Polydata

@Distant-Traditionalism

#4863

0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27

73d· 4823 markets · 22527 tradesVol: $116,472,2172026-07-01T01:09
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 18%0/20
Profit Factor 1.74x12/15
Sharpe 0.3957/15
Sortino 0.4004/10
EV $+0.74110/10
HHI 19610/10
Profit Days 74%10/10
DD/Peak 19%10/10

Summary

Distant-Traditionalism is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked 48th on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of $2.79 million. Over 115 days, they executed 22,527 trades across 1,707 markets, generating a substantial total volume of $116.5 million. Their smart score of 63 indicates good trading acumen, and a portfolio value of nearly $31,000 reflects consistent capital deployment.

This trader favors a contrarian, automated approach, as suggested by their bot score of 80 and top badges like Contrarian and DCA Master. They maintain a relatively low risk profile, evidenced by a maximum drawdown duration of zero days and a modest Sharpe ratio of 0.39. Distant-Traditionalism exhibits a high win rate of 70.5%, though the profit factor of 0.35 implies smaller average profits relative to losses. Their equity trend is stable and flat, indicating steady performance without significant volatility.

Strengths of Distant-Traditionalism include disciplined automated trading and a high win rate, which contribute to their consistent results on Polymarket. However, the low profit factor and a lack of sell transactions might pose risks if market conditions shift, potentially limiting flexibility. Overall, their data-driven, contrarian style offers resilience but may struggle in trending markets.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+2,789,261
Contrarian
62% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 13.2 entries/market
Bot
Score 80/100
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
Whale
$14,389,653
Consistent
39/53 days
High Roller
$125,127/day
Cool Head
DD 19%

Categories

1
SPORTS#30$2,789,261Vol: $116,472,217

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,789,261
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$116,472,217
Total Redeem
$1,135,424
Portfolio
$30,935
Predictions
4823
total markets
Trades
22527B / 0S
Daily Volume
$125,127
Account Age
73d
since Apr 21, 2026

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
23%
200W / 676L events
Realized PnL
$23,716,464
Win Rate
71%
79W / 33L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$2,587
Avg Loss
$-17,448

Top Winners

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5$31,110
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5$18,013
Athletics vs. Chicago Cubs$13,469
Toronto Tempo vs. New York Liberty: O/U 173.5$12,948
Spread: New York Liberty (-9.5)$12,222
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Rays$11,722
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Houston Astros$11,547
San Francisco Giants vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5$8,726
Cleveland Guardians vs. New York Yankees$7,396
Spread: Miami Marlins (-1.5)$5,718

Top Losers

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)$-263,585
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$-148,321
Spread: Spurs (-3.5)$-80,744
Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins$-27,783
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)$-8,140
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox$-7,534
Knicks vs. Spurs$-6,048
Spread: Spurs (-8.5)$-5,099
Spread: Spurs (-2.5)$-4,046
Spread: Spurs (-7.5)$-3,487

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.395
Sortino
0.400
HHI
196
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.741
Kelly %
53.5%
Half-Kelly
26.8%
Top-1 market
6.1%
Top-5 markets
25.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
539.7
Very active
Markets / Day
40.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3m
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.77
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
80
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 20s — typical for humanSize CV 6.77 — diverse, typical for human28% at night — bot never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.19 — human randomness540 trades/day — automation41 markets/day — mass coverage1899 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.2
Heavy DCA
<=1
423 entries
<=2
642 entries
<=5
1021 entries
<=10
1281 entries
<=20
1463 entries
<=50
1610 entries
>50
97 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.4%
Mid (20-55c)77.9%
High (>55c)20.7%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 18.3%

Houston$43,612
Toronto$18,849
Miami$10,128
Los Angeles$8,492
San Francisco$5,928
Atlanta$0
New York City$0
Austin$0
Milan$0
Paris$0
Dallas$0
Seattle$-1,327
Chicago$-10,819
Madrid$-148,321
Other$-297,946

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
2.1
Events covered
785

Moderate coverage

<=1
444 brackets
<=2
576 brackets
<=3
649 brackets
<=4
705 brackets
<=5
739 brackets
<=8
776 brackets
>8
9 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM1 trades$14,0270 min
4/23/2026, 7:05:26 PM1 trades$2340 min
4/23/2026, 7:45:38 PM2 trades$1805 min
4/23/2026, 7:56:12 PM29 trades$3,77524 min
4/23/2026, 8:36:54 PM4 trades$216 min
4/23/2026, 8:51:04 PM1 trades$9690 min
4/23/2026, 9:08:18 PM1 trades$1020 min
4/23/2026, 10:20:50 PM3 trades$1371 min
4/23/2026, 10:26:56 PM3 trades$3561 min
4/23/2026, 10:34:04 PM1 trades$5800 min
4/23/2026, 10:46:44 PM1 trades$1680 min
4/23/2026, 10:52:02 PM1 trades$5,8250 min
4/23/2026, 11:20:38 PM1 trades$70 min
4/23/2026, 11:31:08 PM1 trades$38,0680 min
4/23/2026, 11:36:50 PM4 trades$4661 min
4/23/2026, 11:43:40 PM1 trades$390 min
4/24/2026, 1:57:28 AM1 trades$11,6130 min
4/24/2026, 12:59:42 PM1 trades$1630 min
4/24/2026, 1:08:04 PM1 trades$100 min
4/24/2026, 1:55:00 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
04-29
05-07
05-15
05-23
05-31
06-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.2/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 2.1 br/event