DannyCipriani

@DannyCipriani

#44,77361

0x5bc5db96b5d893563caa7a93bc7dd8528f3ac64d

~100d· 510 markets · 1468 tradesVol: $61,2272026-09-23 04:01:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

61
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (268/504)11.6/20
1.22x (win $3,155 / loss $2,590)5.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.39815/15
Sortino 1.71910/10
$+0.0390 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 275 (504 markets)10/10
52/87 profitable days (60%)7.4/10
Max DD 150% of peak ($851 / $565)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,722
Lottery Player
31% entries < $0.20
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

1
SPORTS#18,193$2,398Vol: $61,212

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,398
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,227
Total Redeem
$141
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
510
total markets
Trades
1006B / 462S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~100d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$113
Vol: $1,196
Month
$588
Vol: $7,967
All Time
$2,398
Vol: $61,227

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
268W / 236L events
Realized PnL
$1,722
Win Rate
53%
268W / 236L
Profit Factor
1.22x
Avg Win
$12
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $279 (0.1618834132800613% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Si Woo Kim finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 Cadillac Championship?$133
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-25?$73
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$72
Will Bryson DeChambeau make the cut at the 2026 U.S. Open?$65
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?$59
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?$57
Will Collin Morikawa finish in the Top 10 at the 2026 U.S. Open?$53
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?$49
Will Shane Lowry finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?$47
Will Patrick Reed make the cut at the 2026 U.S. Open?$46

Top Losers

Will Chiefs win?$-581
Will Benetton Treviso win?$-186
Will the match end in a draw?$-125
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?$-60
Will a player from England win the 2026 U.S. Open?$-49
Will Kristoffer Reitan finish in the Top 20 at the 2026 the Memorial Tournament presented by Workday?$-48
Will Scottie Scheffler finish in the Top 5 at the 2026 U.S. Open?$-42
Will Cameron Young win the 2026 Masters tournament?$-42
Will a player from the United States of America win the 2026 U.S. Open?$-37
Will the match end in a draw?$-36

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.073
Sortino
0.060
HHI
246
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.039
Kelly %
1.6%
Half-Kelly
0.8%
Top-1 market
8.9%
Top-5 markets
27.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
9.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
5%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.2

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 595s — normal for humanCV 2.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)5% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock10 trades/day — normal3.5 markets/day — normal69% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.94
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)31.2%
Mid (20-55c)33.7%
High (>55c)35.1%

Sessions

#12
4/24/2026, 1:55:14 PM3 trades$9860 min
4/24/2026, 7:52:56 PM4 trades$9460 min
4/24/2026, 8:19:52 PM6 trades$6801 min
5/16/2026, 7:11:57 AM2 trades$6140 min
4/18/2026, 8:54:50 AM18 trades$5932 min
5/3/2026, 8:26:02 PM2 trades$5560 min
4/25/2026, 12:02:20 PM28 trades$54222 min
4/24/2026, 8:02:08 PM7 trades$5132 min
5/23/2026, 12:16:18 AM1 trades$4830 min
6/20/2026, 3:53:40 PM21 trades$4715 min
5/22/2026, 5:22:48 AM1 trades$4620 min
6/20/2026, 12:58:02 PM6 trades$4421 min
5/3/2026, 6:32:02 PM21 trades$43813 min
5/16/2026, 1:03:11 PM5 trades$3812 min
4/25/2026, 6:58:06 AM11 trades$3549 min
6/20/2026, 10:51:56 AM18 trades$3455 min
6/19/2026, 12:45:28 PM73 trades$3257 min
4/18/2026, 9:51:10 AM2 trades$2823 min
5/16/2026, 6:27:27 AM1 trades$2600 min
5/16/2026, 12:35:30 PM1 trades$2450 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-20
04-12
04-30
05-22
06-08
06-27
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 27 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.94/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L31.2 / M33.7 / H35.1