Polydata

@Distant-Traditionalism

#2871

0x9495425feeb0c250accb89275c97587011b19a27

30d· 2887 markets · 13661 tradesVol: $78,021,7352026-05-18T12:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

71
Very Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

Win Rate 27%0/20
Profit Factor 1.94x14/15
Sharpe 0.55410/15
Sortino 0.6216/10
EV $+0.93310/10
HHI 24610/10
Profit Days 83%10/10
DD/Peak 18%10/10

Summary

Distant-Traditionalism is a highly active trader on Polymarket, ranked #28 on the global PnL leaderboard with a net profit of over $3.56 million. Over 80 days, they executed 13,661 trades across 1,019 markets, accumulating a total volume exceeding $78 million. Their smart score of 71/100 and profit factor of 4.78 indicate strong performance, supported by a 77.5% win rate and consistent portfolio value around $98,000.

The trading style of Distant-Traditionalism appears systematic and disciplined, leveraging automated strategies as reflected by a bot score of 70/100. They avoid weather markets and do not engage in selling positions, suggesting a preference for long-term holds and dollar-cost averaging tactics. Their contrarian badge implies a willingness to take positions against prevailing market sentiment, while maintaining a moderate risk profile with a Sharpe ratio of 0.55 and zero max drawdown days.

Distant-Traditionalism's key strengths include high consistency, a strong win rate, and effective risk management with no significant drawdowns. However, the flat equity trend and zero sell percentage might indicate limited portfolio rebalancing, which could expose them to prolonged market stagnation or sector-specific risks. Overall, their approach on Polymarket demonstrates a blend of automation and contrarian insight, balanced by steady but cautious growth.

Analysis based on the last 250 closed positions. Full trading history — coming soon.

Badges

10
Profitable
PnL $+3,560,272
Contrarian
60% entries <$0.50
Diamond Hands
0% sell
DCA Master
avg 13.4 entries/market
Bot
Score 70/100
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
Whale
$11,345,257
Consistent
30/36 days
High Roller
$141,816/day
Cool Head
DD 18%

Categories

1
SPORTS#17$3,560,272Vol: $78,021,735

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,560,272
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$78,021,735
Total Redeem
$4,222,853
Portfolio
$98,115
Predictions
2887
total markets
Trades
13661B / 0S
Daily Volume
$141,816
Account Age
30d
since Apr 21, 2026

Periods

#2
Today
$-31,261
Vol: $592,114
Week
$-31,261
Vol: $8,416,152
Month
$1,614,980
Vol: $55,448,976
All Time
$3,560,272
Vol: $78,021,735

PnL Analysis

#3
Win Rate (events)
31%
185W / 418L events
Realized PnL
$17,781,556
Win Rate
78%
69W / 20L
Profit Factor
4.78x
Avg Win
$30,766
Avg Loss
$-22,215

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,614,372 (96.2% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?$793,013
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$599,528
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$221,832
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-05-17?$97,447
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)$95,276
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets$63,373
Cavaliers vs. Pistons$59,713
New York Yankees vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5$49,400
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)$27,083
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 176.5$21,343

Top Losers

San Francisco Giants vs. Athletics$-233,602
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?$-149,194
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$-42,275
Spread: Inter Miami CF (-2.5)$-5,409
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-05-17?$-5,360
Spread: Cavaliers (-6.5)$-5,119
Las Vegas Aces vs. Atlanta Dream$-921
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5$-729
Seattle Storm vs. Indiana Fever: O/U 175.5$-601
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-3.5)$-392

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.553
Sortino
0.621
HHI
246
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.933
Kelly %
56.5%
Half-Kelly
28.2%
Top-1 market
7.2%
Top-5 markets
28.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
552.3
Very active
Markets / Day
41.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
22s
between trades
Avg Gap
3.2m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.8

Bot Detection

#6
70
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

8 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 22s — typical for humanSize CV 6.34 — diverse, typical for human21% at night — different timezone?24/24 hours — around the clockSession CV 1.17 — human randomness552 trades/day — automation41 markets/day — mass coverage1234 total positions — large-scale activity

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
13.4
Heavy DCA
<=1
248 entries
<=2
380 entries
<=5
612 entries
<=10
761 entries
<=20
861 entries
<=50
953 entries
>50
66 entries

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0.8%
Mid (20-55c)80.4%
High (>55c)18.8%

City Stats

#10

YES bias: 18.3%

Other$2,011,883
Seattle$36,972
Los Angeles$8,364
Chicago$4,482
Toronto$804
Atlanta$270
Houston$0
New York City$0
Austin$0
Milan$0
Paris$0
Dallas$0
Miami$-2,092
Madrid$-148,882
San Francisco$-233,256

Bracket Analysis

#11
Avg brackets/event
1.9
Events covered
537

Single bracket

<=1
333 brackets
<=2
421 brackets
<=3
466 brackets
<=4
503 brackets
<=5
519 brackets
<=8
532 brackets
>8
5 brackets

Sessions

#12
4/23/2026, 7:00:00 PM1 trades$14,0270 min
4/23/2026, 7:05:26 PM1 trades$2340 min
4/23/2026, 7:45:38 PM2 trades$1805 min
4/23/2026, 7:56:12 PM29 trades$3,79724 min
4/23/2026, 8:36:54 PM4 trades$226 min
4/23/2026, 8:51:04 PM1 trades$9690 min
4/23/2026, 9:08:18 PM1 trades$1020 min
4/23/2026, 10:20:50 PM3 trades$1371 min
4/23/2026, 10:26:56 PM3 trades$3561 min
4/23/2026, 10:34:04 PM1 trades$5800 min
4/23/2026, 10:46:44 PM1 trades$1680 min
4/23/2026, 10:52:02 PM1 trades$5,8250 min
4/23/2026, 11:20:38 PM1 trades$70 min
4/23/2026, 11:31:08 PM1 trades$38,0680 min
4/23/2026, 11:36:50 PM4 trades$4661 min
4/23/2026, 11:43:40 PM1 trades$390 min
4/24/2026, 1:57:28 AM1 trades$11,6130 min
4/24/2026, 12:59:42 PM1 trades$1650 min
4/24/2026, 1:08:04 PM1 trades$100 min
4/24/2026, 1:55:00 PM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-08
04-27
05-03
05-09
05-15
05-21

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
0% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 13.4/mkt
Hedging
SINGLE
avg 1.9 br/event