@DonKarabas
#8,158710x973971ea55aa46261bce854c2ee8da83c97b159f
~437d· 598 markets · 153435 tradesVol: $54,945,8502026-08-04 08:09:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
71
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
40% (216/544)4.9/20
1.49x (win $11,951 / loss $8,033)8.6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.46715/15
Sortino 3.49810/10
$+0.2374 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 219 (544 markets)10/10
116/269 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 26% of peak ($1,230 / $4,714)8.8/10
Badges
6Profitable
PnL $+19,193
Lottery Player
97% entries < $0.20
Diamond Hands
4% sells
Cool Head
Max DD 26%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9💰 FINANCE#535$10,302Vol: $23,126,554
🏛️ POLITICS#2,658$15,496Vol: $20,955,250
📈 ECONOMICS#2,008$1,949Vol: $6,895,942
🎭 CULTURE#816,587$-11,093Vol: $2,489,377
₿ CRYPTO#16,188$2,724Vol: $992,189
⚽ SPORTS#1,736,008$-189Vol: $390,484
💻 TECH#246,009$-65Vol: $35,714
🌤️ WEATHER#11,922$37Vol: $18,983
📢 MENTIONS#39,849$1Vol: $267
Overview
#1Net PnL
$19,193
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$54,945,850
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
598
total markets
Trades
8508B / 6863S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~437d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-86
Vol: $4,960
Month
$-308
Vol: $5,091
All Time
$19,193
Vol: $54,945,850
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
50%
432W / 433L events
Realized PnL
$19,193
Win Rate
50%
432W / 433L
Profit Factor
1.49x
Avg Win
$55
Avg Loss
$-25
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,948 (0.20567746883508933% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$1,621
Will Michelle Obama win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1,261
Will Bitcoin hit $100k by Friday?$1,065
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $48m opening weekend?$813
Will any other Democratic Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$602
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?$517
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?$490
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross more than $105m opening weekend?$478
No Ethereum all time high in 2024?$338
Will 'Dune: Part 2' gross most in 2024?$324
Top Losers
Will Russia capture Kurakhove before December?$-671
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after March 2025 meeting?$-543
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$-435
Will RFK Jr. drop out by Friday?$-323
Will 'The Wild Robot' gross between $24m and $31m opening weekend?$-309
'Deadpool & Wolverine' over $600m by Labor Day? $-286
Tim Walz replaced as Democratic VP nominee?$-256
Will "Dog Man" Opening Weekend Box Office be between $30-35m?$-235
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?$-229
Will 'Beetlejuice Beetlejuice' gross between $95m and $105m opening weekend?$-226
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.077
Sortino
0.151
HHI
182
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.251
Kelly %
16.3%
Half-Kelly
8.1%
Top-1 market
7.5%
Top-5 markets
20.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
191.1
Very active
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.7m
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
6.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.0
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 268s — normal for humanCV 6.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock191 trades/day — automation0.7 markets/day — normal10% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
27.81
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)97.5%
Mid (20-55c)1%
High (>55c)1.5%
Sessions
#127/4/2024, 6:57:40 AM3 trades$9390 min
8/26/2024, 10:34:39 PM6 trades$5606 min
1/24/2025, 6:37:09 AM1 trades$5290 min
4/28/2026, 1:26:38 PM11 trades$4450 min
11/23/2024, 1:59:51 PM23 trades$40429 min
8/5/2024, 3:21:47 AM11 trades$3482 min
8/16/2024, 3:00:27 PM2 trades$3450 min
9/10/2024, 2:14:34 PM1 trades$3380 min
7/15/2024, 5:50:05 PM3 trades$2960 min
7/28/2024, 11:44:31 PM4 trades$2900 min
8/23/2024, 7:17:31 PM2 trades$2885 min
9/29/2024, 7:03:43 AM1 trades$2870 min
10/25/2024, 2:14:30 PM2 trades$2821 min
11/24/2024, 3:18:51 AM12 trades$27825 min
7/18/2024, 7:50:40 AM6 trades$2670 min
4/11/2026, 7:30:07 PM4 trades$2030 min
1/22/2025, 2:20:37 PM2 trades$2001 min
2/1/2025, 10:59:58 AM3 trades$1961 min
9/7/2024, 11:05:48 PM4 trades$1880 min
10/14/2024, 9:32:41 PM4 trades$1802 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-23
09-01
10-30
01-02
08-17
02-23
06-01
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 462 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
4.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 27.81/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L97.5 / M1 / H1.5