Degencrew

@Degencrew

#3,131,72127

0x53515560de479cb8bec53a517bcd9fb2f66dc7ed

~177d· 364 markets · 4422 tradesVol: $1,044,3862026-10-02 21:32:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

27
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (196/323)15.3/20
0.60x (win $25,156 / loss $41,683)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.2220/15
Sortino -2.6330/10
$-0.1127 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1471 (323 markets)5.1/10
69/119 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 296% of peak ($24,963 / $8,436)0/10

Badges

6
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Lottery Player
34% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 14.4 entries/market
Whale
$146,585 invested
Win Streak
15 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#15,246$1,321Vol: $425,718
₿ CRYPTO#1,677,643$-1,235Vol: $187,979
🎭 CULTURE#813,608$-448Vol: $174,092
💰 FINANCE#665,671$-1,624Vol: $110,995
⚽ SPORTS#1,887,333$-1,290Vol: $81,261
📈 ECONOMICS#13,668$85Vol: $33,155
🌤️ WEATHER#297,916$-318Vol: $28,494
📢 MENTIONS#177,416$-369Vol: $2,679
💻 TECH#33,331$3Vol: $13

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,876
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,044,386
Total Redeem
$1,637
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
364
total markets
Trades
2652B / 1770S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~177d

Periods

#2
Today
$52
Vol: $0
Week
$43
Vol: $0
Month
$-196
Vol: $497
All Time
$-3,876
Vol: $1,044,386

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
196W / 127L events
Realized PnL
$-5,022
Win Rate
61%
196W / 127L
Profit Factor
0.6x
Avg Win
$128
Avg Loss
$-342

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $11,540 (2.2978295499800874% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$4,685
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$3,813
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$3,042
Will annual inflation be 4.3% in May?$812
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$726
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$703
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?$667
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$667
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?$650
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$509

Top Losers

Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$-7,235
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$-6,731
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-3,455
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-2,843
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.4T?$-2,054
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?$-1,986
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$-1,140
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?$-874
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?$-827
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategy$-790

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.116
Sortino
-0.097
HHI
135
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.123
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.5%
Top-5 markets
19.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.6
Active
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.4h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.26
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 504s — normal for humanCV 2.26 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active0.9 markets/day — normal50% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
14.4
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.3%
Mid (20-55c)19.1%
High (>55c)46.6%

Sessions

#12
6/2/2026, 1:37:16 AM2 trades$50,0000 min
6/2/2026, 1:30:42 AM3 trades$10,0090 min
6/2/2026, 2:02:46 AM7 trades$10,0000 min
6/16/2026, 9:45:26 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/17/2026, 2:08:15 AM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/17/2026, 3:29:13 AM3 trades$10,0000 min
6/17/2026, 7:06:29 PM2 trades$10,0000 min
6/16/2026, 4:19:25 AM4 trades$7,0000 min
6/16/2026, 12:05:00 PM37 trades$6,16611 min
5/18/2026, 1:36:26 PM17 trades$5,6260 min
6/10/2026, 3:40:58 AM25 trades$3,1608 min
6/16/2026, 3:51:49 AM3 trades$3,0201 min
5/26/2026, 7:14:19 PM12 trades$2,9805 min
6/16/2026, 1:54:43 AM20 trades$2,9710 min
5/23/2026, 2:41:22 AM4 trades$2,9351 min
5/9/2026, 4:43:18 PM2 trades$2,1400 min
5/3/2026, 3:57:40 PM21 trades$2,0693 min
5/27/2026, 10:45:18 AM15 trades$2,0612 min
4/28/2026, 2:41:08 AM21 trades$2,01814 min
7/10/2026, 1:37:37 PM2 trades$1,9340 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-20
01-20
02-26
03-22
04-15
05-12
06-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
40% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 14.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.3 / M19.1 / H46.6