Polydata

@Dimpled-Mixer

#7,04297

0x928589e0b5b686e33f95aaddab8b6a0f8d3ac19d

379d· 5435 markets · 80172 tradesVol: $55,597,1762026-06-27T07:51
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

97
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 98%20/20
Profit Factor 15161.67x15/15
Sharpe 0.61912/15
Sortino 569.33910/10
EV $+2453.10810/10
HHI 4110/10
Profit Days 96%10/10
DD/Peak 0%10/10

Summary

Dimpled-Mixer is a highly active trader on Polymarket, with over 80,000 trades across more than 1,000 markets over 668 days. Ranked #7042 globally by net profit and boasting a net PnL of $20,420.78, this trader maintains a strong presence despite a modest portfolio value of $1.05. Their elite Smart Score of 97/100 reflects exceptional trading skill and consistent profitability.

The trader’s strategy emphasizes high-volume, diversified engagement with a preference for non-weather markets, as indicated by 0% exposure there. With a win rate of 89% and a profit factor near 28, Dimpled-Mixer appears to use a low-risk, high-precision approach, supported by a sniper-style trading method combined with contrarian and dollar-cost averaging tactics. The relatively low sell percentage (18%) and flat equity trend suggest a focus on steady gains rather than frequent position flipping.

Strengths for Dimpled-Mixer include their elite Smart Score, excellent profit factor, and stable equity trend, which indicate disciplined and profitable trading. However, the moderate Sharpe ratio of 0.62 and semi-bot score imply some exposure to market volatility and partial automation, which may introduce execution risks. Overall, Dimpled-Mixer’s performance on Polymarket demonstrates a well-honed, consistent trading approach with manageable risk.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

8
Sniper
Win Rate 98%
Profitable
PnL $+20,421
Lottery Player
100% entries <$0.20
Contrarian
100% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 63.9 entries/market
Win Streak
61 wins in a row
Consistent
66/69 days
Cool Head
DD 0%

Categories

8
🎭 CULTURE#1,309$5,838Vol: $21,899,835
₿ CRYPTO#11,659$3,913Vol: $10,476,697
🏛️ POLITICS#6,199$5,030Vol: $10,099,122
💰 FINANCE#1,741$2,767Vol: $6,510,148
⚽ SPORTS#31,373$1,169Vol: $3,607,504
💻 TECH#2,795$327Vol: $1,118,839
📈 ECONOMICS#3,413$707Vol: $1,053,077
🌤️ WEATHER#3,356$319Vol: $236,583

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$20,421
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,597,176
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$1
Predictions
5435
total markets
Trades
65608B / 14564S
Daily Volume
$14
Account Age
379d
since Jun 14, 2025

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $676
All Time
$20,421
Vol: $55,597,176

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
96%
136W / 5L events
Realized PnL
$12,415
Win Rate
89%
203W / 25L
Profit Factor
27.68x
Avg Win
$37
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,009 (14.1% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Ethereum be less than $4300 on August 22?$438
Bitcoin above $112K on August 22?$316
Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Commun$255
Ethereum above $4200 on August 22?$208
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?$172
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 in February?$166
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in February?$162
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?$156
Will Ethereum reach $4,400 in February?$148
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 9 to December 16$140

Top Losers

Megaquake in 2025?$-43
Will Solana dip to $30 in January?$-32
Will XRP dip to $0.20 in January?$-25
Will Mistral have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-22
Will XRP reach $4.00 in January?$-20
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?$-19
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on $-15
Will Meituan have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?$-15
Will XRP reach $4.00 in February?$-10
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market $-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.619
Sortino
569.339
HHI
41
Diversified
EV per $1
$2453.108
Kelly %
86.6%
Half-Kelly
43.3%
Top-1 market
2.4%
Top-5 markets
8.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
240.9
Very active
Markets / Day
3.1
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
54s
between trades
Avg Gap
4.8m
between trades
Night Trading
23%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
8.29
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
50
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

6 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 54s — typical for humanSize CV 8.29 — diverse, typical for human23% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.98 — human randomness241 trades/day — automation

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 13:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
63.9
Heavy DCA
<=1
217 entries
<=2
282 entries
<=5
378 entries
<=10
482 entries
<=20
585 entries
<=50
735 entries
>50
291 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)100%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)0%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 96.3%

Other$7,079
Seoul$54
Netanyahu$23
Newsom$6
Paris$0
New York City$0
San Francisco$0
Miami$0
Chicago$0
Atlanta$0
Warsh$0
Kurti$0
Dallas$0
Dues$0
Seattle$0

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.3
Events covered
442

Moderate coverage

<=1
248 brackets
<=2
330 brackets
<=3
362 brackets
<=4
389 brackets
<=5
404 brackets
<=8
427 brackets
>8
15 brackets

Sessions

#12
7/4/2025, 5:11:25 AM1 trades$100 min
7/4/2025, 6:50:13 PM1 trades$910 min
7/16/2025, 7:35:42 PM1 trades$290 min
7/17/2025, 5:14:14 PM1 trades$180 min
7/21/2025, 10:56:13 AM1 trades$330 min
7/23/2025, 7:12:31 PM1 trades$200 min
7/24/2025, 1:19:42 AM1 trades$130 min
7/24/2025, 10:27:24 PM1 trades$340 min
8/19/2025, 6:05:42 AM1 trades$590 min
8/19/2025, 7:17:00 AM3 trades$1806 min
8/19/2025, 10:23:06 AM1 trades$480 min
8/19/2025, 11:08:44 AM1 trades$480 min
8/19/2025, 11:23:02 AM1 trades$500 min
8/19/2025, 12:28:04 PM2 trades$112 min
8/20/2025, 12:25:35 AM1 trades$350 min
8/20/2025, 1:58:59 AM2 trades$221 min
8/20/2025, 6:42:23 AM1 trades$40 min
8/20/2025, 7:16:29 AM1 trades$1130 min
8/20/2025, 4:17:43 PM1 trades$420 min
8/21/2025, 12:26:29 PM1 trades$310 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-01
10-04
12-01
01-09
02-15
05-26
12-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 63.9/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.3 br/event