Polydata

@Disloyal-Parade

#19,75768

0xd961dd5107dc8cfbc95d26f3c9c9bac9264235de

93d· 763 markets · 11331 tradesVol: $6,077,3772026-06-24T17:18
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

68
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 71%20/20
Profit Factor 1.62x10/15
Sharpe 0.1583/15
Sortino 0.0901/10
EV $+0.58910/10
HHI 34110/10
Profit Days 83%10/10
DD/Peak 52%4/10

Summary

Disloyal-Parade is a moderately active trader on Polymarket, ranking #19757 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $6,263.92 over 121 days. They have executed 11,331 trades across 264 markets, accumulating a total volume of over $6 million. Despite a high trade count, their overall profit factor stands at 0.27, and their Sharpe ratio is quite low at 0.16, indicating limited risk-adjusted returns. Their portfolio value remains stable around $12,278, with a flat equity trend and no significant drawdown periods recorded.

The trading style of Disloyal-Parade appears to be a mix of semi-automated and manual strategies, as indicated by their bot score of 60/100. They show a contrarian approach, reflected in their badges and a relatively low win rate of 42.4%, suggesting they often take less popular positions. Their sell percentage is 39%, implying a balanced approach between holding and exiting positions. Disloyal-Parade does not engage in weather markets and seems to favor quick, targeted trades consistent with their "Sniper" badge, likely aiming for short-term opportunities rather than long-term holds.

Disloyal-Parade’s strengths include a high volume of trades and experience across many different markets, which can offer diversification benefits. Their ability to maintain a stable portfolio value without drawdown indicates effective risk controls. However, the low profit factor and Sharpe ratio highlight potential concerns about the profitability and efficiency of their strategy. The semi-bot nature of their style might help manage execution speed, but a win rate below 50% and a low risk-adjusted return suggest that some trades may be speculative or high-risk.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

7
Sniper
Win Rate 71%
Profitable
PnL $+6,264
Contrarian
72% entries <$0.50
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$946,424
Consistent
59/71 days
High Roller
$7,822/day

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,745,817$-23,412Vol: $4,731,397

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$6,264
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,077,377
Total Redeem
$83,343
Portfolio
$12,279
Predictions
763
total markets
Trades
6881B / 4450S
Daily Volume
$7,822
Account Age
93d
since Mar 25, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-44
Vol: $37,072
Week
$-4,233
Vol: $293,639
Month
$-57,761
Vol: $455,717
All Time
$6,264
Vol: $6,077,377

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
76%
198W / 64L events
Realized PnL
$196,973
Win Rate
42%
64W / 87L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$946
Avg Loss
$-2,533

Top Winners

Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?$11,622
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$10,114
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$7,553
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5,054
Will a team from France be the 2026 Champions League winner?$4,053
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?$3,094
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2,691
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$2,472
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2,183
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets$1,382

Top Losers

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31,548
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-20,696
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-15,576
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-12,658
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-9,900
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-9,794
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?$-9,622
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-7,807
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?$-6,458
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Rivals Grou$-5,757

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.158
Sortino
0.090
HHI
341
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.589
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
8.8%
Top-5 markets
33.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
127.4
Very active
Markets / Day
3.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
9.2m
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.08
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.9

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 75s — typical for humanSize CV 9.08 — diverse, typical for human19% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 0.97 — human randomness127 trades/day — automation392 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
26.1
Heavy DCA
<=1
47 entries
<=2
75 entries
<=5
120 entries
<=10
156 entries
<=20
186 entries
<=50
232 entries
>50
32 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.6%
Mid (20-55c)63%
High (>55c)21.4%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 49.3%

Denver$2,487
Madrid$1,460
Munich$234
Miami$0
San Francisco$0
Shanghai$0
Chongqing$-47
Houston$-952
Los Angeles$-1,087
Paris$-1,674
Milan$-2,795
Toronto$-3,290
Other$-154,127

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.3
Events covered
200

Single bracket

<=1
159 brackets
<=2
187 brackets
<=3
195 brackets
<=4
198 brackets
<=5
198 brackets
<=8
200 brackets
>8
0 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 6:56:43 PM1 trades$1170 min
3/27/2026, 7:15:01 PM1 trades$00 min
3/27/2026, 7:32:25 PM1 trades$320 min
3/27/2026, 8:25:17 PM1 trades$00 min
3/27/2026, 9:53:05 PM1 trades$90 min
3/27/2026, 10:33:31 PM1 trades$00 min
3/27/2026, 10:39:37 PM1 trades$780 min
3/27/2026, 10:55:41 PM1 trades$100 min
3/28/2026, 1:10:57 AM1 trades$30 min
3/28/2026, 1:20:23 AM1 trades$60 min
3/28/2026, 2:45:13 AM1 trades$3160 min
3/28/2026, 6:29:11 AM1 trades$110 min
3/28/2026, 7:40:57 AM1 trades$320 min
3/28/2026, 9:51:25 AM1 trades$200 min
3/28/2026, 10:33:41 AM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 12:00:31 PM1 trades$90 min
3/28/2026, 2:12:51 PM1 trades$420 min
3/28/2026, 3:06:15 PM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 3:19:41 PM1 trades$430 min
3/28/2026, 3:51:05 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-06
04-17
04-28
05-10
06-16
06-26
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 26.1/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.3 br/event