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@Disloyal-Parade

#2,41695

0xd961dd5107dc8cfbc95d26f3c9c9bac9264235de

56d· 663 markets · 11618 tradesVol: $5,381,3432026-05-15T17:53
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

95
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 78%20/20
Profit Factor 3.37x15/15
Sharpe 0.53310/15
Sortino 1.24110/10
EV $+2.44110/10
HHI 29310/10
Profit Days 91%10/10
DD/Peak 5%10/10

Summary

Disloyal-Parade is an active trader on Polymarket, ranking #2416 globally with a net profit of $60,725.40. Over 121 days, they have executed 11,618 trades across 275 markets, accumulating a total volume of over $5.3 million. Their portfolio value remains stable at around $10,109, supported by a solid smart score of 95/100, indicating elite trading skills.

Disloyal-Parade favors a high-frequency trading approach with a slight contrarian edge, as suggested by their badges and 53.1% win rate. Their strategy appears balanced between manual and automated trading, reflected in a 60/100 bot score. They maintain a moderate risk profile, with a profit factor of 0.24 and a Sharpe ratio of 0.53, indicating steady but cautious returns. Their trading style includes a near-even split between buying and selling, without exposure to weather markets.

The key strengths of Disloyal-Parade include consistent profitability, quick decision-making (zero days max drawdown duration), and diversified market engagement. However, their relatively low profit factor and flat equity trend suggest limited upside potential and moderate risk management. Traders following Disloyal-Parade on Polymarket should be aware of these factors when assessing their long-term performance.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

9
Sniper
Win Rate 78%
Profitable
PnL $+60,725
Contrarian
75% entries <$0.50
DCA Master
avg 23.4 entries/market
Win Streak
18 wins in a row
Whale
$834,564
Consistent
50/55 days
High Roller
$6,897/day
Cool Head
DD 5%

Categories

1
SPORTS#939$60,725Vol: $5,381,343

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$60,725
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$5,381,343
Total Redeem
$26,880
Portfolio
$10,109
Predictions
663
total markets
Trades
6424B / 5194S
Daily Volume
$6,897
Account Age
56d
since Mar 25, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$28
Vol: $6,987
Week
$-54
Vol: $54,677
Month
$7,257
Vol: $358,370
All Time
$60,725
Vol: $5,381,343

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
83%
180W / 37L events
Realized PnL
$168,559
Win Rate
53%
111W / 98L
Profit Factor
0.24x
Avg Win
$563
Avg Loss
$-2,625

Top Winners

LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$15,574
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner$10,114
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$5,054
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B$4,991
Will the Denver Nuggets win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2,691
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group A$2,472
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2,183
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)$1,915
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-04?$1,612
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs HOTU - Map 1 Winner$1,463

Top Losers

Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-31,548
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-22,153
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-12,906
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-12,658
Games Total: O/U 2.5$-9,900
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2$-9,794
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-04-04?$-9,622
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?$-9,150
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?$-8,682
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-8,190

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.533
Sortino
1.241
HHI
293
Diversified
EV per $1
$2.441
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9%
Top-5 markets
31%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
237.3
Very active
Markets / Day
5.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
6.3m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
60
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — typical for humanSize CV 9.34 — diverse, typical for human15% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.00 — human randomness237 trades/day — automation341 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
23.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
40 entries
<=2
73 entries
<=5
131 entries
<=10
169 entries
<=20
199 entries
<=50
245 entries
>50
30 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)16.8%
Mid (20-55c)61.4%
High (>55c)21.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 42.3%

Madrid$3,413
Denver$2,487
Munich$234
Toronto$211
Houston$20
Atlanta$11
Miami$0
San Francisco$0
Shanghai$0
Chongqing$-47
Milan$-795
Los Angeles$-1,084
Paris$-1,388
Chicago$-6,830
Other$-191,000

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.4
Events covered
199

Single bracket

<=1
155 brackets
<=2
182 brackets
<=3
193 brackets
<=4
196 brackets
<=5
197 brackets
<=8
198 brackets
>8
1 brackets

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 6:56:43 PM1 trades$1170 min
3/27/2026, 7:15:01 PM1 trades$00 min
3/27/2026, 7:32:25 PM1 trades$320 min
3/27/2026, 8:25:17 PM1 trades$00 min
3/27/2026, 9:53:05 PM1 trades$90 min
3/27/2026, 10:33:31 PM1 trades$00 min
3/27/2026, 10:39:37 PM1 trades$780 min
3/27/2026, 10:55:41 PM1 trades$100 min
3/28/2026, 1:10:57 AM1 trades$30 min
3/28/2026, 1:20:23 AM1 trades$60 min
3/28/2026, 2:45:13 AM1 trades$3160 min
3/28/2026, 6:29:11 AM1 trades$110 min
3/28/2026, 7:40:57 AM1 trades$320 min
3/28/2026, 9:51:25 AM1 trades$200 min
3/28/2026, 10:33:41 AM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 12:00:31 PM1 trades$90 min
3/28/2026, 2:12:51 PM1 trades$420 min
3/28/2026, 3:06:15 PM1 trades$10 min
3/28/2026, 3:19:41 PM1 trades$430 min
3/28/2026, 3:51:05 PM1 trades$50 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-21
04-04
04-13
04-22
05-01
05-13
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
44.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 23.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.4 br/event