades$2400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-19
12-24
02-01
03-01
03-31
04-25
05-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0.6% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.8/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event