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Demanding-Chopsticks

@Demanding-Chopsticks

#55787

0x8f69269039b9a401de28a38c2f1c3001364b7df1

803d· 2735 markets · 8942 tradesVol: $19,575,1452026-06-13T01:04
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

87
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 86%20/20
Profit Factor 3.81x15/15
Sharpe 0.4699/15
Sortino 0.3253/10
EV $+1.64010/10
HHI 21510/10
Profit Days 88%10/10
DD/Peak 11%10/10

Summary

Demanding-Chopsticks is a highly active trader on Polymarket, holding the #557 position on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $303,969.15. Over 923 days, they have executed 8,942 trades across 345 markets, accumulating a total volume of nearly $19.6 million. Their smart score of 87/100 places them in the elite category, reflecting consistent performance, while their portfolio value remains stable at around $230,000.

This trader favors a diversified approach, engaging in a wide range of markets without exposure to weather-related events. With a win rate of 52% and a profit factor of 0.38, Demanding-Chopsticks appears to balance moderate risk with steady trade frequency. Their sell percentage is relatively low at 21%, indicating a tendency to hold positions longer. The Sharpe ratio of 0.47 suggests moderate risk-adjusted returns, and the absence of drawdowns points to effective risk management. Their trading style combines manual decisions with some bot assistance, as indicated by a semi-bot score of 45/100.

Demanding-Chopsticks’ main strengths include a high smart score and consistent profitability over a large number of trades, supported by badges such as Sniper and DCA Master. However, the low profit factor and moderate Sharpe ratio highlight potential limits to efficiency in converting volume to profit. The flat equity trend suggests stable but unspectacular growth, and reliance on both manual and bot strategies could introduce variability in execution. Overall, Demanding-Chopsticks demonstrates reliable performance with room for optimization in risk-reward balance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 86%
Profitable
PnL $+303,969
DCA Master
avg 20.6 entries/market
Win Streak
39 wins in a row
Whale
$1,778,280
Consistent
112/127 days
High Roller
$1,927/day
Cool Head
DD 11%

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#596$79,429Vol: $12,635,584
SPORTS#1,066$48,119Vol: $1,060,004
🎭 CULTURE#499$15,507Vol: $974,752
CRYPTO#37,230$601Vol: $263,067
💻 TECH#753$2,035Vol: $91,295
📈 ECONOMICS#652,006$-650Vol: $90,346
💰 FINANCE#625,470$-1,346Vol: $44,203
📢 MENTIONS#154,113$-93Vol: $19,925
🌤️ WEATHER#3,356$303Vol: $2,814

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$303,969
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$19,575,145
Total Redeem
$351,421
Portfolio
$230,019
Predictions
2735
total markets
Trades
7100B / 1842S
Daily Volume
$1,927
Account Age
803d
since Apr 13, 2024

Periods

#2
Today
$-6,106
Vol: $131,956
Week
$16,152
Vol: $477,088
Month
$22,861
Vol: $783,465
All Time
$303,969
Vol: $19,575,145

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
88%
231W / 31L events
Realized PnL
$937,174
Win Rate
52%
117W / 108L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$1,715
Avg Loss
$-4,949

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$10,174
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FUT Esports (BO5) - PGL Bucharest Pla$8,617
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?$7,872
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner$7,620
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major$7,500
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs Sinners (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage $7,350
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by March 31?$5,942
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2$5,900
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championship$5,620
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs NRG (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1$5,564

Top Losers

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?$-31,661
Will Russia enter Ternuvate by February 28?$-20,494
Will Russia enter Sofiivka by February 28?$-14,770
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoff$-14,600
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winner$-13,735
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, M$-11,215
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-11,109
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$-11,097
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$-11,030
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$-9,311

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.469
Sortino
0.325
HHI
215
Diversified
EV per $1
$1.640
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.5%
Top-5 markets
28.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
28.2
Active
Markets / Day
1.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
21:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.6m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.2

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 73s — typical for humanSize CV 3.90 — diverse, typical for human16% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.08 — human randomness28 trades/day — suspiciously high346 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 21:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.6
Heavy DCA
<=1
69 entries
<=2
94 entries
<=5
145 entries
<=10
185 entries
<=20
243 entries
<=50
312 entries
>50
33 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.3%
Mid (20-55c)46%
High (>55c)51.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 43.7%

Tybura$0
Atlanta$-1,189
New York City$-9,078
Other$-323,596

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.5
Events covered
236

Single bracket

<=1
174 brackets
<=2
218 brackets
<=3
229 brackets
<=4
230 brackets
<=5
233 brackets
<=8
234 brackets
>8
2 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/31/2025, 5:44:29 AM1 trades$1,0000 min
7/31/2025, 3:54:26 PM1 trades$80 min
7/31/2025, 9:32:12 PM1 trades$40 min
7/31/2025, 10:27:44 PM1 trades$230 min
8/1/2025, 2:13:22 AM1 trades$360 min
8/1/2025, 5:11:06 AM1 trades$1620 min
8/1/2025, 9:19:34 AM1 trades$1500 min
8/1/2025, 12:28:28 PM1 trades$140 min
8/1/2025, 9:56:04 PM1 trades$2460 min
8/2/2025, 1:51:34 AM1 trades$580 min
8/2/2025, 2:55:42 AM2 trades$290 min
8/2/2025, 5:03:12 PM1 trades$20 min
8/2/2025, 6:48:26 PM1 trades$50 min
8/2/2025, 10:16:08 PM2 trades$421 min
8/2/2025, 11:10:02 PM1 trades$10 min
8/2/2025, 11:55:48 PM1 trades$10 min
8/3/2025, 12:41:21 PM1 trades$1590 min
8/6/2025, 2:15:09 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
8/6/2025, 6:01:53 PM1 trades$1,0000 min
8/6/2025, 7:02:53 PM2 trades$9,0000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
05-17
11-30
03-09
04-14
05-27
11-07

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.6/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.5 br/event