Polydata
Debosnys

@Debosnys

#2,29890

0x7e30c3a56d89edac738d788dd218a9e64fb91e50

~555d· 2750 markets · 30135 tradesVol: $35,513,9902026-07-31 15:16:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

90
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

90% (2433/2705)20/20
2.06x (win $295,176 / loss $143,414)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.94915/15
Sortino 3.64110/10
$+0.0063 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 57 (2705 markets)10/10
401/469 profitable days (86%)10/10
Max DD 14% of peak ($21,180 / $151,762)10/10

Badges

10
Sniper
Win rate 90%
Profitable
PnL $+81,819
DCA Master
Avg 10.9 entries/market
Whale
$24,059,803 invested
Consistent
401/469 profitable days
High Roller
$37,244/day
Cool Head
Max DD 14%
Win Streak
62 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#983$50,600Vol: $16,989,870
🎭 CULTURE#291$26,650Vol: $5,930,655
📈 ECONOMICS#347$21,953Vol: $4,081,961
CRYPTO#1,670,465$-20,776Vol: $3,876,281
📢 MENTIONS#392$4,339Vol: $1,624,154
💰 FINANCE#654,954$-2,377Vol: $1,097,964
💻 TECH#869$1,947Vol: $781,581
SPORTS#1,808,420$-675Vol: $730,677
🌤️ WEATHER#2,719$463Vol: $360,744

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$81,814
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$35,513,990
Total Redeem
$1,146,541
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2750
total markets
Trades
20671B / 9464S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~555d

Periods

#2
Today
$-15
Vol: $21,415
Week
$1,618
Vol: $238,969
Month
$1,444
Vol: $373,896
All Time
$81,814
Vol: $35,513,990

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
90%
2433W / 272L events
Realized PnL
$81,819
Win Rate
90%
2433W / 272L
Profit Factor
2.06x
Avg Win
$121
Avg Loss
$-646

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74,305 (0.9081598855229787% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will US or Israel strike Iran first?$45,391
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$19,335
Will the government shutdown end November 13?$9,578
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?$9,135
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?$8,668
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?$8,227
Will Zelenskyy wear a suit before July?$4,070
Will MrBeast x Ronaldo video get less than 50m views on day 1?$3,561
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$3,327
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$3,210

Top Losers

Will four or more people dissent the April Fed decision?$-16,780
Bitcoin Up or Down on August 20?$-14,672
Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?$-14,293
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 29?$-9,820
Bitcoin Up or Down – May 28 (9 PM ET Candle)$-7,114
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords in 2025?$-6,193
Will Elon tweet 850-874 times Feb 7-14?$-5,061
Will one person dissent the April Fed decision?$-4,855
Bitcoin above $114K on August 20?$-4,097
Will the government shutdown end November 12?$-3,887

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.102
Sortino
0.078
HHI
48
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.006
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.6%
Top-5 markets
7.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
46.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
27.2m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.86
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.2

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 3.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock47 trades/day — high frequency4.3 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
10.86
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)3.4%
Mid (20-55c)7.6%
High (>55c)89%

Sessions

#12
11/13/2025, 1:02:24 AM171 trades$345,69580 min
11/5/2025, 2:21:51 AM11 trades$320,7123 min
12/30/2025, 6:51:15 AM72 trades$277,93722 min
3/12/2026, 1:15:55 AM2 trades$197,1011 min
6/21/2025, 5:42:58 PM65 trades$173,31433 min
1/31/2026, 6:56:20 AM74 trades$163,39727 min
12/19/2025, 10:56:39 PM18 trades$160,90811 min
11/5/2025, 2:34:41 AM1 trades$159,5200 min
4/1/2026, 2:45:21 AM35 trades$153,61922 min
1/31/2026, 4:59:22 AM38 trades$150,72512 min
12/4/2025, 3:05:15 PM3 trades$149,9403 min
10/29/2025, 6:00:43 PM14 trades$149,09111 min
3/4/2026, 6:32:41 PM52 trades$147,89043 min
10/30/2025, 1:56:49 AM47 trades$146,55012 min
8/18/2025, 11:35:12 PM4 trades$146,0923 min
3/2/2026, 3:53:51 AM1 trades$137,8550 min
11/7/2025, 7:44:07 PM66 trades$137,02354 min
8/1/2025, 4:15:02 PM26 trades$136,57612 min
1/31/2026, 6:10:00 AM23 trades$135,8694 min
1/31/2026, 11:28:00 AM12 trades$129,64610 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-02
02-22
05-21
08-14
11-05
02-20
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 10.86/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L3.4 / M7.6 / H89